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Dowgate Capital - Capitalising on the booming AIM market (DGT)     

overgrowth - 09 Feb 2005 20:52

Dowgate Capital (DGT) are sitting in the middle of a goldmine!

This company through their sole trading arm City Financial Associates are looking to take full advantage of the "booming" AIM market this year. Dowgate provide NOMAD (NOMinated ADvisor) services to AIM companies and also have full Corporate Broker status which means that they can fund placements on behalf of the companies they represent.

On first sight, the fact that Dowgate exist in the often veiled financial services sector makes you think twice about investing in company such as this because it would be impossible to understand what they were doing - however, think again!

DGT bring new companies to the AIM (Alternative Investment Market). For each new company "floated" on AIM, they take arrangement fees when acting as NOMAD. After the company is launched then for a nice steady earner DGT get another healthy chunk of cash every year for looking after them (note that all AIM companies must have a nominated adviser - thereby securing a ready source of recurring income).

Because DGT also act as a Corporate broker they can get a very healthy percentage for arranging placement of shares with insititutions before a new company floats. In addition, because placements come outside the sphere of yearly NOMAD work, they can also gain healthy percentages of placements which companies may need to make throughout the year when they need a quick injection of cash to speed growth.

Current NOMADships: 28 companies represented (gives recurring income of approx 480,000 per year)

Current on-going Brokerage agreements: 19 companies (income depends on placements)

For flotations, depending on the size of a company, fees charged will be anything from 50,000 to 100,000+ For placements (the real earner), DGT get anything from 3% to around 12% of the TOTAL AMOUNT RAISED - For example a new company raising 3M though a placement will earn DGT anything from 90,000 to 360,000 ! These figures are indicative as actual deals all differ due to circumstances and DGT sometimes take payment in shares - they still have a tasty chunk of Setstone shares and when this Russian exploration company comes back to AIM, predictions are that the share price will rocket. Note that the amount that this little company can earn in fees is huge and every new deal that comes through we know will contribute another healthy chunk into the bottom line. The good news with every new floatation means that it's another chunk of recurring revenue which could go on for years, with DGT having to do very little. New clients gained in 2005 are:

Mediazest (NOMAD & broker) Elite Strategies (NOMAD) Process Handling (NOMAD) Poland Investment Fund (NOMAD) Nanotech Energy (NOMAD & broker) Archimedia Ventures (NOMAD & broker) Red Leopard Holdings (NOMAD) Alba Mineral Resources (NOMAD & broker) Intandem Films (NOMAD & broker) Motive Television (NOMAD) IncaGold (NOMAD) Sportswinbet (NOMAD & Broker) Infoscreen Networks (NOMAD & Broker) Mark Kingsley (NOMAD & Broker) Croatia Ventures (NOMAD & Broker) Pantheon Leisure (NOMAD) Firenze Ventures (Ofex Advisor) FlightStore Group (NOMAD & Broker) Euro Capital Projects (NOMAD) Pearl Street Holdings (NOMAD) Worldwide Natural Resources (Ofex Advisor) Dovedale Ventures (Ofex Advisor) Other 2005 work completed:Neptune-Calculus VCT offer for subs of up to 12 million Advisory work for TGM on London Bus disposal for 20.4M Advisory work for Creightons on property disposal Advisory work for Hampton Trust on company restructuring Advisory work for Interbulk Investments on acquisition of Inbulk Advisory work for Fundamental-e Investments on two disposals Advisory work for Designer Vision re: Design Rights against Centurion Electronics

Click Here for fundamentals and profit projections.
Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=DGT&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=DGT&Si

overgrowth - 09 Jun 2005 16:35 - 698 of 2787

Looking good!!!

Where's those RNS's...

EWRobson - 09 Jun 2005 17:29 - 699 of 2787

So sd has had to take over DGT in order to change name to DOG! Doesn't he realise that dog in relation to shares is based on dog-house. Now, a kennel isn't a bad place to spend the night if you are kicked out by the wife, but a dog-house...!

Can't really make sense of the days trading except that something is afoot ( or apaw). Looks as though the MMs are needing to buy in stock to fulfil market requirements. The encouraging thing is the activity after a relatively long time in the doldrums. A more appropriate sp is 0.7p to 0.8p trading range and I am expecting trading figures to justify 1p. So your top-up, pth, is cheap at the price. For proof of virility you can't have less than 1 million of these little beauties.

Eric

ptholden - 09 Jun 2005 18:31 - 700 of 2787

Eric

Most of us fall under the 'spell' of watching trades and wonder whether they are a buys or a sells and no doubt get it wrong. Often, many are guilty of declaring a large sell a buy, for no other reason than an attempt to basically mislead not only themselves but others.

'Oh, that sell was a buy, nothing to worry about, keep topping up.' When actually it was a sell and all is not well.

With regard to today's activity, I believe that the 2M and 3M trades were actually buys. TR recently purchased 1.25M shares at 0.40p, a discount to the offer of 0.05p, there is a possibilty that the same has happened again. If it is a director buy, then we will see a RNS when his purchase is complete. If they were buys then this would explain the 10% hike in the SP today. I can't think that 5M worth of sells would have prompted this reaction by the MMS.

At the end of the day (good old football saying) we don't know and may never know. Does it really matter? We are confident in our investment, the SP is up 10% with significant mileage remaining.

By the way, I would say that for proof of virility, you can't have less than TWO million of these beauties!!

pth

stockdog - 09 Jun 2005 18:54 - 701 of 2787

Nice move up today, something is/has happened to free the SP from the doldrums. TR - rainmaker - has been putting a bit of wind about to stir the sails no doubt.

Eric, BTW, remember that old joke NWT (which is why you felt duty bound to kindly introduce me to CFP as was) - we should have taken it seriously, up 50% t'other day I noticed. Just goes to show, all the best jokes are based on the truth as you know, even if at ones own expense in the end.

PTH - being naturally hairy and having a healthy appetite (in many respects), I don't feel the need to go the full 2 million to prove virility - but I may well grow to that aspiration as I continue to add to this one.

sd

overgrowth - 09 Jun 2005 19:23 - 702 of 2787

Eric - I'm with you 100% on the more appropriate trading range of 0.75p-0.80p.

DGT were trading at this level in the second half of last year, and things then didn't look half as rosy as they do now.

I'm a fully paid up member of pth's rather exclusive "virility club" and will continue to be for some time yet.

It looks as though this journey has only just started - here's to another tick up tomorrow!

EWRobson - 09 Jun 2005 21:53 - 703 of 2787

Phew! Just passed that virility test; just about the only one I would pass except for my SEO and ASC holdings. Stockdog doesn't need to prove his virility; witness the surfeit of stockpuppies.

There's a moral in the NWT tale; if you don't DYOR you are better taking a share at random than following the tipsters. sd wouldn't know about morals so we will describe it as a morsal (tasty variety)!

Eric

moneyplus - 10 Jun 2005 11:21 - 704 of 2787

holding steady--that's good!

overgrowth - 10 Jun 2005 11:30 - 705 of 2787

mp - DGT will really start racing in the 4 weeks or so in the run up to the interims which are expected around the end of July.

In the meanwhile, as you say, good to see that a slight tick up hasn't brought out a load of sellers.

As the price climbs to around the 0.70p mark there will be a quite few people baling out - watch out for this as it will only be a temporary, albeit possibly "nerve wracking" dip. Once the sellers are out at that level we should see strong buying which will take DGT to over the magical 1p mark.

Of course, all depends on future news flow - if it's obvious that DGT are raking clients in H2 at a similar pace to that in H1, then those who would have been out at 0.70p will stay in for the really big gains.

moneyplus - 10 Jun 2005 11:32 - 706 of 2787

cheers OG

ptholden - 10 Jun 2005 12:16 - 707 of 2787

Interesting comments on the other side with regard to the TGM disposal and what fees could be expected from that particular deal. Talking of quite a substantial income, will be interesting when the Interims are published to try and determine what can be allotted to recurring income, what are fees for flotations and what fees have been generated for the TGM type deals.

pth

overgrowth - 10 Jun 2005 12:25 - 708 of 2787

Good point pth - I've added it to the header.

For a deal of that size it must be worth 100-200K to DGT ?

Another one for the model sd...

stockdog - 10 Jun 2005 12:25 - 709 of 2787

pth - please expand on the TGM disposal - what is it - maybe I am aware of it in another form, maybe not

thanks

sd

overgrowth - 10 Jun 2005 12:27 - 710 of 2787

sd - check out the Tellings Golden Miller document in the library on the DGT website - it's a recent one.

ptholden - 10 Jun 2005 12:29 - 711 of 2787

sd

National Express buys Tellings Golden Miller's London bus ops
AFX


LONDON (AFX) - National Express Group PLC has expanded its presence in the London bus market with the 20.4 mln stg purchase of Tellings Golden Miller PLC's bus operations in the capital.

The sale is subject to the approval of TGM shareholders and is expected

to complete on June 17.

National Express said it will pay for the purchase from existing funds.

AIM-listed TGM's London bus division is operated through two subsidiaries, TGM Buses and TGM Middlesex. It runs 16 Transport for London contracts and a small number of contracts in Surrey.

For the year to Dec 31 2004 it made an operating profit of 2.1 mln stg on turnover of 23.9 mln stg.

National Express entered the London bus market in February 2004 through the

acquisition of Connex Bus.

'Since we entered this market ... we have been looking to increase our market share,' said Phil White, National Express' chief executive. 'This transaction will double our presence in the London bus market.'

At 7.59 am shares in National Express were unchanged at 867-1/2 pence.

As OG states talk is that DGT will receive a fee between 100k-200k??

Hope so

pth

moneyplus - 10 Jun 2005 12:37 - 712 of 2787

had a little cash spare so picked up a few more--nowhere near Eric's million though!!

overgrowth - 10 Jun 2005 12:38 - 713 of 2787

The best time to top-up IMHO mp.

stockdog - 10 Jun 2005 12:42 - 714 of 2787

pth/og - thanks. Yes, I have got this on my model - at only 10,000!!! If you think it's worth 100k, this adds 90k to my projected out turn making 721k profit for the year, an SP of 3.86 at .45p mid price.

Assuming PE should be nearer 12 - SP should be 1.40p mid / 1.26 bid.

If your estimate of 100k is true, then my target is raised to 1.25 bid by year end.

sd

ptholden - 10 Jun 2005 13:37 - 715 of 2787

sd

Must say I have no idea of what fees DGT would have earned for this deal, only reporting other specualtion, no doubt we will never know!

pth

stockdog - 10 Jun 2005 13:56 - 716 of 2787

Thanks pth.

og - where did you get your idea of 100-200k fee from?

Until proven, I shall maintain my guestimate of 10k - never hurts to be conservative.

sd

overgrowth - 10 Jun 2005 14:25 - 717 of 2787

sd - on the basis that brokers get a % cut for arranging a placing, it makes sense that a similar cut (though a good deal smaller) is taken for arranging a sizeable disposal - in fact working on a disposal probably takes up a lot more time.

The net effect is the same that the company which needs a good wedge of cash receives it promptly and I reckon they'd be prepared to pay a decent fee to get that work done.

When you're talking about DGT effectively ensuring that TGM get 20M when they need it, then I think that 100-200K is a fair price for TGM to pay - it's quite small in percentage terms.
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