Just bought this at 64.75 pence,feel free to comment..

Evening all,avis going well i see,looks like its been a hot few days for my holdings,nice one daveedwards..

Any thoughts on a tie up with hertz.

very doubtful....imho

just a bubbling story and buyers still around. i really think there is substance to this

For sure prop for sure.

can't remember if i mentioned this but the new MD, Stuart Gent, was apartner at Bain. I know guys there and the fact is that a partner NEVER leaves unless the package and turnaround story is substantial. these partners are set for life and checking this guy out he was at the top of his game at Bain. must be a turnaround in size or how about this one....an MBO??? there is a new and perhaps accuate thought!

Prop its a win win situation,my initial upside was 20% on this short term but now it is near 50%,very happy with this one.

From UK-analyst last night for all you car hire types, make of it as you will.

Bid speculation in the mid-caps was more subdued today, but rumours continued to support the share price of Avis Europe. The shares rose 1.25p to 62p. There have been 2 possible scenarios mentioned. One story is that Belgium's D'leteren, which hold 60% of the company's share capital, would buy out minority shareholders. The other is that South Africa's Barloworld is seeking to move into the European market by purchasing Avis. Gains have been strong over the last week, so any bid premium is likely to be already priced in.

cheers gavdfc....i think there is athrird scenareo which i have mentioned above MBO!

I guess they don't think like you do, after all, they are only journalists! ;-)

Seems like a may have missed the boat on this one. Will see what Monday brings.

i think it is worth a tickle at these levels. have a small bookmark position to build on if they go sub 60. i just think the downside from here is limited.

That chart is starting to show the makings of a new uptrend .... higher highs and higher lows. It looks a bit overbought for entering a fresh position atm though. That doesn't mean that it won't carry on up ..... just that I'd like to see it retrace a bit first to give an entry in the mid-50's.

I don't understand the am fundies though. They seem to be showing a 40 odd million profit for 2003 with a negative P/E ratio???!!!??? How does that work? The P/E ratio seems correct, but they lost 32m.

Hilary,

Maybe down to the Moneyam fundies being quoted in , but the 2004 interims seem to be in Euros?

Financial Summary

Revenue up 3.9% to 548 million
Volume* up 3.8%, revenue per day* up 0.4%
Operating profit** lower at 39.6 million, including losses at Budget
of 5.4 million
Exceptional charge before tax 3.9 million
Profit before tax** lower at 10.6 million; unadjusted profit before
tax 5.4 million
(2003: 15.3 million)
Interim dividend maintained at 1.3 pence

* excludes Budget and Centrus and at constant currency
** before goodwill amortisation and exceptionals

Looking good nice and solid,mbo stories mid november 2004,,from close to the know.

daves, the mbo was my own assumption base on this new UK manager...these Bain guys are masters at that and can home finance (Through Bain) deals way north of a company the size of Avis. i am pleased that the market was talking about it as well.
if that rumour reemerges we could see thes have another wind up to 70 or 80...
dave, send me an email with mid-nov details...
rgds
PT

still watching. keeping their head above water....rumours still around

anyone hearing anything more???

By my reckoning

Just over 70m ave shares have changed hands in parcels of 200,000 or greater since 4 Jan
This excludes deals which although split up across the day
....still added up exactly to nice round nos of 100,000, 150,000, 200,000 etc
and were transacted by the same Broker
...which possibly accounted for up to a further 5m since 4 Jan
There is little evidence of major shorting going on since 4 Jan so one could reasonably assume that the majority of these shares remain with their new owner
at the minute
Allowing 4.7m for Fidelity taking their holding up to 43m (ie 7.11%) and the Templeton & D`Ieteren holdings of 4.95% and 59.6% respectively........
This suggests around 65m shares or 11% of the entire Co is now in the hands of new owners or is held in trust by a few Brokers ready to sell on at an agreed point in time

This only leaves around 100m shares (17% of the Co) in the "free" market
...Suggesting that
even if the new owners of these big parcels decide only to "hold" for the immediate few weeksAnd
.......Since the "free" market in ave shares was around 165m (28% of the Co) at 4 Jan 05
And ...since the average "buy" deal size persistently exceeds the "sell" size
hinting at concentration of shareholders

........ the current hoovering up process will push the price up further

buyers about today....can see these creeping up over the next week or two.

buyers back...momentum? lets keep an eye on this one...

anyone else watching?