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Heritage Oil, now on the main market near you ! (HOIL)     

required field - 04 Apr 2008 22:45

Another newcomer to the main market...anybody any idea what the production figures are ?

cynic - 06 May 2009 08:26 - 72 of 593

hope you have some of these in your portfolio already!

required field - 06 May 2009 08:29 - 73 of 593

Quite a few, been in for some time now.....question is where does the sp go from here ?, 2 to 4 billion barrels....crikey !.

cynic - 06 May 2009 08:38 - 74 of 593

sp could go anywhere as it is now in uncharted waters ...... i may even add a few more today on the basis that there is surely still plenty of upside

required field - 07 May 2009 08:21 - 75 of 593

Well, it's gone quiet here except for the sp which has just sailed through the 500p mark !.

required field - 07 May 2009 08:43 - 76 of 593

At the moment : the graph cannot keep up with the sp and still the buying continues !, where is the top ?, I wonder !.

goldfinger - 07 May 2009 08:48 - 77 of 593

Daily Mail

"
Yesterday's trading: Iraqi Oil strike boosts Heritage Oil
By Geoff Foster
Last updated at 9:56 PM on 06th May 2009

What a gusher! Founder and chief executive Tony Buckingham saw the value of his 33 per cent stake in Heritage Oil soar above 410million as shares of the independent upstream exploration and production company closed 99p higher at 500p after striking it rich in Iraq.
Broker Evolution called it a 'truly company changing discovery' which had dealers wondering whether it would do for Heritage what the Rajasthan find in India did for Cairn Energy, 66p better at 2294p. Remember, it catapulted Cairn's shares above 20 and Sir Bill Gammell's group into the Footsie.
Heritage's major discovery is in the Kurdistan region of Iraq. The Miran West structure is estimated to have between 2.3-4.2billion barrels of oil in place and have recoverable reserves of up to 3bn barrels.
Heritage hopes to be producing 10,000 to 15,000 barrels of oil per day by the end of the year, using trucks to move the crude to a pipeline in Kirkik to export. The Miran West field will be low-cost and straightforward to fast-track.
Heritage Oil has struck it rich in Iraq Evolution's analyst Richard Griffith said the potential for Heritage's share price is massive and moved his target price up to 8 from 5, but would not be at all surprised if the shares over the coming months move in the same way as they did for Cairn in 2004.
Rival broker Ambrian raised its Risked Exploration Net Asset Value (RENAV) for Heritage by 238p to 585p and said that if the high assumptions of 4.2bn barrels is applied to RENAV, the value per share increases to 1241p. "

required field - 07 May 2009 08:49 - 78 of 593

It's like climbing the Sears tower (Chicago) on the outside !.

cynic - 07 May 2009 08:51 - 79 of 593

not often that i call it this correctly ...... if i did, i wouldn't be on this board ...... who said, "Wish you bloody weren't!"?

required field - 07 May 2009 08:53 - 80 of 593

Not me, if this is anything like Cairn : we are in the foothills at the moment !.

cynic - 07 May 2009 09:13 - 81 of 593

whereas i bought the last 2k (i now hold 5k) really as a trading position, i shall almost certainly hold, if not indefinitely then at least for a good while.

it also occurs to me that HOIL are not that flush with cash and also hold a 50%(?) share in TLW's Uganda field (Kingfisher? - or is it Jubilee) ...... gues what; that must surely make them a prime t/o target

cynic - 07 May 2009 09:13 - 82 of 593

whereas i bought the last 2k (i now hold 5k) really as a trading position, i shall almost certainly hold, if not indefinitely then at least for a good while.

it also occurs to me that HOIL are not that flush with cash and also hold a 50%(?) share in TLW's Uganda field (Kingfisher? - or is it Jubilee) ...... guess what; that must surely make them a prime t/o target

goldfinger - 07 May 2009 12:06 - 83 of 593

Going nicely cyners going nicely.

required field - 07 May 2009 12:42 - 84 of 593

There is still buying, no stopping this, in the short term could go above 600p !.

required field - 07 May 2009 12:54 - 85 of 593

Right ! own up ! who put the one share trade through ? taking a risk that...I don't know about that but I would have have put a half share trade through..less risky !.

required field - 07 May 2009 13:17 - 86 of 593

This is also being aided by the rise in crude...nearly $58 and rising (US crude), $60 in sight soon.

goldfinger - 07 May 2009 14:30 - 87 of 593

Brokers by and large very positive and in the midst of re- rating the stock upwards....

Heritage Oil Ltd

FORECASTS
2009 2010

Date Rec Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)

Evolution Securities Ltd [R]
06-05-09 BUY -49.23 -18.16

Canaccord Adams
06-05-09 SPB -7.29

Panmure Gordon [R]
06-05-09 BUY -38.71 -15.19 -32.37 -12.70

Oriel Securities
05-05-09 HOLD

Tristone Capital
04-05-09 OUTP -0.07 -0.05

Hanson Westhouse
16-12-08 BUY

2009 2010
Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)

Consensus 0.00 -3.70 0.00 0.00 -0.05 0.00

1 Month Change 25.15 0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00
3 Month Change 24.37 -3.64 0.00 -0.06


GROWTH
2008 (A) 2009 (E) 2010 (E)

Norm. EPS % % %
DPS % % %

INVESTMENT RATIOS
2008 (A) 2009 (E) 2010 (E)

EBITDA -22.60m m m

EBIT -24.21m m m

Dividend Yield % % %

Dividend Cover x x x

PER -50.52x -135.14x -10,000.00x

PEG f f f

Net Asset Value PS -12.77p p p

required field - 07 May 2009 15:34 - 88 of 593

God !, this is a fast mover in both directions....job to guess which way this is going.

required field - 07 May 2009 15:49 - 89 of 593

I think we just had a market shake coupled with ftse pullback...now the profit takers will pile back in again (I hope) !, would have done the same thing myself....did not see that coming !.

goldfinger - 08 May 2009 09:02 - 90 of 593

helped myself to a few more on the pull back this morning RF.

Way too cheap.

goldfinger - 08 May 2009 09:10 - 91 of 593


Today's FT


"Heritage Oil gained 2.4 per cent to 512p following this week's oil find in Iraq, which has reheated speculation that Heritage could be a target for a Chinese resources group."
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