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The Forex Thread (FX)     

hilary - 31 Dec 2003 13:00

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Forex rebates on every trade - win or lose!

zarif - 23 Mar 2004 08:18 - 734 of 11056

Morning Hilary:
Just opened a long cable June and am leaving it in the Lap of Gods as am off to a Gann Seminar at stockport.

rgds
zarif

Ps: nice sunny day today -hope it shines on all of us today in our trades.

hilary - 23 Mar 2004 08:32 - 735 of 11056

zarif,

I've been stopped out of my longs from last week on that spike down. Sidelined for now waiting for a fresh low to form. The rising support line to the uptrend is positioned at around 18360, so I'm hoping for a fresh entry closer to that.

I'm also keeping an eye on the EUR/USD cross which isn't so strong as the Cable and which might hold the Cable back from having a good run at the resistance above 18500.

hilary - 23 Mar 2004 10:59 - 736 of 11056

There is speculation that a US corporate has around GBP 300mn to GBP
400mn to buy at each London fix (16:00gmt) over the next five to 10 days, with
the order reportedly M&A-related.

Beeblebrox - 23 Mar 2004 13:46 - 737 of 11056

long 184.14

Beeblebrox - 23 Mar 2004 14:38 - 738 of 11056

added 184.69.....ooops

Beeblebrox - 24 Mar 2004 10:06 - 739 of 11056

am i talking to myself on here,

or is the 'bunny girl' around ?

just warming up for a wee long - around 184 10 would be nice

hilary - 24 Mar 2004 10:44 - 740 of 11056

I'm around Beebs.

That break of the rising support line could start to trigger the long stops and cause a sharp move lower. GDP revision will be important today. Short stop on move over 18538.

hilary - 24 Mar 2004 10:45 - 741 of 11056

Looking to add around 18325ish.

Beeblebrox - 24 Mar 2004 10:50 - 742 of 11056

i only went to make a coffee,
and 60pts down !

hilary - 24 Mar 2004 10:57 - 743 of 11056

Just short it Beebs. You know you want to.

:o)

Beeblebrox - 24 Mar 2004 12:51 - 744 of 11056

any idea ?
why the 100 pt drop ?
leaky figs i suppose

Beeblebrox - 24 Mar 2004 13:08 - 745 of 11056

hilary,....are you busy feeding the rabbit....


hope so, coz just gone LONG

hilary - 24 Mar 2004 15:15 - 746 of 11056

Rabbit, Beebs?? Roll the pastry .... we can make a pie.

:o)

foale - 24 Mar 2004 15:59 - 747 of 11056

Hi...despite all the charts of different instruments at the top
most seem to be trading Cable...

Is there anyone else trading anything else..

I look at euro/usd...any others?
Lot of action in it this morning

Beeblebrox - 24 Mar 2004 16:10 - 748 of 11056

hi david
for me it's just favourite weapon,
but do occasionally trade euro....

trouble is on that one it's quite low in relation to
experts opinion, and has an interest rate cut pending.
my own view is that a 1/4% cut is now priced in, which could put it back to
1.25ish near term. just possible though is 1/2%

as for cable, well pretty certain about 1/4% increase april/may,
which again is largely factored in, but see this at 185-187 over the next few weeks.

japanese is too tricky for me with central bank whims and fancies.

hope that helps, and sure our leader, hrh, will speak to you soon...

hilary - 24 Mar 2004 16:11 - 749 of 11056

It's a question of leverage, foale.

From the high of yesterday to the low today, the Cable has fallen around 240 pips and the has fallen around 180 pips. The has therefore, as you correctly state, fallen more when expressed as a percentage of the cross, but it is common for both crosses to have the same margin requirement which means that the Cable offers the higher leverage for trading.

hilary - 24 Mar 2004 16:17 - 750 of 11056

Another perspective is that the is a safer play on the short tack on fundamentals (speculation of ECB rate cut) whereas the Cable is a safer long play (everyone knows that BoE will put rates up - it's just when?).

Maggot - 24 Mar 2004 16:44 - 751 of 11056

Been trading ?/$ and Euro/$ and have been a real prat; made a small scalp (and two or three on the FTSE), then I eventually got panicked by big spikes and closed, only to watch it go back, in every single case, so I would have been in profit. I even correctly caught the turn up in Cable, but got spiked out at 16.03 pm - I will have to give it up! Feel rotten.

edit - it was 16.08 - you can see the spike down. Expect you all rode it out?

Beeblebrox - 24 Mar 2004 17:07 - 752 of 11056

Maggot;
on the contrary ! i can beat your story.......

went bottom fishing, got lucky, long 183.14, c.12.50
watched it up to 183.35ish, patted myself on the back,
but in the interests of safe trading, put the stop on
at 182.96 - seemed generous at the time -
if you look at the chart for 13.35 you'll see the ending...

you are not alone!

Maggot - 24 Mar 2004 17:21 - 753 of 11056

Beeble - well that makes me feel just a little better. But blimey you were unlucky! Just that one spike down and straight back up.
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