Forex rebates on every trade - win or lose!

long and looking for a break soon of 64...

I have that feeling we will wake up tomorrow to 1.9200

Good call Foale, looks like we're on the way. No position here, the R/R isn't good enough for me.

well its trying to break higher...

Well it certainly did but not in here since Wednesday

eek help no upper points of reference...took 1.9277 exit...
and banked the money..

berlimey!! what's all that about?

No complaining for 1 second but note to have an upper point of refernce..or likely possible target next time..

currency crisis rumours been doing rounds saying on cnbc

ok thanks Boyse

Crisis - wot crisis!!

I reckon it's currency traders catching the Yanks with their pants down on Thanksgiving weekend - got to admire the cheek of it :)

Having a pop at seeing whether it'll give up a few points - so short from 310 ..... with tight stops - EEK

Story doing the rounds of a large (200m) USD/CHF sell order leading the way, but it all seems a bit vague.

Looks to me like a combination of both USD selling and European buying, giving a doubly whammy. USD/JPY has fallen, but EUR/JPY has risen.

edit: I happen to think that it was simply a case of it finally gathering the momentum needed to break through the previous barriers. It's been threatening to do it for months.

well finally got some lines drawn and price extension up to ...1.9340 area looks enough..so since we are exactly that...staying flat... for now

normality will return on monday...

Looks evn more like the big buy 2 get one free for Xmas - but being all contrarian trying to get a few - looks like I'll probably get burnt. Need to get my trading pants changed :(

Gordon Bennet! Just looked in !!!!! That's my risk / reward ratio up in smoke!!!

Sterling heading for $2 barrier

Edit - it's an old story but still valid.

Some sober analysis:

Euro and Pound reach multi-month highs

Contrarian SSI suggests 80% of the open market is short fiber and 82% short cable.

Would that Contrarian SSI (which I have to admit I don't even know exactly what it is?) be now or last night. Despite barrier options falling over on the dollar this morning those figures above must still show where most of the market is

Having done sober contrarian analysis I have decided I am now short with a stop above the top for today. So between us, that's 75% of the market, Who else is short?

To interpret Hil's Delphic comment:

SSI = Speculative Sentiment Index

The FXCM SSI is based on proprietary customer flow information and is designed to recognize price trend breaks and reversals in the four most popularly traded currency pairs. The absolute number of the ratio itself represents the amount by which longs exceed shorts or vice versa. For example if the EURUSD ratio is 2.55, long customer orders exceed short orders by a ratio of 2.55 to 1. If the EURUSD ratio is -3.00 short customer orders in the EURUSD exceed long orders by a ratio of 3 to 1. A negative number indicates that traders are net short while a positive number indicates that traders are net long. Conceptually similar to contrarian analyses using the CFTC IMM open position data or COT Report, the SSI provides an alternative approach that is both more timely and accurate in forecasting currency price movement. The SSI is a contrarian indicator that tells you how the market is weighted and where the trend may head. More long positions don't necessary suggest more confidence in the direction of the current trend. In general, when traders start having adverse movements against their position, many tend to increase the size of their position with the purpose to average down their entry price in one last attempt to recover from previous losses. However, higher the number of short orders in a bull market more dangerous is to take additional shorts because many of those traders who just entered the markets are also leaving their protective stop losses just above the current price action.