cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
skinny
- 10 Nov 2011 12:43
- 7440 of 21973
Lucas Papademos named as new Greek prime minister
Former European Central Bank vice-president Lucas Papademos has been named as Greece's new prime minister, following days of negotiations.
Confirmation of Mr Papademos's role came from the Greek president's office.
The news came after leaders of the three main parties making up a new government of national unity met the Greek president to try to reach a deal.
dreamcatcher
- 10 Nov 2011 21:52
- 7441 of 21973
Italian borrowing costs ease as ECB wades in
Louise Armitstead, 21:00, Thursday 10 November 2011
Radical intervention by the European Central Bank (ECB) in the bond markets helped pull Italian borrowing costs backed from the brink - but also pushed up French, Austrian and Belgian yields to record highs.
The yield on 10-year Italian bonds returned to the relative safety of 6.94pc - below the 7pc "bail-out territory".
Traders said markets were calmer after the frantic dumping of Italian bonds on Wednesday, allowing the ECB buying efforts to impact.
Rome sold 5bn one-year bonds at an average yield of 6.087pc - a record high but it was still counted as a success.
But febrile traders turned on French bonds instead, pushing 10-year yields up 30 basis points to 3.47pc.
HARRYCAT
- 10 Nov 2011 22:12
- 7442 of 21973
.
ahoj
- 11 Nov 2011 08:39
- 7443 of 21973
France shocked by S&P downgrade error
http://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/France-shocked-S-P-downgrade-reuters_molt-3204503460.html;_ylt=AlY3u9EmIaPXyWWyUqI5SVzSr7FG;_ylu=X3oDMTE4bGMya2FhBHBvcwM4BHNlYwN5ZmlUb3BTdG9yaWVzBHNsawNmcmFuY2VzaG9ja2U-?x=0
See my post 2436 - I think the yanks in the credit agencies are playing against the west.
skinny
- 11 Nov 2011 10:02
- 7444 of 21973
October producer price inflation slows more than forecast
(Reuters) - The factory gate inflation slowed to its lowest annual rate since May 2011 in October as input costs eased more than forecast, official data showed slowed to its lowest annual rate since May 2011 in October as input costs eased more than forecast, official data showed on Friday.
The easing pipeline price pressures will come as welcome news for the Bank of England, that kept interest rates at t heir record lows and the target volume of asset purchases unchanged on Thursday to support the fragile economy.
skinny
- 11 Nov 2011 13:17
- 7445 of 21973
Italy pushes through austerity, U.S. applies pressure
(Reuters) - Italy's parliament is rushing through austerity measures demanded by the European Union to avert a euro zone meltdown, after U.S. President Barack Obama ratcheted up pressure for more dramatic action from the currency bloc.
Italy's Senate approved a new budget law on Friday, clearing the way for approval of the package in the lower house on Saturday and the formation of an emergency government to replace that of Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi.
dreamcatcher
- 11 Nov 2011 17:21
- 7446 of 21973
Euro Crisis: Italy Passes Crucial Budget Cuts
Sky News 2011, 16:45, Friday 11 November 2011
The Italian senate has voted through austerity measures seen as a crucial move to contain the eurozone debt crisis, paving the way for the end of the Berlusconi era.
The measures include an increase in the retirement age to 67 and widespread job cuts.
Having received approval in the upper house, the bill is expected to be passed through parliament when it is voted on in the lower house on Saturday.
PM Silvio Berlusconi has indicated he would stand down as soon as the reforms are fully approved, which could come as early as this weekend.
Sky's Nick Pisa, in Rome, says respected economist Mario Monti, 68, is being lined up as the potential leader of a broader all-party technical government which is expected to be up and running by Monday at the latest after Mr Berlusconi resigns.
"Mr Monti was greeted with a warm round of applause when he took his seat in the Senate as the debate got under way," he said.
Italy is the third largest economy in the eurozone but it has a public debt of 1.9 trillion euros.
Earlier in the week its borrowing costs reached record highs prompting concerns that it could default on the debt.
France would be at most risk in that scenario as its banks hold $416bn (261bn) worth of Italian debt, according to the Bank of International Settlements, more than half of all European bank lending to Italy.
British banks, on the other hand, have an exposure to Italy of $17.4bn (10.9bn) but the effect on France would have a domino effect on the UK as it holds French debt.
European stock markets received a boost as Italian policymakers approved the financial reforms, and the country's borrowing costs continued to fall.
Meanwhile, Greece has sworn in its new prime minister Lucas Papademos, as well as his cabinet.
Finance minister Evangelos Venizelos is to remain in his current post.
US President Barack Obama has urged European leaders to take dramatic action to stem the crisis, echoing calls by his treasury secretary Timothy Geithner.
Mr Geithner said Europe (Chicago Options: ^REURUSD - news) must act quickly to quell its debt crisis and said economies on the Pacific Rim should boost demand to strengthen their defences against a fallout.
With continuing uncertainty about Greece, there have been reports that the euro area's stronger economies are considering excluding some of its weaker members.
Britain's prime minister David Cameron added that there are "real question marks" over whether the countries could deal with their debts and on the single currency's future.
Chancellor George Osborne said although the eurozone crisis is having an impact on British businesses, the UK must stick to its austerity plan to reassure markets about the country's debt
dreamcatcher
- 14 Nov 2011 22:24
- 7447 of 21973
Louise Armitstead, 22:18, Monday 14 November 2011
Spain and Italy's borrowing costs soared as economists warned that Europe is sliding into recession and Angela Merkel defied intense pressure and ruled out issuing European-guaranteed debt.
The German Chancellor told her party conference that Europe faced its "toughest hour since the Second World War" - but that Germany would not support launching 'eurobonds' to solve the crisis.
Instead Ms Merkel said she would push for changes to European treaties to introduce sanctions for financially lax countries and the adoption of a financial transaction tax - with or without Britain.
David Cameron warned that the European Union would be "in peril" unless politicians agreed radical reforms. Speaking at the Lord Mayor's banquet last night, he said markets were "understandably tense" since the eurozone was not "a place to admire and emulate... but a source of alarm and crisis".
Traders sold equities and bonds amid doubts that politicians will act in time to prevent a recession. Eurostat said industrial production in the eurozone fell 2pc between August and September, the biggest monthly fall for two years. The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) added that the slow-down is likely to continue in all developed economies. France's CAC (Frankfurt: 924169 - news) index fell 1.3pc and Germany's Dax (Xetra: ^GDAXI - news) , 1.2pc.
In the bondmarkets, Italy was forced to pay 6.29pc to raise 3bn (2.6bn) of five-year bonds - a eurozone debt auction record, despite the promise of a new government under Mario Monti. Italy, which still lacks a cabinet, needs to raise a further 46bn in debt before the end of the year.
Panicked traders looking for the next eurozone victim turned on Spain pushing bond yields above 6pc for the first time in three months. Spain faces more hurdles this week with the auction of up to 3.5bn of short term bonds today - and a further 4bn in 10-year bonds on Thursday.
Despite its far lower public debt level levels, traders bet that Spain would follow Italy into "bail-out territory." French bank Societe Generale said: "Spain is now joining Italy on the radar screen". Warren Buffett, the US investor, said bond markets were displaying a "partial run on Europe." British borrowing costs fell to just 2.2pc.
Michel Barnier, the EU markets commissioner, said he wanted to ban credit rating agencies from rating bonds from bailed-out countries. He told French radio that the agencies could lose the "right to rate certain countries for a certain time that are receiving an international support programme from the IMF (Berlin: MXG1.BE - news) or European Union." But few could see how the ban could be imposed.
In Athens, a debate over Lucas Papademos' leadership starts in the Greek parliament today. The new premier has to win a confidence vote tomorrow and then prepare next year's draft budget to take to his first showdown with eurozone finance ministers in Brussels on Thursday.
Antonis Samaras, leader of the Greek opposition, warned that he would not support Mr Papademos' interim government for more than three months without elections. His
skinny
- 15 Nov 2011 07:23
- 7448 of 21973
This is bound to have repercussions.
Chancellor George Osborne set to 'reassess' PFI
Chancellor George Osborne has announced a "fundamental reassessment" of the use of Private Finance Initiative contracts in a bid to cut costs.
Sir John Major introduced PFI in 1992 to allow private companies to finance, build and run public sector projects.
Mr Osborne said he wants to draw on private sector innovation at a lower cost to the taxpayer.
skinny
- 15 Nov 2011 17:45
- 7449 of 21973
Crazy Yanks - DOW just shot up - 12,121
ptholden
- 15 Nov 2011 17:52
- 7450 of 21973
Must admit Skinners I've lost the plot with market driving forces. The Euro data released today, Euro GDP / UK inflation etc was at the least in line with expectations, yet the FTSE spews 1.4% or thereabouts.
News this afternoon has been full of the Italian bond yields rising above 7% and we're up over 100 pts from the low!
DOW now 12002 at the time of typing, my inclination would be to go short, however.................................
cynic
- 15 Nov 2011 18:04
- 7451 of 21973
short the dow and die! ...... currently 12135 and climbing ..... glad that i hold both AAPL and GOOG, though shan't get greedy
ptholden
- 15 Nov 2011 18:46
- 7452 of 21973
Ricardo, my comment was tongue in cheek, hence the 'however............................'
I've mostly learnt not to short soemthing that obviously wants to go up and conversley not to catch falling knives. I have many bruises and cut fingers as evidence of previous folly!
ptholden
- 15 Nov 2011 19:40
- 7453 of 21973
But having siad all that, DOW looking a bit toppy right now. (12017)
cynic
- 15 Nov 2011 20:09
- 7454 of 21973
and now 12156
ptholden
- 15 Nov 2011 20:20
- 7455 of 21973
Richard, read the FX thread in the Traders Hut, I use my thoughts as a contrarian indicator, whatever, I say the opposite will happen! Now 12141.
ptholden
- 15 Nov 2011 20:53
- 7456 of 21973
Cable dropped through an important level today 1.5865 which acted as resistance from early September until the third week of October and then as support until today. I suspect it may check any sterling rise in the future.
Next support line seems to be 1.5700 and there's not much reason to think it won't get there tomorrow.
PS Think contrarian! :-)
ptholden
- 15 Nov 2011 21:01
- 7457 of 21973
And Dow closed below 12100, so my short trade would have made a few bob, although out of the money for most of the session - :-)
skinny
- 15 Nov 2011 21:03
- 7458 of 21973
PT - however...... - I posted somewhere recently (I think in reply to cynic) - that I personally seem to have not traded the recent volatility as well as I'd hope I should.
I've just closed a DOW short for +51 - more by luck than judgement AND probably my best trade of the day! - which speaks volumes (no pun intended).
ptholden
- 15 Nov 2011 21:07
- 7459 of 21973
Skinners, my best trade of the day has been a divi adjusment for being long on the FTSE!