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40%+ discount to nav - and profitable! (GSC)     

hawick - 29 Feb 2004 10:27

I promised an occasional set of suggestions on undiscovered and undervalued ofex stocks. I said there were still a few astonishing bargains over there and in my view this one fits the bill admirably. (my first suggestion Millbrook is up after two new partnerships and a nice contract win.)

Before i go any further, if you do not like property stocks, look away now! Let's not have a debate on the delights or otherwise of a property crash. i think you as investors have your views and are pretty clued up on the arguments for and against, but suffice to say, if you think commercial property will tumble then this share is not for you.

The stock, then is GSC Property. I hold. GSC has a portfolio worth 43 million plus cash of just under 5 million, after a recent sale. Repayments are fixed over 25 years at around 6%, totalling about 37 million. So nav is over 10 million and the nav is 101p a share. The shares are trading at 55-60p (market cap 5.75 million, nearly covered by cash!) a 40%+ discount to nav and as i said in the headline are profitable.

So why else is this so attractive? It buys on the theme of covenant, rather than location. Among the properties they own are a banking hall in Essex and a drive through in Birmingham. 90% of their customers are top 350 UK companies and or government. They are due for a revaluation of their portfolio soon, (likely to be up if the market is any indicator) and rent reviews should add to profits. The nearest company I can find is Aim listed PHP which is trading at a 5-10% Premium to nav. That would put GSC on 110p a share. Even if you think a discount is more apt however a 10-15% discount would see the shares at 85-90p which i consider to be fair value for the short term.

Oh they even pay a dividend of over 1p a share.

Strong Buy.

hawick - 19 Jul 2004 18:26 - 67 of 67

Here's the key part of the announcement. Almost SIX MILLION profit in a year on this one deal!!
Market cap under 9 million! As I say taken in isolation, nav will be 159p after this against share price 87.5p!
Best announcement from a micro cap I can remember, bar none!

GSC Property Holdings plc, the commercial property investment group, has
exchanged contracts for the sale of the Safeway/Morrisons supermarket in
Loughborough for GBP14.8m. The property, purchased in July 2003 for GBP8.86m and
valued at GBP11m at 31 December 2003 has been sold following the completion of a
comprehensive rent review which saw the annual rent roll increase from
GBP565,000 to GBP775,000 per annum.

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