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Retail Decisions - The only decision you need to make is when to buy! (RTD)     

overgrowth - 13 May 2005 16:36

Retail Decisions are market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally, though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers both in the UK and US. They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this "forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout 2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of millions of shares in RTD !

Shares Magazine had a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution". It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.

Here's what Shares had to say: "Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions. Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime. Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already has fantastic experience and technology. The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer, T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner of Macy's and Bloomingdales. Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."

Retail Decisions have continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz. fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through. In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company is doing. The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=RTD&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=RTD&Si

pachandl - 27 Mar 2006 11:08 - 758 of 1009

There is clearly a concerted attempt by MMs to squeeze out weak holders (whether there is also a large buyer in the background would also make a difference). This may take a week or two to resolve itself before the sp consolidates and then begins to move forward. Personally, I would expect very little until we get past the end of the tax year.

daves dazzlers - 28 Mar 2006 15:28 - 759 of 1009

Oh well thats it for me am out,,bit of a non event in total.

Goodluck all.

pachandl - 28 Mar 2006 15:35 - 760 of 1009

DD - best of luck with your other choices. Fortunately I can afford to stay put for as long as it takes (well, one year at least), although it never ceases to amaze me how the market values companies. I am not one of those who says that the current market cap is too low - whatever value the market puts on a share is the "correct" value because it is the only one the share can be traded at - but the method of RTD's valuation is not particularly transparent to my eyes!

daves dazzlers - 28 Mar 2006 15:58 - 761 of 1009

They say everything in the price pachandl,but what price RTD..

Its still has its fans on here , i still belive in RTD myself its just a touch to slow for me now,,onwards & upwards people..

pachandl - 28 Mar 2006 16:18 - 762 of 1009

DD - so which of your shares are going to go up faster?

daves dazzlers - 28 Mar 2006 16:33 - 763 of 1009

Each to there own pac,may go and top up on NCS,done me proud this last week or so,,multi bagger.No value so to speak in the company,but something brewing,for sure,,now the main money is in place,and mr crosby at the helm..

Fred1new - 28 Mar 2006 18:05 - 764 of 1009

Pach, have a look ar VED, KGN, AHT, CHG and if you are a gambler ALG which is beginning to reverse. What the trend rate will be I am not certain.

Held the first 4 for over 3mths and the latter just recently. Intend holding these and a large (for me ) remaining holding of RTD for quite a while unless there is bad info.

pachandl - 29 Mar 2006 13:16 - 765 of 1009

Cheers DD/Fred. Always interested to know what other holdings RTD investors have (before they sold RTD!). RTD is not exactly being heavily traded today.

Douggie - 10 Apr 2006 16:58 - 766 of 1009

........... ;o/ .........ouch!

Fred1new - 10 Apr 2006 17:10 - 767 of 1009

Douggie, I agree with you, but will continue holding.

Fred1new - 19 Apr 2006 17:59 - 768 of 1009

Douggie, perhaps you can start breathing again. Some buys by directors and price back up a little.

The only problem I see is that my share hold seems bigger than some of the directors, but I did manage to buy them at a much lower price.


Douggie - 19 Apr 2006 22:04 - 769 of 1009

;o)

Douggie - 21 Apr 2006 19:22 - 770 of 1009

.... :o))

pachandl - 21 Apr 2006 19:43 - 771 of 1009

:o)) indeed. Finally some clear support from the directors. Has the corner been turned?

Fred1new - 21 Apr 2006 23:13 - 772 of 1009

How many corners are there?

Douggie - 24 Apr 2006 10:35 - 773 of 1009

;o( ... more than we will want to take ...........another red one here !!!!!!

pachandl - 24 Apr 2006 11:07 - 774 of 1009

I'm wrong again - we are obviously talking in circles.

Douggie - 25 Apr 2006 19:05 - 775 of 1009

your round Fred

pachandl - 28 Apr 2006 11:24 - 776 of 1009

I won't bother to post the full agm statement but it does seem tto read: "steady as she goes - all targets being met".

Retail Decisions current trading 'slightly ahead' of co's expectations
AFX


LONDON (AFX) - Retail Decisions PLC said the company has continued to perform well in the first quarter of the current year with trading slightly ahead of its expectations, in a statement prepared for today's annual general meeting.

The payment card issuer and fraud prevention company said its two most recent acquisitions -- ReD Fuel Cards (Europe) and E Com -- are also progressing well.

newsdesk@afxnews.com

nes

Fred1new - 28 Apr 2006 11:28 - 777 of 1009

This company's board is always cautious and generally for-fills I only wish it was a little quicker. I am again holding but it would be nice to see some fireworks.
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