stockbunny
- 05 Nov 2004 16:09
g64946
- 29 Mar 2005 22:51
- 7 of 47
I think the ex-divi date is actually the 30th
optomistic
- 30 Mar 2005 08:32
- 8 of 47
Looking at the drop, reckon you are right there g64946. Hope you are!!
g64946
- 30 Mar 2005 08:38
- 9 of 47
Here is some further news causing the sp move:
'Cattles unveiled a strong set of numbers for 2004, with underlying profit up 15% to 141.2m as growth at its consumer division continued strongly.
The lender sent a shiver through its shareholders though as it warned 2004 profits would have been 30% lower under new IFRS accounting standards due to changes in the timing of the booking of fees and when debts are in arrears. '
optomistic
- 30 Mar 2005 08:45
- 10 of 47
Thanks g64946 but I do think the IFRS has been 'in the price' for some while, probably the cause of the drop from the recent highs. Looking forward now to a climb away from todays levels.
stockbunny
- 30 Mar 2005 08:46
- 11 of 47
looks like the ex-div affect has kicked in folks.
optomistic
- 30 Mar 2005 14:30
- 12 of 47
Up a touch when taking the divi out of the equation.
stockbunny
- 30 Mar 2005 15:57
- 13 of 47
Not worth taking any notice really of the price today, easier
to wait for it to stabilise again and there isn't much doing
well today anyway, ex-div or not.
aldwickk
- 30 Mar 2005 17:05
- 14 of 47
If you won't cattles to break out, leave the gate open.
stockbunny
- 31 Mar 2005 10:48
- 15 of 47
Morning Aldwickk!
;>)
jone3261
- 08 Apr 2005 14:45
- 16 of 47
Down again today yet there doesnt seem to have been any company specific bad news for CTT whatsoever the accounting changes will affect how earnings are recorded, but the 18 March webcast of the full year figures (available at www.cattles.co.uk) was very upbeat, and the figures seemed impressive- real earnings are still heading in very much the right direction.
It seems to me that almost any news is taken with the worst possible outlook the good thing is that this creates a buying opportunity I suppose and I added to my holding yesterday, and would be happy to do again if this downwards trend continues, because in the long term, CTT looks like a sound investment (good yield, well covered, low PE etc.)
Other than the accounting change which knocked the price last month, in February UBS downgraded CTT from buy to neutral and the price fell 12 to 397 at the very same time though UBS said that even though they could not recommend CTT as a buy, they were UPGRADING the price target from 435 to 460 another example of the bad news winning out.
And the previous month, Investors Chronicle had CTT as a buy and a week later we were at 416 that seemed quickly forgotten.
The point I am making is that this recent weakness doesnt seem to be justified (other than the fact that the price is always right, since if it were obviously cheap, buyers would force the price higher)
Apparently Barclays hold nearly 15% of CTT last summer HSBC were rumoured to be looking at a bid (CTT denied it) and of course HSBC bought Household for 9 billion in the US in 2002 (and paid a 30% premium over the pre-bid share price) which already owns HFC and Beneficial in the UK. London Scottish Bank is similar to CTT in terms of business, but a fifth of the size, and probably not a target.
More than once this year various brokers have recommended switching from Provident Financial into Cattles, and CTTs PE ratio is a good 20% cheaper than PFGs. Going forward I think that sitting tight makes sense, because right now, I cant see any reason why I would want to trade CTT any other way than to buy more. Either the market will alter its view as CTT continues to perform, or perhaps a Bank will make a move..
DYOR (Ive done mine.)
g64946
- 08 Apr 2005 14:49
- 17 of 47
Well said jone3621 - my sentiments entirely. Seems to have dropped further than justified recently & expect to see this tick up in the next few weeks.
stockbunny
- 08 Apr 2005 14:55
- 18 of 47
Ditto..
:>)
London Scottish and Prov. Financial are also down, guess it's
a temporary 'down on the sub-primes' period!
jone3261
- 12 Apr 2005 16:28
- 19 of 47
Well I can't say I'm surprised that ctt are up today - I posted in detail on 8 April about the recent news, and how it has been reported - we know that the accounting changes will affect how earnings are reported, but actual earnings growth seems likely to continue.
Given January's Investors Chronicle 'buy' recommendation, UBS raising the price target from 435 to 460 in February, the still low PE, and well covered dividend - and no company specific bad news - there does come a point when buyers will step in.
I do understand the logic of waiting for the price to turn before taking a long position, but taking a longer term stance, I prefer to take a stance and stick with it until the story changes.
In fact given that before the 'accounting news story' these were happy in the mid 370's only four weeks ago - whilst supply and demand will always move the price one way or another, what's actaully caused this company to be less attractive as an investment??
Maybe nothing - we shall see....
sutherlh1
- 06 Sep 2005 13:54
- 20 of 47
Is this a chance for a top up, or time to get out? Excellent yield and PER, anyone know why these has been hit so hard today?
stockbunny
- 06 Sep 2005 14:03
- 21 of 47
You're not alone in trying to find a reason, so far drawn a blank.
You must decide if it's a good time to top up - it all depends on your
current holding, what your break-even is, what you want to achieve and
how long you are looking to hold etc etc.
sutherlh1
- 06 Sep 2005 16:16
- 22 of 47
Thanks Stockbunny, I was thinking initially of buying some FP. to pair up with my CTT holding. I think FP will eventually be taken over in a life industry consolidation. It too has a good yield and low PER in the meantime. I think I will go with the latter.
stockbunny
- 07 Sep 2005 16:05
- 23 of 47
CTT is regaining ground today :>)
hangon
- 09 Jan 2008 20:37
- 24 of 47
Why no "fundamental Data" . . . . ?
The SP is about the same as Sept2005, when the Posts stopped.
I believe that Prov. Finance PFG is similar . . . . but which is the "better-value".. . ?
( Not FP. )
PFG and CTT are both in the "sub-prime market" - although it seems their risk-taking is minimal and NOT to be confused with the US-sub-prime.
HARRYCAT
- 10 Jan 2008 08:42
- 25 of 47
Cattles raises it's cash from corporate bonds, which does not seem to cause concern in the markets, so it doesn't really fall in the same category as the high street banks.
Consumer credit accounts for approx 90% of their loan book of which only approx 7% is bad debt. They are running a tight ship, imo & should benefit from the withdrawal of the banks from this sector. However, the sp is cyclical & looking at the 5 year chart you need to pick your entry & exit points carefully.
spitfire43
- 10 Jan 2008 17:21
- 26 of 47
As always the market seems over pessimistic, and find the present mark down with CTT surprising, it seems to be falling faster than the banks at the moment.
I checked back at the charts and noticed that the 2003 low was 238, which if reached again would put them on a yield of 8.5%.
Too tempting for me at that price.