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GTL Resources The Alternative Fuel (GTL)     

driver - 23 Apr 2006 18:38

Gas to Liquid
Commencement of Operations Started 28/12/2006
The strategy of GTL Resources plc is to produce liquids such as methanol and ethanol from stranded gas, corn and other feedstocks with quality counterparties. GTL manages all aspects of a project: finance, feedstock supply, production and marketing.

In line with its strategy of seeking to develop and exploit markets for alternative fuels, GTL has, since the beginning of 2001, concentrated primarily upon developing methanol projects, principally in Australia, and, more recently, ethanol project work. The Board has recognised the strategic benefits of acquiring a cash generative asset on a shorter time scale than the typical methanol construction time of three years. In furtherance of this strategy, on 6 September 2005 GTL Resources acquired a controlling interest in Illinois River Energy (IRE) to build an ethanol plant at Rochelle, Illinois, through its wholly owned subsidiary, GTL USA, which has been established for the purpose of investing in ethanol projects in the USA. GTL USA has invested in IRE by way of a subscription for units of IRE pursuant to the Unit Purchase Agreement.

This project has the advantage that the Plant is expected to produce revenues on a shorter time scale and at a significantly lower capital cost than the methanol plant in Australia.

The Company intends to further expand within the ethanol industry in the United States or other suitable markets by selective acquisition of low cost production facilities. The Company sees itself as a potential consolidator of ethanol plants in a particularly fragmented market.

FT Tip
GTL Resources, an Aim-listed company. It raised money to build an ethanol plant in the US. Raw materials costs have risen but the price of ethanol has gone through the roof. The earnings potential should be spectacular.

New Plant

Construction started at Rochelle, Illinois site in September and production from the 50 million gallon per annum ethanol plant is expected to commence in the fourth quarter of 2006. Following unusually mild weather in Illinois the project has progressed well and is on schedule and on budget. Whilst the Companys main efforts centre on the successful delivery of the US ethanol project at Rochelle, the potential expansion of that site to 100 million gallons is being investigated. In addition and consistent
with GTLs stated strategy for the expansion of its interests in the ethanol industry, other ethanol opportunities have also been identified and will be analysed. Pictures Of The Site Under Construction March 27, 2006 http://www.illinoisriverenergy.com/html/construction.html


Arden
http://gtlresources.com/documents/ArdenAnalystResearchNote.pdf
http://www.gtlresources.com/documents/ArdenAnalystResearchNote.pdf
BBC News Item On Ethanol
http://news.bbc.co.uk/nolavconsole/ukfs_news/hi/newsid_4940000/newsid_4948400/bb_wm_4948456.stm

Ethanol Priceshttp://ethanolmarket.aghost.net/
Ethanol as a Transportation Fuel
http://energy.ca.gov/afvs/vehicle_fact_sheets/ethanol.html

Annual report for 2006
http://www.gtlresources.com/documents/GTLAnnualReport2006_001.pdf
Pics from Ethanol Producer Magazine of GTL's plant.
http://ethanolproducer.com/plant-images.jsp?plant_id=302&image_id=59
Commencement of Operations Started 28/12/2006
http://www.gtlresources.com/
Economics of Ethanol
http://www.ces.purdue.edu/extmedia/ID/ID-339.pdf
2 July 2007 GTL Resources FY pretax loss narrows, plans 13 mln stg placing to fund expansion
http://moneyam.uk-wire.com/cgi-bin/articles/200707020705014067Z.html
GTL Web Site
http://www.gtlresources.com/

G D Potts - 13 Dec 2006 19:45 - 732 of 1690

similar to you GHJ but see more of a 70% rise over 2 week period dependant upon how the market is doing in general on the opening day, but you never know, maybe it will rise 2% !! - my only worry is that GTL has not already won contracts for its output as was the case with Biofuels etc, maybe its a different scenario with ethanol im not sure, any ideas?

soul traders - 14 Dec 2006 11:19 - 733 of 1690

GDP, I would hope that with ethanol being pushed the way it is, there will be plenty of demand for GTL's product. The market this year has been very buoyant, so they shouldn't have too much trouble selling, even if they sell on the spot market.

SP prediction: 3 once it's clear that the plant has passed its acceptance testing (hopefully by end Jan). Then fasten seatbelts once it starts to show in the financials.

dave7010 - 14 Dec 2006 11:41 - 734 of 1690

more buying today as plant gets closer to opening.

poldark - 15 Dec 2006 11:15 - 735 of 1690

When start of production is announced, beware of the Bear Trap.
Ethanol stocks have started to rise again after a sharp fall last week.

ghjones2 - 15 Dec 2006 11:19 - 736 of 1690

For the less educated among us do you mean a bear trap, as being the rise from the plant opening will encourage lots of people to sell and therefore that will affect the price also?

poldark - 15 Dec 2006 13:27 - 737 of 1690

ghj, what the MMs usually do is raise the price a little at first then raise the price higher sucking people in. Then when the buying stops they drop the bid by a large amount trapping the people in.
A lot of people are betting the price will rise 10-20% when the plant opens and the MMs will play on this. One of the problems with buying into an AIM company.
After the first rush I think we should see a steady rise in the price next year until we get valuation in line with our peers. I would like to see a listing on the NYSE.

G D Potts - 15 Dec 2006 19:43 - 738 of 1690

Spitfire43 - remembering my letter to shares, maybe they should have swapped CFU for CWR like i suggested, Ceramic up 14% today Ceres down 4%.

spitfire43 - 16 Dec 2006 07:46 - 739 of 1690

I wonder if Share Mag are waiting to place GTL as one of tips for the 2007 portfolio. It would be perfect timing for them.

driver - 17 Dec 2006 18:21 - 740 of 1690

New charts in the header.

mr.oz - 17 Dec 2006 19:03 - 741 of 1690

hello driver , nice thread ,heading concise and some sensible posts , good luck to all holders.

driver - 17 Dec 2006 20:42 - 742 of 1690

mr.oz
Cheers oz you can pay us a visit any time.

G D Potts - 17 Dec 2006 23:25 - 743 of 1690

ive got a good feeling about tomorrow

laurie squash - 18 Dec 2006 10:10 - 744 of 1690

So far no buys above 2.03 and their showing as sells so no surprise the sp has dropped.
Just waiting for the big news!

ghjones2 - 18 Dec 2006 19:10 - 745 of 1690

Another fantastic day for GTL. NOT!!!

driver - 19 Dec 2006 16:01 - 746 of 1690

This needs a shot in the arm what about a nice picture of the tanks, I see no problem at this price I am almost sure the sp will head north as soon as we get the next bit of news.

potatohead - 19 Dec 2006 16:10 - 747 of 1690

ERX started to lift off

griffzino - 19 Dec 2006 16:22 - 748 of 1690

driver..

what stocks you holding?
I too have large stakes in GTL and SER..

Holding both long term.

You still in GOO?
Not been good lately for all three..

Good potential though.

driver - 19 Dec 2006 16:31 - 749 of 1690

griffzino

My portfolio. is in the header of Driver's Tip's

http://www.moneyam.com/InvestorsRoom/posts.php?tid=9585#lastread

spitfire43 - 19 Dec 2006 19:46 - 750 of 1690

A news release from Tate & Lyle may explain weakness in price, didn't know they were involved in Ethanol.

Sugar producer Tate & Lyle PLC said it expects 2007 ethanol margins to be substantially lower on higher corn costs and lower gasoline prices, and that it is unlikely that sugar prices would recover in 2007 due to oversupply concerns.

The company, however, said it expects the total sweetener margins for 2007 to be higher as anticipated and forecast higher total net margins on value added food and industrial ingredients.

Tate & Lyle said there was a small loss in sweetener volume as it sought to increase margins in a rising corn market at the end of negotiations with the Food & Industrial Ingredients, Americas, for its 2007 sales contracts.

The pricing round for Food & Industrial Ingredients, Europe, is at an early stage and Tate & Lyle has made satisfactory progress to recover higher raw material and energy costs, the company said.


soul traders - 19 Dec 2006 20:13 - 751 of 1690

The volumes involved in these price slides are tiny! 12k traded today. Still, if I fancy topping up at least I can do it for 2 a share!!
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