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Coffee Heaven - A heavenly share for penny punters ? (COH)     

overgrowth - 06 Oct 2003 22:47

underground01_2.jpgA busy day in the Warsaw Underground ! Not just another coffee shop chain - this one is a brand leader and is only trading in Eastern/Central Europe (i.e. the countries recently admitted to the EU destined for substantial business growth). The company is creating new outlets at a fair old pace and take a look at their website - these are quality stores in high-profile locations like major airports, railway stations etc. Website: http://www.coffeeheaven.eu.com

APRIL 2006 TRADING UPDATE!!! Total Gross Revenues for 12 months to 31st March up 66% to £6.3M (2005: £3.8M) Lots more info. on new markets and stores click here to read the full details. Stores: 43 (up from 32) stores currently trading (Poland: 30 (up from 23), Czech Republic: 6 (Up from 2), Latvia: 7 with a further 5 units under construction including Bulgaria and sites secured in Romania (subject contract). Bulgaria & Romania are seeking to join the EU from January 2007. Sites located in key high street, shopping malls or Airport locations. Company growth target: increase number of units by at least 20 units to some 63 units by 31 March 2007. Aim being to achieve this level of growth within present Cash resources.Cash balances at 31 March 2006 were approximately £2.9M (2005: £0.7M). Debt was nil (2005: £ 2.5M): Nil Debt! Positive EBITDA: For the year ending 31 March 2006, Group EBITDA expected to be firmly positive after charging UK and new market development costs but before exceptional costs relating to the cancellation of bonds (previous Debt). Forecasts: Based on present trading conditions and current exchange rates we anticipate indicative sales of £9.3M for the year to 31 March 2007. This includes indicative sales of £0.4M from Bulgaria, which will be reported but not consolidated. From Richard Worthington (Chairman and Chief Executive): ‘The new financial year has started well. There is no doubt that the significant economic improvement in our markets is feeding through to consumer confidence and spending. The strength of the coffeeheaven brand ensures we are ideally positioned to benefit from our customers' increasing prosperity.’

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=COH&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=COH&Si

proteus - 16 May 2007 13:09 - 720 of 2037

Any progress on the financials ?

AdieH - 16 May 2007 13:11 - 721 of 2037

It is not his view but the brokers if you actually read it... As you say let the sp do the talking...

David10B - 16 May 2007 14:02 - 722 of 2037

Proteus

Its coming old chap, although I need your help on one point please as I can not figure out what each store is currently making, both gross and nett, its all so vague, consequently your input would prove helpful.

AdieH.

Of course its the broker's or brokers' note. I did not think for one moment Mr Worthington would have committed himself to figures of this nature

It is indeed a dreaful day weather wise but I trust you all fair well.

AdieH - 16 May 2007 14:11 - 723 of 2037

David your comment intimated it was from RW, he is too experienced to have made a silly mistake like that... We agree now to let the SP do the talking...

David10B - 16 May 2007 14:17 - 724 of 2037

AdieH please get it right you said on iii you had heard from RW.

THIS IS WHAT YOU SAID.

BUYResponse from RW Gonner2003
Hi, Just to let you all know that I've had a response from RW in regard to the recent decline in the SP, if you want the email then please email me at AdieHurford@hotmail.com. Its very positive...

Futhermore, I note you say that we agree now to let the do the talking!

For the sake of clarity and a better understanding, I too agree to my original suggestion taking precident.

proteus - 16 May 2007 14:18 - 725 of 2037

I have no privileged info,all I could do would be to pull up the past results.Assume you have more info than me as you've looked into it expecting a fall? Just give it a shot.If we can get to an estimate for this/next year then it's each to his own as to what multiple you think it's worth.

AdieH - 16 May 2007 14:25 - 726 of 2037

For clarity I received an email from Richard, he was quoting a figure of 60p, which was quoted by a broker/brokers and not by Richard himself... Case closed...

proteus - 16 May 2007 14:32 - 727 of 2037

Which broker ? Is the broker note in the public domain ?

AdieH - 16 May 2007 14:36 - 728 of 2037

Yes if you go to the coffee heaven website they have all the brokers notes attached, its an extremely useful website... just type coffeeheaven into google...

silvermede - 16 May 2007 14:44 - 729 of 2037

From memory the Woods Broker Report was looking at profitabilty in 2009 and has a long term breakdown of the intended business growth plan at the back of the report out to 2015.

proteus - 16 May 2007 14:45 - 730 of 2037

Thanks the DCF model gives a target price of 66p,DB they point to some of the figures you need.

silvermede - 16 May 2007 14:47 - 731 of 2037

AdieH, just use the link in the header! :-)

AdieH - 16 May 2007 14:48 - 732 of 2037

Cheers, its in my favourites anyway...

David10B - 16 May 2007 16:05 - 733 of 2037

All great stuff above chaps, but cutting through the clouds please tell me, anyone, the mean average profit or loss of the combined stores runing today since their inception.....please-

AdieH - 16 May 2007 16:48 - 734 of 2037

Lol work it out for yourself...

David10B - 16 May 2007 17:12 - 735 of 2037

I am AdieH, and I keep getting a big fat ZERO profit for all those stores and the years they have been open.

AdieH - 16 May 2007 17:27 - 736 of 2037

Well keep on doing the maths i'm sure you will come up with the same answers that the people that purchased shares have... As you said let the sp do the talking... Have a pleasant evening...

David10B - 16 May 2007 17:32 - 737 of 2037

Bravely spoken again AdieH, you really deserve a medal for outstanding loyality and courage to the cause.

It would be an asset to have your caliber at my side in a time of grave adversary.

May I quote you from iii.

Re: Thinkin about buyin back in Gonner2003
1.00 and if you look at kimboys predictions, the brokers note and the general feel for roll out 90-100 by next year then I think 1.00 is looking good. There could be other factors but at present thats my target...


You seem though------ to have overlooked the increasing competition.

There were quite a few sells again today allowing the Intraday Execution to continue with its downward trend.

Anyway chaps enough for today, I am off to scoure EBAY for a few things.

Have a great evening, one and all.

proteus - 16 May 2007 21:39 - 738 of 2037

10B,

The past is forgotten in the share price.What counts is the last set of results and the expectation of the next set. A straightforward question is what do you believe next years figures will be and possibly the year after.If you think the price is too high you must have some idea of the forward figures as requested ?

AdieH - 17 May 2007 08:06 - 739 of 2037

Small article in shares mag, calls COH the Eastern European Starbucks... tipped to buy... should see some steady buying today...
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