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Retail Decisions - The only decision you need to make is when to buy! (RTD)     

overgrowth - 13 May 2005 16:36

Retail Decisions are market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally, though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers both in the UK and US. They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this "forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout 2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of millions of shares in RTD !

Shares Magazine had a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution". It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.

Here's what Shares had to say: "Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions. Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime. Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already has fantastic experience and technology. The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer, T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner of Macy's and Bloomingdales. Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."

Retail Decisions have continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz. fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through. In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company is doing. The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=RTD&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=RTD&Si

Fred1new - 06 Mar 2006 15:44 - 718 of 1009

Have you noticed that the B/S ratio is 12/80 and supposing that is not to far out then it is a little surprising that the B-O price is going up over the day.

Suggesting there is a large buyer in the shadows.

Not certain.

I think I am holding for a moment.

(-8 or 8-)
O
====

pachandl - 07 Mar 2006 10:17 - 719 of 1009

Hmmmm. 220k bought at 150 - so there WAS a buyer after all.

Douggie - 07 Mar 2006 10:20 - 720 of 1009

.. ;0)

Fred1new - 07 Mar 2006 15:15 - 721 of 1009

I would hope for a greater margin improvement but;

"""
Retail Decisions PLC
07 March 2006


Retail Decisions plc (the 'Company')
Notification of Directors' and PDMR's interest

At a meeting of the Remuneration Committee on 6 March 2006 the Non-Executive
Directors of the Board approved the following awards to Directors and PDMR's
under the Retail Decisions PLC Long Term Incentive Plan ('LTIP'):

Employee No. of shares subject to LTIP award
Carl Clump, Chief Executive 376,712
Richard Amos, Finance Director 114,384
Rob Hillan, Senior Manager 228,767
Mark Goldspink, Senior Manager 68,493

The performance measure applicable to these awards is total shareholder return
('TSR').

On the third anniversary of the date of grant of the award the Remuneration
Committee will calculate the TSR of the Group against that of the Comparator
Group Companies to determine the proportion of the award that will be released,
subject to the average operating margin of the Group exceeding 5% per annum over
the Performance Period.

The date of grant of the awards is 6 March 2006 and the closing price of the
Company's ordinary shares on the day prior to the date of grant was 146 pence.

7 March 2006







This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange""""

pachandl - 08 Mar 2006 15:59 - 722 of 1009

GS has increased its holding by 22565 shares.

Douggie - 10 Mar 2006 09:33 - 723 of 1009

Mournin All ....

history repeating itself here yet again ............!! :-[

Douggie - 10 Mar 2006 11:01 - 724 of 1009

Hi Fred ........ I never will get that much needed holiday at this rate !!!!!!!

of course I could sell the lot then the sp would cerainly go north ...............!

but bu66er that I don't like you lot that much ;o\

Fred1new - 10 Mar 2006 12:42 - 725 of 1009

Douggie commiserations I can feel the pain. I have been stopped out on half my holdings, some held from around 5p. I am holding on, but b. annoyed at my greed of not selling out like Fundy @ about 190p. I will hold the rest for a while, but still expect to see 190-200p again but the period will be a little longer than I expected.
Bugger it again.

zscrooge - 10 Mar 2006 19:46 - 726 of 1009

Beautifully played by the mms - panic followed by back to normal at the end. Accommodating the big boys again.

boxerdog - 11 Mar 2006 12:55 - 727 of 1009


Fred, YORKSHIRE POST.sat.11th march.

CITYTIPS.Top 5 tip's for the forthcoming week includes Retail decision.
Classed as beneficary of chip and pin (high risk).So what!. we're already
commited,And no cannot cut and paste as previously discussed.

BD.

Fred1new - 11 Mar 2006 13:07 - 728 of 1009

I still think RTD still has more up than down. I had a disproportionate holding relevant to my portfolios and I was sitting on a large profit (for me), hence it was appropriate to sell some. I think RTD will stand still for a while and think I can make more for the time being elsewhere.

biffa18 - 13 Mar 2006 10:45 - 729 of 1009

My forecast of buying at low 130s is not far away

boxerdog - 13 Mar 2006 15:03 - 730 of 1009


Wish i'd now taken the advice offered me on this BB. a month ago regarding RTD.Your correct biffa18. 130p dosent seem far away might acheive it this week way things are going.Talk about death by a thousand cuts! with no respite.WHY?.

Fred1new - 13 Mar 2006 17:09 - 731 of 1009

It interesting (to me) that although the sales of various sizes have predominated the days session there has been little movement down in the BID price all afternoon. Suggesting that there is somebody or an institution hanging in the background mopping them up.

biffa18 - 13 Mar 2006 22:29 - 732 of 1009

boxer ........this share has done me quite good trading wise but i have never gone along with the thought of how good this comp is........ i do think 130 is on the cards now as sentiment towards this share is dropping and until the direction this company is going is well defined the share price will be held down .......imho

pachandl - 15 Mar 2006 12:16 - 733 of 1009

Can we hope that we are starting to build a firm base for the sp?

Fred1new - 15 Mar 2006 15:27 - 734 of 1009

Looking at today dealing there must be somebody mopping up the shares. i would expect a recovery is on the way.

pachandl - 15 Mar 2006 20:28 - 735 of 1009

Agreed. Huge disparity in buys/sells (in favour of sells) so must agree that there is a buyer around. Moreover, double-bottom formed today. All helps.

Douggie - 16 Mar 2006 10:08 - 736 of 1009

Blue is VERY welcome ..

but trades list shows nearly all trades as sell ?

inc. the 276k one which I see is claimed as buy elsewhere ????????????????

Fred1new - 16 Mar 2006 10:48 - 737 of 1009

Douggie, are you mopping up all the sells? These must be going somewhere and with the volumes sold over the last week there is probably an institution lurking in the background.


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