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The Forex Thread (FX)     

hilary - 31 Dec 2003 13:00

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MightyMicro - 15 Dec 2006 21:04 - 7003 of 11056

Mel:

So Miss M is in the Catherine Tate role: "Am I bovvered?"

Best of luck to her, if she's taken all the paternal tutoring in, she's well prepared.

MM

Melnibone - 15 Dec 2006 21:17 - 7004 of 11056

Cheers MM, she deserves a break after what she's been through the
past 5yrs.
Maybe it was being so close to death and living under its shadow every
day is what gives her the Catherine Tate attitude.
There's probably a good message there for the rest of us.

Anyway, fingers and toes crossed. :-))

MightyMicro - 18 Dec 2006 14:50 - 7005 of 11056

Nicole Elliott, Mizuho Corporate Bank, on Cable:

"Consolidating a lot more neatly than some other currency pairs in what is very much corrective mode. It is an A, B, C-type move where C equals 61 percent of A. Cable is no longer overbought and momentum is still bullish. Ballooning open interest is a little scary. For this morning expect consolidation between $1.9500 and $1.9650."

Dil - 18 Dec 2006 15:29 - 7006 of 11056

Closed 1/3 of my position at 1.9465 , trailing stop loss on rest now moved to 1.9540.

Melnibone - 18 Dec 2006 19:07 - 7007 of 11056

Evening.
First missive of the week to Miss M.
I can't be bothered with Oil at the moment. When it breaks the range
I've been showing, or if we get a significant news item, then we'll
comment on it.

Being weighing stuff up, and if the data releases this week don't change
anything, I'm looking to get a long / position (as near to 0.6700 as possible),
for a longer term hold for 2007.
I'm looking for the interest rate differential to close and Sterling to weaken generally
against crosses other than the Dollar (don't know which way to call the Dollar).
Anyone else got a view on this cross?

hilary - 18 Dec 2006 20:05 - 7008 of 11056

Mel,

Sorry a bit too busy to post in detail or give detailed reasons, but:

a) Chunnel's like watching paint dry. I'd give it a wide berth personally. Cable & Sterling/Yen are where the parties are at.
b) There's a tasty falling resistance line on your Dollar Index chart passing down through the highs since mid-October. I would've thought that the World, his wife and their pet poodle are going to be spraying the damn thing all over the shop as soon as it gets within touching distance of it. That could also coincide with a break of US Crude to the topside of the range at $64.

Melnibone - 18 Dec 2006 21:09 - 7009 of 11056

Thanks for the reply, Hilary.
The Sterling/ Yen cross sounds interesting, especially with the sentiment
leaning towards a BOJ interest rate rise circa February and my leanings
towards Sterling topping out against crosses other than the Dollar.

I'll check it out.

Dil - 18 Dec 2006 23:05 - 7010 of 11056

I have now moved stop loss to 1.9515

hilary - 19 Dec 2006 08:21 - 7011 of 11056

Cable and fiber combine to comprise nearly 70% of the USD Index. They've both bounced heavily since yesterday afternoon and here's the USD Index chart showing the resistance line that I mentioned last night.

Note the moving average line is still pointing firmly down on that daily chart.

hodgins - 19 Dec 2006 09:05 - 7012 of 11056

Thin markets, great if you are on right side of it.
GBP/Yen new recent high or to roll over?
Tight "gain locks" best philosophy

Dil - 19 Dec 2006 09:06 - 7013 of 11056

Stopped out , 1/3 100 pips gain 2/3 50 pips gain.

Have to wait for next signal now .

hilary - 19 Dec 2006 09:20 - 7014 of 11056

Dilbert,

Not sure what signals you're using and it's all too easy to be a smart Alec after the event, but when it broke through the topside of the Asian range at about 7:30am it was only ever going to go one way. In terms of oscillators, both stochs and MACD on the 1-hour charts turned up around 1am or 2am.

hilary - 19 Dec 2006 09:29 - 7015 of 11056

My $2 by Crimbo looks a bit more likely now.

Where's MM on this foggy morning?

:o)

MightyMicro - 02 Aug 2006 14:31 - 12 of 53
Hil:

Oh, and you are a harbinger of doom and gloom -- but you might be right. Except about the $2/GBP. That's been threatened several times in the last 15 years.......

MightyMicro - 19 Dec 2006 09:35 - 7016 of 11056

Hil: Not often you see a currency ramped . . .

hilary - 19 Dec 2006 09:47 - 7017 of 11056

Maybe I should have won a prize for Ramper of the Year, instead. Eh, MM?

:o)

Bullshare - 19 Dec 2006 10:12 - 7018 of 11056

Hilary; I think you have won that award too often!

hilary - 19 Dec 2006 10:18 - 7019 of 11056

Errrrrrrrrrmm. I wonder who might have stood on a stage in front of a couple of hundred people and said:

"Let's take a look at a chart for Bioprogress. You should all fillyerboats. I certainly have done already."

It wasn't me on that stage. Why do the words pot, kettle and black spring to mind there, Doris?

:o)

Dil - 19 Dec 2006 10:26 - 7020 of 11056

Hils , just using some moving averages for entry and a stop loss strategy . Only time will tell if it works but posted entry / exits and stop losses for all to see as soon as I could.

Glad I didn't listen to that BPRG ramper , who was it ?

:-)

Dil - 19 Dec 2006 10:32 - 7021 of 11056

Oh and if I had an opinion on GBP/USD it would be that its going to $2.00+ but I will only trade when preset requirements kick in.

Sorry to be so vague but you'll all be paying me for this system this time next year :-)

hilary - 19 Dec 2006 10:43 - 7022 of 11056

Dilbert,

MA crossovers are good for direction, but you also, imo, need some oscillators too. Chocopop's Magic MACDTM settings are good as are stochastics. It's then a case of getting direction from a slow chart and timing your entries and exits from a fast chart.

And the BPRG ramper. Not sure of his name, but he was speaking in the Bugle Club at the time. Have you heard of it?
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