jasonwalt
- 20 Aug 2004 13:58
Brokers Hargreave Hale gave the following Valuation for HMY
VALUATION
The nearest comparisons to this Group are Sondex, trading on a current year multiple of 14 and Weir Group which typically trades on multiples of 12 plus. We would argue that Hamworthys prospects are brighter than both these companies in view of the strong order book and the global positioning. Fully taxed earnings of 13p this year and 16.5 p for the 2005/6 end March, suggests a current year PE of 9.9x and a prospective PE of 7.8x. There is a prospective yield in excess of 4%. If trading on a similar PER to Sondex the shares would be valued at in excess of 180p. We would argue that a premium to Sondex is justifiable, in particular because of the potential ramp up to sales as a result of the new product pipeline now gaining client acceptance in what is in any event one of the fastest growing markets in the world.
"Shares" Article relating to Hamworthy (HMY) posted below for info.
With a following wind these shares should double over the next year or so.
Some catty folk in the City say the flotation last month by Collins Stewart
could have been handled better, i.e. at a higher price. It was certainly over
subscribed but the rating is half that of similar oil sector service companies
including Sondex.
Madison
- 08 Sep 2005 21:54
- 707 of 915
And another:
LNG & LPG
Cheniere Energy seeks suppliers for North American Gateway plan
Company News
Imports increase ahead of future market need, writes Tony Gray- Thursday September 08 2005
Cheniere Energy is seeking to purchase up to 200 cargoes of liquefied natural gas a year under its so-called North American LNG Gateway Programme.
The Houston company is inviting proposals from LNG suppliers for the years 20082010.
The programme will accommodate both ex-ship and free on board basis ship-by-ship sales, as well as term transactions for a period of up to three years.
Cheniere said its North American LNG Gateway will provide global suppliers with a direct platform to nominate cargoes into the groups LNG import terminals starting with the Sabine Pass facility, which is currently under construction in Louisiana.
The programme will be administered by the recently formed Cheniere LNG Trading & Marketing, which will serve as purchaser of the LNG and as marketer of the natural gas to a pool of North American buyers.
The group believes that over the next decade LNG will represent 20%-25% of US natural gas supply.
The Sabine Pass LNG terminal, which is being constructed in Cameron Parish, along the Sabine-Neches Ship Channel, is set to become North Americas largest import terminal.
It will be capable of receiving vessels of up to 250,000 cu m and is permitted for 2.6 bn cu ft per day of sendout capacity in its first phase.
However, Cheniere has filed with the US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission to expand the facilitys sendout capacity to 4bn cu ft a day.
The projects capacity holders are French energy giant Total, with 1bn cu ft a day, and Chevron, with 700m cu ft a day, for 20 years.
Chevron has an option to increase its capacity to 1bn cu ft a day at the beginning of December.
Construction of Sabine Pass commenced in March.
ENDS
Just examples of the steady stream of LNG news. A lot of longterm potential for Hamworthy.
Cheers, Madison
Madison
- 09 Sep 2005 12:40
- 708 of 915
Well, more good news today. This gets better and better:
Hamworthy says wins 25 mln stg LNG contract from Norway's Gasnor
AFX
LONDON (AFX) - Hamworthy PLC said it has been awarded a 25 mln stg LNG liquefaction contract from Norwegian natural gas company Gasnor.
The company, which designs and manufacture marine and offshore fluid handling systems, said the contract is for an unmanned land-based liquid natural gas processing plant at Kollsnes in the western coastal area of Norway.
newsdesk@afxnews.com
Cheers, Madison
Madison
- 09 Sep 2005 13:01
- 709 of 915
What is particularly interesting about this project is that it is a development of land-based liquefication plants. (Hamworthy previously built a much smaller one for Kollsnes).
The importance of this is that the future of LNG and Hamworthy has often been discussed here in shipping terms. But there are many land based opportunities - for example the proposed pipeline between Iran and India.
"Iran has to finalise gas field development plans and award contracts for building facilities for liquefying the gas by 2006, an Indian Petroleum ministry official said. Iran will be liable to pay $50m to India in case of delays in awarding these contracts.
India included this penalty clause in the $22bn deal it signed with Iran in June for the import of 5m tonnes of LNG for 25 years, so that the gas reaches its shores as per the committed schedule of 2009-2010.
Cheers, Madison
accord
- 09 Sep 2005 14:32
- 710 of 915
excellent news, im glad i stuck with them
Madison
- 16 Sep 2005 16:10
- 711 of 915
Some serious buying today...
Madison
- 18 Sep 2005 20:45
- 712 of 915
From the FT on Saturday, an interview by Lucy Warwick-Ching with Charles Thomas head of Jupiter Ecology Fund:
What is your current top tip?
"The increasing awareness of the need for a lower carbon environment is propelling demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) and shipped gas. A company which particularly impresses me is Hamworthy, a leading designer, developer and manufacturer of advanced marine fluid handling products. It boasts a strong market position in this growing sector. Hamworthy is run by experienced management and has a long-standing reputation within the LNG and shipped gas industry, which has high barriers to entry. The shares trade on a price/earnings ratio of 15 and with strong growth prospects and potential for acquisitions, I am positive about the outlook for the company."
Cheers, Madison
goldfinger
- 19 Sep 2005 23:27
- 713 of 915
What a corker this one as been guys still holding and thinking of adding. Seemingly we are in for a very bad winter can only speed up the process of inporting LNG.
cheers Gf
mickeyskint
- 20 Sep 2005 11:15
- 714 of 915
GF
Jumped ship at 230 but thinking of getting back in. Where do you see it going from here or is the smart money already in.
MS
goldfinger
- 20 Sep 2005 11:19
- 715 of 915
Well 2006 we become net importers of LNG which should mean this sector should boom. I havent yet worked out the revised P/E still jet lagged.
cheers GF. Going to hold myself for more gains whatever. Read a report from Mark Slater last night where he said he couldnt see oil or gas prices stagnating /dropping for years to come.
mickeyskint
- 20 Sep 2005 11:22
- 716 of 915
I think Mark Slater is right. He also likes SEY.
MS
goldfinger
- 20 Sep 2005 11:25
- 717 of 915
Yup saw that aswell. Only trouble is it looks like every tom dick and harry are already in it.
cheers GF.
Madison
- 22 Sep 2005 21:36
- 718 of 915
From Lloyds List:
Hundreds of LNG ships must be built says Cook
AS GLOBAL demand for liquefied natural gas rockets over the next 30 years, more than 400 new liquefied natural gas carriers will be required to cover transportation requirements, writes Martyn Wingrove.
In order to cover the rapidly increasing shipping needs for this sector, more shipyards capable of building LNG vessels are also needed.
Linda Cook, Royal Dutch Shells executive director of gas and power, forecast demand for LNG cargoes will increase five-fold by 2030, meaning 100 more processing trains will need to be built and a fleet of more than 600 LNG carriers will be required.
Global LNG demand will grow at 10% per year over the next 10 years and capacity with increase five-fold by 2030, she said at Londons Oil & Money conference.
From a fleet of 179 ships we will need more than 600 while there are 69 under construction or on order.
Growth in the sector is driven by bulging demand from North American LNG markets, plus expanding requirements for cargoes to Europe and emerging markets in Asia, including China and India.
Growth in LNG has been enabled by significant reductions in capital costs, plus increases in train and ship sizes, making LNG more viable over longer distances, said Ms Cook.
John Martin, managing director of ABN Amro bank, carried on the discussion by urging more shipyards to enter the LNG vessel building market to keep ship costs down.
The trend in LNG shipping is that vessel size is growing, he said. We need more competition from the yards and new yards to come into the market. There is also pressure on costs from steel prices and on charter rates. Speculative newbuilds are a key driver to develop the spot market.
He expects global inter-regional trade in natural gas to treble with half of this using LNG. He forecast the whole LNG chain will need investment of $250bn to meet demand for new plants, ships and regasification facilities.
Cheers, Madison
goldfinger
- 23 Sep 2005 12:23
- 719 of 915
Fantastic piece of research madders, well done.
cheers GF.
goldfinger
- 28 Sep 2005 11:31
- 720 of 915
A nice ride up here aswell this morning.
cheers Gf.
Madison
- 28 Sep 2005 16:05
- 721 of 915
Thought it was looking perky today:
Hamworthy plc
28 September 2005
Press release 28 September 2005
Hamworthy plc
Hyundai Heavy Industries awards Hamworthy contract
for LPG reliquefaction package
Hamworthy plc (HMY.L), a world leader in the design and manufacture of
innovative marine and offshore fluid handling systems, has won an order to
supply a liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) reliquefaction package for two very large
gas carriers (VLGC) at Hyundai Heavy Industries (HHI). The contract has a value
in excess of 8 million and includes all cargo related engineering and
equipment.
The ships will be constructed at HHI in Ulsan, Korea for delivery to Bergesen
World Wide, the biggest operator of large size LPG ships in the world. The
Hamworthy LPG plants are expected to be delivered to HHI during 2007.
Kelvyn Derrick, Chief Executive of Hamworthy plc, said: 'This is the first LPG
cargo handling package that Hamworthy has won at HHI. Very large LPG carriers is
a sector of particular strength for Hamworthy and we are extremely pleased to
have this contract with HHI which is not only the largest ship builder in the
world but is also the largest builder of LPG carriers with an average of 15
delivered annually.'
goldfinger
- 28 Sep 2005 23:24
- 722 of 915
Yes what a cracker of a deal. More to come me thinks.
cheers GF.
HUSTLER
- 29 Sep 2005 00:01
- 723 of 915
Sorry to say Gf
Moved this one on below 3.00
Two days b4 they anounced the new 25mill order.
Didn't like forward earnings,
but cleared a good profit.
I think now on reflection i got it wrong big,
well you can't win them all.
All the best to those still in.
HUSTLER
goldfinger
- 29 Sep 2005 00:38
- 724 of 915
You cant win them all Hustler although you win a lot more than most. I still beleive theres a lot of growth in this one so I wouldnt give up on it even at this level.
cheers GF.
sbettis1959
- 29 Sep 2005 19:49
- 725 of 915
Historically their profit margin has been around 6-7%.
However, the reliquification plants are state of the art technology with a sky high entry barrier. Consequently, would expect the profit margin on this business to be much higher say 15-20%, with recurring income from maintenance contracts over the 25 year life of the vessels.
Since the beginning of 2005, in addition to their exisiting pump business HMY has signed contracts to supply over 100 million of vessel and shore based reliquification sysytems. This would suggest a considerable increase in profits should be delivered through a combination of increased turnover and higher profit margins.
With first orders achieved to supply reliquification plants for LNG & LPG vessels and a shore based application HMY is now extremely well placed to take advantage of the expansion in LNG & LPG demand over the coming years. imo
sbettis1959
- 29 Sep 2005 19:54
- 726 of 915
Potential New Business
Lloyd's List 29.9.2005 - Nakalit lines up record $1.8bn LNG ships order
QATAR Gas Transport Co, also known as Nakilat, is set to re-write the record books once again with contracts for the largest and most expensive liquefied natural gas carriers ever ordered.
The company is poised to order six 250,000 cu m vessels worth $1.8bn.
The vessels will serve the fifth liquefaction train of the Qatargas II project, the joint venture between Qatar Petroleum and ExxonMobil, which is now understood to have opted to employ the so-called Q-Max design rather than a fleet of Q-Flex vessels of about 210,000 cu m.
Nakilat managing director Robert Curt said the company had set mid-October as the target date for determining its equity share in the vessels.
The market expects the six $300m shipbuilding contracts to be placed shortly after.
Nakilats normal practice has been to order the vessels in partnership with other established shipowners.
However, Mr Curt indicated that the company had not ruled out retaining 100% of vessel ownership, in which case it would hire a pre- approved manager to run the ships.
Earlier this year, Nakilat and its partner Teekay Shipping ordered what are the largest LNG carriers to date four 217,000 cu m vessels on the back of charters from Ras Laffan Liquefied Natural Gas 3.
The Teekay tonnage is being built by South Koreas Samsung Heavy Industries at a total contract price of about $1bn or $250m a vessel.
The Q-Max vessels will also be built in South Korean yards.
LNG carrier newbuilding prices peaked at about $280m in 1991.
But this was the cost of a vessel not much more than half of the size that Nakilat is now contemplating ordering, and is not inflation adjusted.
Mr Curt also said Nakilat was seeking to increase the level of its debt financing as its fleet grows.
Nakilats financing arrangements have been structured with 20% equity and 80% debt.
Mr Curt said the company was looking to increase debt financing to 85% and reduce equity to 15% in future deals.
As we build our track record, and become more credit-worthy, we feel we will be able to achieve those figures, he said, adding that the upcoming six-ship deal will reflect that arrangement.
Of the 85% financing, a large amount will come from export credit banks, while the rest will be split between capital markets, local banks and Islamic financing options.
Nakilat was formed to be the Qatari shipowning company for LNG exports by both Qatargas and RasGas as well as the combined associated products such as liquefied petroleum gas, sulphur, and perhaps condensate and gas-to-liquids products.
Although Qatargas II has apparently decided to go with the Q-Max design for train five, Mr Curt stressed that future trains could use conventional sized tonnage, Q-Flex and Q-Max vessels, or a combination depending on sales destinations.
Nakilat has previously said it may require a fleet of about 90 LNG carriers over the next five years.
But the numbers are a moving target as the LNG ventures decide where they will be delivering the gas and in what size ships.
Qatar is expected to have the worlds largest fleet of LNG carriers by 2010.