niceonecyril
- 04 Apr 2009 08:30
Balerboy
- 13 Jan 2010 15:16
- 702 of 3666
what are you on about, think you've lost it now cynic. must be the broth & bromide combination.
halifax
- 13 Jan 2010 15:17
- 703 of 3666
cynic bullshit and brains spring to mind.
jimmy b
- 13 Jan 2010 15:53
- 704 of 3666
From Oil Barrel.....................................
January 13, 2010
Afren Rises Again As Ebok-6 Exceeds Pre-Drill Expectations
Shares in Afren plc, which breached the 100 pence a share threshold earlier this month, continued their relentless march upwards this week after the London-listed E&P with big ambitions in Africa scored another reserves triumph on the Ebok field in Nigeria.
Results from the Ebok-6 appraisal well have exceeded pre-drill expectations, with the well finding 107 feet of gross oil pay and boosting the oil-in-place number for the D2 reservoir sands in the southern lobe of the field by a whopping 400 per cent. The shares added another two pence on the news to close at 105.5 pence.
The well has upgraded the volumetrics for the D2 southern lobe to 135 million barrels of oil, of which 23 million barrels is reckoned to be recoverable; pre-drill, the recoverable volume for this portion of the field was just eight million barrels. The success of Ebok-6 has lifted the total 2P recoverable reserve estimate to 116 million barrels, which means the three appraisal wells drilled by Afren on the field have added an incremental 91 million barrels of recoverable oil.
This shows the value a well-resourced and technically clued-up company can bring to these types of so-called marginal discoveries. Ebok, which lies in shallow waters some 50 km offshore, was discovered in the late 1960s by Mobil and appraised in the 1970s. This is still Mobil territory, with the field surrounded by producing ExxonMobil fields that pump some 850,000 bpd. Ebok joined the ranks of undeveloped discoveries discarded by the oil majors as too small to develop and that were later handed out to local companies as the government sought to nurture an indigenous oil industry.
Yet many of these indigenous companies lacked the funding or know-how to bring these finds to market. The smart ones partner up with western companies with the right blend of financial, technical and commercial skills to ensure a successful project. Here, indigenous company Oriental struck gold by pairing up with Afren, an E&P start-up with an impressive management team and ambitions to become a leading pan-African energy company.
Since Afren joined Oriental in the project, the field has grown in materiality. The partners drilled the Ebok-4 appraisal well in late 2008, a well that exceeded pre-drill expectations. The well encountered a total gross oil column of 284 ft in high quality reservoir sands and produced 1,450 bpd under drill stem testing. The oil was 20 to 25-degree API. The partners have since clocked up a 100 per cent strike rate on the field, materially adding to the resource base.
This is no longer a marginal field and work on the first phase of the development got underway last month. The first phase development plan comprises five horizontal oil production wells in the D2 reservoir, one horizontal oil production well targeting the D1 reservoir and one water injection well in the central Fault Block 1 and Fault Block 2 areas of the field. The associated gas will be used to fuel the processing plant and as gas lift to help drive production rates.
All wells will be drilled from a Well-head Support Structure and mobile offshore production unit. The WSS has already been built and is en route to the field and contract discussions for the production facilities are underway.
After the initial development phase, there will be additional work to bring onstream the reserves in the D2 Southern Lobe, the D1 reservoir and Fault Block West. There is also additional upside to appraise, including the potential within the West Flank Qua Iboe structure, the D2 Upside Extension and the Fault Block North, which could bring another 66 million barrels of recoverable reserves to the table.
Production guidance issued earlier this year pointed to fast-track output of 25,000 bpd in early 2010 with full-field development of 50,000 bpd. Given that the company has made a virtue of meeting or beating its targets, there seems every chance this timetable will be met and that next year the company will take yet another significant step towards its production goal of 100,000 bpd by the end of 2012.
halifax
- 13 Jan 2010 15:57
- 705 of 3666
hope this one doesn't end up like SEY.
jimmy b
- 13 Jan 2010 16:02
- 706 of 3666
Dont be such a pessimist halifax.
cynic
- 13 Jan 2010 16:23
- 707 of 3666
if you lived in halifax, you'ld be pretty glum too!
that said, i no longer pay attention to oilbarrel as i came to the conclusion that the postings were self-serving rather than objective reporting
jimmy b
- 13 Jan 2010 21:27
- 708 of 3666
:-) Still good projections going forward though cynic.
jimmy b
- 14 Jan 2010 17:33
- 709 of 3666
Questor share tip: Afren is a risky buy but there's plenty of upside
Further drilling success in Nigeria has boosted Afren shares this week but there could well be more good news to come.
By Garry White, Questor Editor
Published: 6:30AM GMT 14 Jan 2010
Afren
102p -3
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The company has completed its programme at its offshore Ebok field, with the final well exceeding the group's "pre-drill expectations". The company has therefore increased the recoverable oil figure at Ebok-6 to 23m barrels from 8m barrels. This propelled Afren's shares to a 16-month high. The company still has an active drilling programme in 2010, but you must remember that all drilling programmes carry risk.
The average price target of the 15 analysts monitored by Bloomberg with ratings on the shares is 118p, not much more than the current share price. However, as drilling programmes are "de-risked" this price could move higher. Of the 15 analysts, 13 of them have a "buy" stance on the shares.
Upside remains from the group's 10-well drilling programme in Nigeria, Congo, Ivory Coast and Ghana, which is targeting 600m barrels a day in total.
There is also the chance of acquisitions. When Afren raised 105m in a placing in November, Osman Shahenshah, the company's chief executive, implied that some of the funds could be used for strategic purposes. This week he said that the group was studying a couple of acquisitions.
The shares are up 74pc since their initial recommendation on July 2 at 58p compared with a market up 30pc. The shares are a buy, but investors must consider the inherent risk involved in the oil exploration industry.
blanche
- 15 Jan 2010 10:53
- 710 of 3666
Back from bloody cold florida. Coldest 3 wks in 20 years there. Even had snow flurries. Well at least afren has warmed me a bit. Thought the last news would have got us through the 1.10. But i suppose this is afren and nothing is straight forward. Anyway coffee time check in later.
Balerboy
- 15 Jan 2010 11:11
- 711 of 3666
perhaps we can get some sence back on the board now then blanche, cynics been super critical of me since you been gone, reckon he's pining.......lol. sorry it wasn't so sunny, should have come to tenerife with me........now theres a thought.....maybe next year.
cynic
- 15 Jan 2010 11:44
- 712 of 3666
or dubai with me next week!
Balerboy
- 15 Jan 2010 11:47
- 713 of 3666
oi, get back in your cupboard and lie down!!
required field
- 15 Jan 2010 12:09
- 714 of 3666
Must be a big cupboard then ......
Balerboy
- 15 Jan 2010 12:11
- 715 of 3666
He howls at the moon too...
cynic
- 15 Jan 2010 12:12
- 716 of 3666
+ hairy palms
niceonecyril
- 15 Jan 2010 12:44
- 717 of 3666
Announced today J P Morgan increased its stake to over 5%.
cyril
halifax
- 15 Jan 2010 12:59
- 718 of 3666
RNS states indirect shareholding.
jimmy b
- 15 Jan 2010 14:25
- 719 of 3666
blanche , which coast were you on in Florida ?? i live on the Gulf Coast and it has been cold but i dont know where they have had snow flurries.
blanche
- 15 Jan 2010 15:53
- 720 of 3666
jimmy b, Travelled all over. But listening to local tv stations a few places had record lows and some people had sent in photos to the station to show a very light dusting of snow. Just guessing but i think it was ocala way. I arrived on xmas day to 75`f spent three weeks traving round temps whole time late 20`s to 30`s at night. Only up to 50`s if you were lucky during the day Brrr!!!!!. Except new years eve in siesta key sat outside the skob ( Siesta key oyster bay) til the pineapple dropped. Then sods law back in the 70`s yesterday in Sea world.
jimmy b
- 15 Jan 2010 16:27
- 721 of 3666
Bad luck blanche ,you probably picked the worst 3 weeks in Florida history.
Friends of mine who have lived there all their lives say its never been that cold.