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How to profit from Betting Exchanges (BEX)     

Scripophilist - 27 Oct 2004 23:40


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bakko - 29 Dec 2005 03:28 - 7412 of 10502

Aussies declare

Fundamentalist - 29 Dec 2005 03:30 - 7413 of 10502

look at the change in prices - saffers gone from 40 to 15 and draw from 3.3 to 4.0

grabbed some of the 1.49 on the aussies

bakko - 29 Dec 2005 03:40 - 7414 of 10502

Steve....Nice bit of trading to pick up some at 1.49

I've just greened up for a profit of 110.59. I think I'll settle on this as have worked quite hard to get to this position considering the odds haven't really shifted too much.

Fundamentalist - 29 Dec 2005 03:42 - 7415 of 10502

Bak

also got matched laying the draw at 4.2, just greened that up at 5.2 :-)

Current book is large green Aus, small green SA nil draw

Fundamentalist - 29 Dec 2005 03:42 - 7416 of 10502

draw now gone to 6.4 - prices have gone haywire

bakko - 29 Dec 2005 03:48 - 7417 of 10502

Steve

Excellent trading once again!

Can't see Aus losing this match but could with a couple of early wickets just to help them along.

Fundamentalist - 29 Dec 2005 03:54 - 7418 of 10502

thanks bak

just wish id left that draw lay for longer :-(

if the aussies dont get quick wickets will back again on the drift

bakko - 29 Dec 2005 04:14 - 7419 of 10502

I'm calling it a night at this point.

Night Steve and will catch up with you soon

Fundamentalist - 29 Dec 2005 04:16 - 7420 of 10502

Night Bak

been nice to have the company - tomorrow night is gonna be fun :-)

Fundamentalist - 29 Dec 2005 05:14 - 7421 of 10502

Looks like tomorrow not gonna be so fun now the wickets are falling

managed to lay SA at 5.0 :-)

will leave the large red there

schiff - 29 Dec 2005 11:07 - 7422 of 10502

With the result an absolute stone cold cert how can Australia still be backed at 1.02 or SA laid at 190?
The only reason I can possibly think of is rain of monsoon dimensions to wipe out play for the day!
It looks like very easy pickings - OK, for a v small win to a big sum laid out - but even so.
What's the catch?

Fundamentalist - 29 Dec 2005 11:43 - 7423 of 10502

Schiff

the only catch as far as im concerned is your money is tied up till the small hours this morning.

personally have a huge red number by SA and wouldnt back it back at 1000

Cloudbase - 29 Dec 2005 23:46 - 7424 of 10502

hi all, anyone watching the cricket?

Fundamentalist - 29 Dec 2005 23:59 - 7425 of 10502

evening cloud

yep, watching it though not looking to trade unless SA start to make a fight of it

currently big green Aus, small green Draw, huge red SA and happy eith it

Cloudbase - 30 Dec 2005 00:06 - 7426 of 10502

See you had a good night last night, nice bit of trading. Had to go to kip at lunch. At what price would you look to lay the draw? or is that too risky

Cloudbase - 30 Dec 2005 00:23 - 7427 of 10502

That looks to have sealed the match for Aus, missed getting the ley on in time

Fundamentalist - 30 Dec 2005 00:36 - 7428 of 10502

Cloudbase

i had just started laying SA again as the wicket came

personally can see a tiny chance of a draw but cannot understand any circumstance in which SA can win

Cloudbase - 30 Dec 2005 00:39 - 7429 of 10502

Fundy I see the first ODI NZ / Sri L match starts tom night, are they worth trading or do you stick to the test matches?

So you would say lay SA the less risky?

Fundamentalist - 30 Dec 2005 00:45 - 7430 of 10502

Cloudbase

ODIs are worth trading but are often highly volatile. Tend to lay any side that goes below 1.3 as a general rule (there are the odd exception) and i never back at below 1.5 - dont think the NZ game is on tv so unlikely to be much liquidity

started laying SA again :-)

Fundamentalist - 30 Dec 2005 00:53 - 7431 of 10502

Cloudbase

SA at 148/7 need 218 to win from 68 overs at a run rate of just over 3 an over. Run rate this am has been 2.2 with Australia attacking. If and its a big if SA got into the last session then scoring offWarne and MacGill bowling round the wicket into the footholes will be nigh on impossible. Also SA mentality will have them looking to draw not win
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