Forex rebates on every trade - win or lose!

Hi y'all, hope you all had an excellent festive season. Back in spain after a couple of hectic months. Trying to get back into the swing of the markets, $2 beckoning?

Harlosh hope your health scare nothing too serious, had a heart scare myself a year ago.

I think we should have a MoneyAM sweepstake on where it's going to stop. MM's offering his tin hat and commode to the winner.

I bags $2.40 as a revised target. I think MM wants $1.30. Anyone else?

:o)

H. no confusion here.. D.

btw nice pie...

Just thought my mentor Hils would appreciate knowing I'm currently about 140 points in profit, stop sitting at 100 points so will wait and see what happens next week.

Hil: While I admit that $1.30 would suit my book, I have to be realistic and content myself with dreams of $1.85.

BTW, Hil, do you have a Manchester weather feed for Chocopops?

How about this?

Goforit,

It was a serious scare but I think scare is over despite the symptoms persisting thanks. Welcome back too.

Sorry to hear about your health scare Harlosh, it seems to be the season
for it.

Had some trouble with Mrs. Mel over Christmas. Went to Hospital twice.
They operated this week and everything seems ok again.
Hope to get back to some trading and chart/view posting again, shortly.
Depends how soon Mrs. Mel stops looking like a ghost and I can ditch
the nurse outfit, (those black woolly tights are dead itchy) :-)

Miss Mel might be getting one of her investment bank interviews, next week,
so fingers crossed that she doesn't screw it up.

Hopefully back soon. Catch you later.

Thanks Mel and I hope Mrs Mel gets well soon too. It really does seem to be the season for it.

"The US Federal Reserve will need to slash interest rates three times this year as the housing slump goes from bad to worse and the American consumer begins to buckle, Goldman Sachs has warned."

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2007/01/15/bcngold115.xml

[14:56 NEWS: BoE To Publish King Letter at 10:30GMT if CPI Above 3.0%] If
annualized UK December CPI comes in above 3.0% at 09:30GMT tomorrow, the BoE
will publish Governor Mervyn King"s open letter of explanation to Chancellor
Gordon Brown at 10:30GMT (Reuters).
Should such a letter be necessary, King will have to explain why CPI has moved
over 1.0% from its 2.0% target level. He would also have to detail the policy
action he is taking to deal with it, state how long it is likely to take for CPI
to return to target, and say how the BoE approach meets the government"s
monetary policy objectives (FT, p3).

[15:42 FX OPTIONS: GBP/USD Risk Reversals Favour GBP Calls] London, January 15.
Risk reversals hold a topside strike premium across the curve, with 1-mth 25
delta R/R 0.15/0.35 GBP calls over last. The 3-mth 25 delta R/R is currently
0.2/0.4 GBP calls over. The 1-year 25 delta R/R is presently 0.35/0.5 GBP calls
over.
On the exotic front: barriers reside up at 1.9900 and 2.0000, with a further
batch of triggers located above 2.0000. Sterling scaled a 14-year peak of 1.9849
at the start of last month (Dec 1).

[16:17 FX OPTIONS: GBP/USD Another 1.9650 Expiry Tomorrow] London, January 15.
Another 1.9650 option strike rolls off at tomorrow"s 10am EST NY cut (Tuesday,
15:00GMT), to follow today"s 1.9650 expiry.
This week"s key UK event risk is tomorrow"s 09:30GMT disclosure of December
inflation figures (See 2339 ).

Well done with the trade, Seymour. Please try not to let them spook you.

Welcome back Harlosh & Mel.

Good to see this thread come alive again. Currently about +200... Stop locked in at +157.

My view varies slightly from yours, Hils, in that there could be more upside to above 87 - but then the downside should easily take out 2005's low.



Nice to see the boys are back in town.
Well, almost all - all we need now is the mega motu :)

You could be right with your line, Choccy. It was really to demonstrate the general current strength of the greenback and to say that there was probably some more short term upside for it first. You'll frighten the Fairy though with talk of fresh lows.

:o)

Seymour,

You've got a nice rising support line to act as a stop on your trade. It passes through the lows of 11th and 12th Jan and is currently around the 1.9640 level. It's confirmed that support in Asian trade already this morning, so when it goes ............

Thanks Hils, stop now at 1.9620

It's all on the CPI and whether Merv has to write a letter to Gordon The Moron. I'd love to have been a fly on the wall if/when he wrote it.

:o)

Had a dream last night that cable went to 2.1000 this morning on terrible CPI! Oh how sad I'm becoming.

I just can't see that the CPI's going to be good if interest rates went up unexpectedly, but maybe not that bad!!!

It's all down to whether the strike was because of bad data or whether it was pre-emptive, Seymour. The market clearly thinks the data was bad and is expecting Merv to have written a letter.

UK inflation rate increases to 3%

The UK's rate of inflation jumped to 3% in December, according to the latest set of official figures.
The rise in the Consumer Prices Index, up from a rate of 2.7% in November, was at the top end of expectations.

However, an increase had been widely expected following last week's shock rise in interest rates to 5.25% by the Bank of England.

Retail Price Index inflation, which includes mortgage interest payments, rose to 4.4% in December from 3.9%.

No letter though.