from w-w-bb:

19.01.2007 - Total Rocketscience

The third and final company making up our Risk / Reward trilogy on shares for 2007 has so many investment negatives that most observers might not even give it more than a cursory glance. Although quoted on the London AIM market, it is based on the other side of the World, has reported revenues and cash flow of diddly squat and, more importantly, operates in an area of expertise so deep in boffinland that you need to be at least a 5 star techie to venture anywhere near it.

What originally persuaded us to give it a second look was the fact that legendary Stockmarket investor, Jim Slater, was pouring money into it via several successive rounds of financing. As we all know, Mr. Slater is a qualified accountant and hugely experienced corporate financier but clearly he is more at home in leafy Surrey than in the technologically rarified atmosphere of Southern California. However, he must have gleaned enough about what the company actually did to get extremely excited about it. In fact, by last Autumn, he had grown to like it so much that, to paraphrase the immortal Victor Kiam, he bought the remaining 51 % of the company that his vehicle, Original Investments, didn't already own.

The company in question was VIALOGY and, ever since it was fully reversed into Original just before Christmas, Slater's loyal band of followers have seen their highly speculative penny punt move on to the calculated risk category and been duly rewarded with a 50% shareprice improvement. We first latched on to this situation last April when we wrote a piece entitled The Cisco Kid ( see news archive ). To recap briefly, the company was set up by some brainboxes who had earlier worked together on supercomputing projects for NASA. Led by Dr. Sandip Gulati, the team appeared to have perfected software to detect and enhance extremely weak signals previously obscured by background noise. This may not seem particularly earthshattering to the layman but, apparently, the applications for this technology are not only revolutionary but almost limitless which suggests that an exponential rise in licensing income could well lie ahead.

Big news clearly travels fast on the Eastern seaboard because global behemoths Cisco and Boeing have already enlisted Vialogy to work on 2 major government inspired projects and these are just the ones that the company have been allowed to talk about publicly. As we reported in April, Cisco has contracted Vialogy to help with its IPICS programme which seeks to make sure that all emergency services and government agencies can communicate with each other quickly via computers and phones. The need to address this obvious requirement was highlighted by 9 / 11 when communications between different departments with different systems proved chaotic.

For its part, Boeing has recently confirmed that Vialogy has delivered a tenfold improvement in the accuracy and efficiency of the types of gyroscopes it uses in spacecraft and missile navigational systems. It is also known that both Cisco and Boeing see a major role for the technology in such areas as border controls and missile defence systems. Elsewhere a much smaller Texan company, Evolution Petroleum, is applying the technology to improving seismic evaluation of oil and gas deposits.

This initial clutch of applications is almost certainly just the tip of a very large iceberg that is going to float into view over the next few years and all that is required is a little patience. At todays price of 5.5p, Vialogy is valued at a mere 22m. To justify this valuation, the company would have to be earning say 2 million pretax. With cash reserves of 3 million and its heavyweight partners funding the projects it is involved in, Vialogy should be able to get through to breakeven without further recourse to shareholders. We would expect this stage to be reached sometime over the next 12 months. Thereafter, profits could / should escalate very dramatically as new applications and licensing income start to snowball.

On a two year view, shareholders could be rewarded extremely handsomely indeed. Vialogy is in so many ways akin to last weeks selection, CORAC. Both are now moving from the development stage to commercialization with the scales tipping away from blue sky risk towards the reality of cash flow. Both have mindblowing upside potential yet both have current shareprice action that makes drying paint look positively orgasmic. Although this presents an opportunity for latecomers, it is a frustrating byproduct of both companies involvement with highly sensitive technology and powerful, publicity shy partners. Moreover, the present lack of any meaningful numbers together with the sheer scale of future potential makes any serious stockbroker research well nigh impossible. All this will resolve itself in due course but, as they say in the Grolsch advert, all good things come to those who wait.

Great news for this to be confirmed at last - onwards and upwards!

what a coup for Vialogy.
Incredible news, nice to get the 'critical' comment from the CSCO guys.
Plenty more news to come, from the sound of it as well.

Agree Notlob - our patience will surely be rewarded one of these fine days! I wonder if Cynic is aware of the leap in his shares?

surely his T20 would have been up by now?!!

leap? ..... it's flat! ..... market truly overwhelmed

last time I looked it was up 10%! If thats flat, give me a few more flat days!

This is just a starter for ten, as it where, something to wet the appetites and let all those who want to leave the party early do so. Liquidity for the lemmings.

Real money is to be made a little later on, imo.

Think it was indicating up over 14% at the time I made my earlier comment. Plenty of scope for a greater rise, that's for sure! It'll come...

no wonder bolton are barely in premiership .... too easy a target!

ah cynic, no wonder you always get the wrong end of the stick, I'm afraid.
I think there are about 12 Bolton's in the UK, and the one near Manchester is nothing to do with me, although I have visited Bolton's Burnden Park ground supporting my own team.

The lesson is the obvious is not always correct!
Keep trying.

you're not really worth the effort .... far too easy to catch with minimal bait

cynic, cynic dear cynic
you flatter me, dearie
perhaps one day you will get something right....till then, keep trying.

????? ..... more than happy with today's trading, and flatter you, well you flatter yourself .... unless you confuse flatulence with flattering

oh give it rest, dear cynic, before we all die of boredom.

Good news today , looking good for the rest of the year .

More updates on their products would be nice .

10/20p on sp would be much more helpful

When the orders come , the sp will be up there .

Should we expect some news soon it has been very quiet since the deal with Cisco was announced?

A lot of buys today , good news on its way ?

Vialogy agrees air quality monitoring deal with Axis Netmedia

For full RNS click on:
Vialogy RNS 29 May 2008