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greggs - recent fall overdone? (GRG)     

bishopjeremy - 16 Dec 2003 22:35

Just wondering if the recent fall in Greggs has been overdone. Being based in the north-east,they still maintain market superiority. Some of the staff I have spoken to seem to be getting all the overime they can handle and one of the major local rivals, Peters (70 stores in the area), has been closed for the last few days due to a fire at their distribution centre.

Any thoughts welcome

Chris Carson - 31 Jul 2013 16:13 - 65 of 128

Sausage rolls all round if it breaks resistance @ 440.0 :O)

goldfinger - 31 Jul 2013 16:46 - 66 of 128

SUGAR its turned blue as that candle. DRAT.

Chris Carson - 01 Aug 2013 15:35 - 67 of 128

That's 440.0 breached, volume still a bit worrying. Stop to entry for risk free trade.

goldfinger - 01 Aug 2013 16:37 - 68 of 128

Itl be sausage rolls alround Chris just you watch.

Hey them flat cornish pasties are brilliant. Get some mushy peas and a bit of that chip shop curry on and a thick wedge of bread and your away. Lovely.

Chris Carson - 01 Aug 2013 16:45 - 69 of 128

Aye gf, fingers crossed mate, never bought as much as a cup of coffee from them to be honest. There are six of them in Aberdeen, never seen one empty. Just trading the chart.

goldfinger - 01 Aug 2013 22:49 - 70 of 128

I always think class Chris, same as M@S, Waitrose, Laura Ashley......etc etc.

Extra large mushy peas if we do well on results day.

goldfinger - 01 Aug 2013 22:49 - 71 of 128

BLOODY HOT TONIGHT.

Chris Carson - 01 Aug 2013 23:44 - 72 of 128

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=GRG&Si


Sadly at the moment mam chart only covers last 10 years. If you look at skinnys chart post 33 on 19.05.11 chart goes back to 1990 and imo gives a better view of actual trend to date.

skinny - 02 Aug 2013 06:04 - 73 of 128

This one ?

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=GRG&Si

Chris Carson - 02 Aug 2013 07:08 - 74 of 128

Thanks skinny, how did you get that up, i'm hopeless? :O)

skinny - 02 Aug 2013 07:13 - 75 of 128

Chris - edit the html to change the number of years.

Chris Carson - 02 Aug 2013 07:15 - 76 of 128

Right, cheers skinny.

skinny - 06 Aug 2013 07:05 - 77 of 128

Interim Results

GREGGS TO RESHAPE BUSINESS FOR FUTURE GROWTH

Financial highlights:
· Total Group sales up 3.4% to £362m (2012: £350m)
· Like-for-like own shop sales down 2.9% resulting in pre-tax profit down £4.6m to £11.4m (2012: £16.0m*)
· Net cash generated from operating activities £24.7m (2012: £14.2m)
· Dividend per share 6.0p (2012: 6.0p)
· 90 shop refits (2012: 64); expect 220-240 during year as a whole
· 19 net new shops opened; expect net 20-30 during year as a whole

* 2012 figures restated to reflect the adoption of IAS19 (revised)

Strategy update:
· Priority to return core business to like-for-like growth by focusing on products and services for the 'food on the go' customer
· 'Food on the go' market is £6 billion** and growing
· Improve the quality of our existing estate:
- Increased rate of shop relocations
- Accelerated refit programme with one 'Bakery food on the go' shop format
- Limited net shop additions for 2-3 years
· Further growth of franchise operations
· Driving efficiency and capacity from existing supply chain network
· Significant investment in processes and systems
· Building the platform for long term sustainable profit growth

** Allegra

goldfinger - 06 Aug 2013 09:11 - 78 of 128

Yep was kind of worried the hot weather might impact sales and profits.

Hope Chris hasnt been hit too hard.

Im holding Thorntons and Im a bit worried sales are going to be hit their with the warm weather.

Chris Carson - 06 Aug 2013 10:27 - 79 of 128

No I got out yeterday mate, was trading the chart. Looked quite promising initially.

skinny - 09 Oct 2013 07:04 - 80 of 128

Interim Management Statement

IMPROVED TRADING IN LINE WITH EXPECTATIONS


· Total sales up 3.6% for the 13 weeks to 28 September 2013, like-for-like sales down 0.5%

· Year to date total sales up 3.5%, like-for-like sales down 2.1%

· Estate improvement programme on track: 141 shop refits completed year to date; on track for record 215 refits in full year

· Re-shaping of estate ahead of plan: now expect no increase in net shop numbers as openings match closures

skinny - 23 Dec 2013 10:46 - 81 of 128

Up 4.1% today

TS 9th January.

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=GRG&Si

skinny - 09 Jan 2014 07:05 - 82 of 128

Trading Update

IMPROVED TRADING AND PROGRESS WITH STRATEGIC PLAN

Christmas and New Year trading period*
· Total sales up 4.8%
· Like-for-like sales** up 3.1% (2012: down 2.9%)

Financial year 2013***
· Total sales up 3.8%, like for like sales down 0.8%
· Q4 like-for-like sales up 2.6%
· Estate improvement - record 216 shop refits in the year; overall shop number unchanged with 68 openings and closures
· Full year results anticipated to be in line with our previous expectations

*
5 weeks ending 4 January 2014 (2012: 5 weeks ending 5 January 2013).
**
Own shop like-for-like sales from those shops with a full year's trading. Excludes franchise and wholesale sales.
***
52 weeks ending 28 December 2013.

skinny - 09 Jan 2014 09:32 - 83 of 128

Looking strong on volume.

skinny - 26 Feb 2014 07:07 - 84 of 128

Preliminary Results

Financial summary
· Total sales up 3.8% to £762.4 million

· Full year like-for-like sales down 0.8%

· Improving trend of like-for-like sales**, with H2 up 1.2% and Q4 up 2.6%

· Pre-tax profit* before exceptional items down 18.9% to £41.3 million

· Diluted earnings per share* before exceptional items down 20.1% to 30.6 pence

· Dividend per share maintained at 19.5p

* before exceptional pre-tax charge of £8.1m (2012: exceptional pre-tax credit of £1.4m)
** like-for-like sales in own shops (excluding franchises) with a full year's trading history

Operational summary
· New strategic focus centred on the growing food-on-the-go market

· Record 216 shop refits in the year

· Overall shop numbers unchanged with 68 openings and closures

· 70% of 2013 new shop openings in locations other than high streets

· 1,671 shops trading at 28 December 2013 including 25 franchised units

"2013 was a year of transition for Greggs as our new strategic focus centred on the growing food-on-the-go market. Whilst total sales for the year rose 3.8% like-for-like sales were down 0.8% reflecting the tough and competitive trading conditions. However, I am encouraged by the improvement in performance in recent months as our new strategic focus started to deliver benefits.

Market conditions are expected to remain challenging in 2014. It will be a year of further change for Greggs as we move forward with our plan to focus on the food-on-the-go market and build on positive recent trading momentum."

- Roger Whiteside, Chief Executive
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