Scripophilist
- 27 Oct 2004 23:40

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Fundamentalist
- 31 Oct 2004 15:22
- 74 of 10502
Personally - im open minded about it but then i am very comfortable with complicated statistics. To me in the terms of the amounts i invest and gamble with, 200 is a small price to play if it opens up another money making avenue!
Scripophilist
- 31 Oct 2004 15:27
- 75 of 10502
kajman, Because of the way prices are constructed on Betting exchanges a move somewhere on the same event has an effect on all other prices, always. Some races I will avoid simply because I believe I will not be able to profit from them. Some are much better than others.
I'll often look at an event and adopt a different strategy based upon what I believe is about to happen.
At the end of the day I'm not looking to be prophetic, I am just looking to take money out of the market.
Scripophilist
- 31 Oct 2004 15:41
- 76 of 10502
Jeffmack, A day of rest today. I have put an experimental position on the Bolton vs Newcastle match though.
Scripophilist
- 01 Nov 2004 14:25
- 77 of 10502
On the racing this afternoon. Just to show it doesn't always go your way I am down 12 ticks after three races. Hoping for better for the remainder of the day. Will make a cup of tea and close all my other browsers so I don't get distracted!! Will endevour to give you an update after the last race.
Steph
- 01 Nov 2004 15:54
- 78 of 10502
Scrip please pencil me in, will confirm in a day or two, thanks.
Scripophilist
- 01 Nov 2004 16:06
- 79 of 10502
Will do, Drop an email to sarah@glomtc.com to reserve a space. I have emailed them as well to make sure a place is available.
jeffmack
- 01 Nov 2004 16:27
- 80 of 10502
Just had a bet on Dow finishing negative at 4.0
Scripophilist
- 01 Nov 2004 16:30
- 81 of 10502
Results from the afternoon on the horses. An "interesting" day! The +/- is for ticks per race. This is my preferred measure as I equalise all bets to a tick size to ensure good money management.
1350 -5
1400 -9
1410 +6
1420 +0
1430 +0
1440 +1
1450 -1
1500 No activity
1510 +3
1520 +0
1530 +12
1540 No activity
1550 +10
1600 +0
+17 Ticks gross on the day. I haven't looked to check the net total yet but not a particulary exciting day.
A very poor start but just didn't have my head screwed on. These things tend to average out over time. I've made an attempt to document some of the activity recently to present at the course. This should give you a good feel for how a day goes and the sort of decisions you will need to make.
Scripophilist
- 01 Nov 2004 16:31
- 82 of 10502
jeffmack, what price did you get?
Scripophilist
- 01 Nov 2004 16:32
- 83 of 10502
I find there are some odd prices on the financials every now and again. It looks like the underlying includes a calculation using beta and when the market is volatile intra day it can throw up some odd prices.
jeffmack
- 01 Nov 2004 16:39
- 84 of 10502
Scrip
4.0
No backers at the mo, just layers at 4.0, 3.5, 1.62
Kayak
- 01 Nov 2004 16:53
- 85 of 10502
Scrip, what do you mean by a "tick"? E.g. from 1.34 to 1.35, or 6.0 to 6.2, on BF?
Scripophilist
- 01 Nov 2004 17:07
- 86 of 10502
Kayak, Yes, 3.05-3.10, 1.80-1.81 etc. I have found if you do not equalise your risk according to the tick size you are unable to balance your risk longer term.
Kayak
- 01 Nov 2004 17:12
- 87 of 10502
Oh. Then I had a good day :-))
13.00 +13
13.10 No activity
13.20 -6
13.30 No activity
13.40 +7
13.50 +6
14.00 +13
14.10 +0
14.20 +9
14.30 +0
14.40 +3
14.50 +7
15.00 +4
15.10 +6
15.20 +8
15.30 -6
15.40 +8
15.50 +9
16.00 +0
16.10 -13
Total +68
Scripophilist
- 01 Nov 2004 17:17
- 88 of 10502
Probably at my expense :(
I didn't really get it together today. Still there is the football tonight.
jeffmack
- 01 Nov 2004 17:46
- 89 of 10502
Slow market the financial bets
Fundamentalist
- 01 Nov 2004 19:55
- 90 of 10502
Good job kayak - well done!!!!
Steph - good to see you attending the course
Jeff - hope you are right - im short ftse futures from the close and could do with a drop in the dow
jeffmack
- 01 Nov 2004 20:10
- 91 of 10502
Laid off my bet, so if Dow is up I'm level, if its down I win. Looks like up tho
Scripophilist
- 01 Nov 2004 20:10
- 92 of 10502
Greened up on Man City vs Norwich before kick off so a win whatever happens during the match.
Fundamentalist
- 01 Nov 2004 20:14
- 93 of 10502
greened up scrip ????