Link Here
29.05.2007
Cardinal Resources Keen To Focus On Production Increases As Construction Project Nears Completion Despite Continued Uncertainty On JAA Gas Sales and RC Reinstatement
It has been a difficult six months for Cardinal Resources, which has been under attack from disgruntled shareholders led by hedge fund QVT Financial. But having survived an EGM called by QVT in a bid to oust CEO Robert Bensh, the AIM company is determined to refocus on its development work in Ukraine where production is set to increase almost four-fold this year. Investors keen for an update on the company would do well to attend oilbarrel.coms conference on Thursday 31st May, where Bensh is due to make a presentation.
QVT owned 16.18 per cent of Cardinal when it launched its first broadside against current management in November 2006. The hedge fund alleged the share price had languished due to inappropriate financing structures and bloated central costs. Cardinal rigorously defended itself against these allegations - those who remember Benshs bullish performance at an oilbarrel.com conference in September 2005 would expect nothing less - and said it was disappointing that QVT had chosen to conduct a campaign of misinformation via the press.
Cardinal has pointed out it has taken steps to reduce G&A costs by US$1.5 million to US$2 million this year, reducing the number of full-time executives in London and Houston and outsourcing non-core activities. Costs that were incurred in 2006, such as recruiting staff in Ukraine and legal expenses associated with its RC field reinstatement (of which more later), are not expected to be repeated this year.
The company has also issued extensive statements defending its financing arrangements with Silver Point Finance. In December 2005 the company secured a US$38 million bridge financing facility from Silver Point in order to finance its re-instatement to the RC field. In December 2006 there was an additional financing, increasing the facility to US$55.5 million to progress well workovers and new drilling to boost production. The terms may not be generous but Cardinal said it entered these arrangements because it was unable to access conventional bank debt and it couldnt have raised equity at a price approaching its IPO placing price. In this, it is not alone: financing constraints have curtailed the ambitions of many an AIM E&P over the past two years.
The re-instatement of Cardinals interest in the RC field has been a thorny issue since the 2005 IPO. The RC field is a large underdeveloped gas field (1.54 tcf original gas in place) located in the Dnieper Donets basin, 200 kms east of Kiev in the Poltava Oblast. Cardinal, which evolved from cash-strapped E&P Carpatsky, is in protracted negotiations with field partner Ukrnafta to increase its interest in the RC field from 14.91 per cent to the 45 per cent it was before Carpatsky stopped paying the bills.
Ukrnafta has previously acknowledged Cardinals right to this reinstatement of interest - which would more than triple its share of the RC reserves to almost 50 million - but political upheavals in Ukraine and various shifts in position on this issue within Ukranafta have hampered progress. The delays in restoring the working interest to its former level have impacted on the work programme for the field and seen a reserves downgrade.
Cardinal continues to press for the reinstatement and, it says, is exploring all legal avenues to ensure that its contractual right is respected. Should the opportunity arise to reinstate the full 45 per cent, Cardinal has the funds to do so via its Silver Point financing arrangement.
Now the company is focusing on getting its 100 per cent owned assets in Ukraine up and running. Construction of gas gathering and separation facilities is almost complete and should be operational by mid-year. Financing remains an issue for the company, however. Its plans to grow production this year from 800 barrels of oil equivalent per day to 3,000 boepd. An increase of 1,400 boepd is pretty much guaranteed because thats the volume already awaiting hook-up to production facilities. But a further 800 boepd is subject to the company having sufficient funds to complete three well workovers in the second half of the year.
Cardinal expects this cash to come from the recommencement of its joint activity agreement gas sales, which are currently being transferred to storage pending clarification of new gas sales rules in Ukraine. The JAA issue is one of those complex legal and regulatory wrangles that can bedevil operations in Ukraine and other Former Soviet Union destinations.
At the beginning of this year the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine amended an existing regulation on fixed pricing of gas sales to include joint activity agreements between state firms Naftogaz, Ukrnafta and Nak Nadra and foreign companies. Cardinal was verbally informed by the Ministry of Fuel and Energy that its net portion of JAA production will not be affected but the company is still seeking clarification on the actual implementation of this resolution.
As a precaution, earlier this year it elected with its partner Ukrnafta to transfer all JAA associated gas production from the RC field to storage (about 20 per cent of the companys output) for future sale at higher prices. Now in May and still without written clarification on this point, Cardinal has elected with its other JAA partner Ukrgaz to transfer all production from the BC field into storage, meaning that about 80 per cent of the companys output is in storage. In the first quarter of this year, the company had 58,542 barrels of oil equivalent in storage.
If fixed prices were applied to the companys JAA production then this could affect the net present value of its reserves as free market prices are approximately two to three times those of controlled prices. The transfer of so much production to storage has reduced the companys monthly sales and EBITDA/cash flow by US$450,000 and $360,000 respectively. It believes this short term hit is worth it, however, because in the long run, once clarification is received, it will benefit the company to have arrangements in place to sell the gas at the higher free market price. (Importantly the companys creditor Silver Point Capital has waived covenants to reflect the present shortfall in cash flow due to the suspension of JAA gas sales).
Its also important to note that the impact on cash flows of storing the JAA gas should be offset by higher volumes from the BC licence area once the new gas gathering and separation facilities are operational by the end of the second quarter. The increased production in non JAA portions of the licence will be free from price restrictions and are expected to be sold at free market prices.
Given these travails, it is little wonder that the company is focusing its development activities on those licences it owns and operates 100 per cent. The company has three workover and nine development locations identified for drilling in the Bilousivsko-Chornukhinska (BC) and North Yablunivska (NY) licence areas. Seismic work is also underway: on the Dubrivska (DB) licence, a 25 sq km shoot has identified one sidetrack opportunity and two additional well locations while a 65 sq km survey on the BC licence will help optimize production efforts and define future development drilling locations. The NY licence area may see a 35 sq km 3D survey in the third quarter, ahead of drilling in 2008. It hopes to identity an additional 10-16 drilling locations on its acreage.