cynic
- 20 Oct 2007 12:12
rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.
for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ
for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance
explosive
- 28 Jan 2008 13:04
- 770 of 21973
Nice to have a counterbalance in play cynic, I expect 12000 on the DOW to be challenged this week, not sure of the support either as on last approach we saw the 75 basis points cut by the FED and still talk of more to come. Times like these its easy to be caught out.
CNE today has announced its very close to securing approval for pipeline to transport oil from its Rajasthan fields, 15th Feb is the date the FT think the deal will be signed by so plenty of time for the share to slip back. Gold is seeing higher prices which on the norm 9:1 ratio gold to oil indicates the price of oil will remain high. I think a spread buy here looking good for middle of Feb.
SOLA, I'm just going to watch this for the time being. Under 50 day MA's all indicate that a fall is coming however I don't like the bandwidth. RSI is also low, would have preferred a higher RSI 50ish on a downwards slope. You have history to your advantage with this one so best of luck with the short.
cynic
- 28 Jan 2008 13:23
- 771 of 21973
SOLA
have a look at PTH's analysis .... much better than mine .... resistance is no higher than 425 and maybe a bit lower
CNE
not followed this one for quite a while, but chart less than exciting and down a further 72p today
required field
- 28 Jan 2008 13:40
- 772 of 21973
By the way does anybody know of any dual listed stocks ? (JLP, Jubilee Platinum) is the only one I know of, listed in SA and on Aim and can be held in an ISA.
cynic
- 28 Jan 2008 13:53
- 773 of 21973
RIO!!
cynic
- 28 Jan 2008 15:36
- 774 of 21973
despite another set of appalling US housing figures, Dow has somewhat perversely staggered upwards ...... of course, that is everyone banking on another minimum 0.5% cut by Fed ...... meanwhile, European central banks do bugger all.
while one might argue that Fed is taking something of an alarmist stance, Bernanke will argue rightly or wrongly, that the Fed is at least doing something positive to try to head off the worst effects of any recession.
meanwhile, the European banks stand back and assume that Europe will blithely absorb and float through any US troubles ..... that has to be head in the sand stuff!
halifax
- 28 Jan 2008 15:59
- 775 of 21973
Cynic you are absolutely right , if you keep your head in the sand you get stuffed!
steveo
- 29 Jan 2008 13:34
- 776 of 21973
feels like bears gathering again, european banks report next month, more blood expected, think short positions in equities and even precious metals might be good for next week
cynic
- 29 Jan 2008 13:52
- 777 of 21973
very hard to call .... many forces pulling in opposite directions at the moment, but certainly one needs to be very watchful and nimble if trading
by the way, assume you do not mean to short precious metals
required field
- 29 Jan 2008 13:56
- 778 of 21973
Sold out of JKX, and bought back in the next day, (wish I could do that all the time), trouble is I get caught out sometimes !
BigTed
- 29 Jan 2008 13:59
- 779 of 21973
Just opened CFD account, will have some fun with some fairly small positions to start with!
required field
- 29 Jan 2008 14:03
- 780 of 21973
Don,t forget the stop losses Big Ted, and be prepared to take losses because you will have some as well as gains, Good luck !
cynic
- 29 Jan 2008 14:05
- 781 of 21973
Ted ..... if trading indices, you really need to be watching constantly ..... are you with IG?
HARRYCAT
- 29 Jan 2008 14:08
- 782 of 21973
Just a snippet from todays FT:
"Britain & the US are in for a very serious recession according to Philippe Jabre, the Geneva based hedge fund manager. He predicts only a short lived bounce on the stock markets & warns that those people who are exposed to heavy debts are going to face problems".
He also predicts that Soc Gen will now be a target for BNP Paribas (for those who trade in european stocks).
Of course he could be wrong. Just another opinion to throw in to the mix!
maddoctor
- 29 Jan 2008 14:18
- 783 of 21973
well good durable goods orders but you can,t have it both ways so what is the Fed going to do?
cynic
- 29 Jan 2008 14:57
- 784 of 21973
we all know they are going to cut rates ..... major prob however are the krauts in European Central Bank who think they can do a better job than Canute
maddoctor
- 29 Jan 2008 15:01
- 785 of 21973
i don,t think we do know , the press is really giving Bernanke a hard time i.e. that he is hand in hand with Wall St
or worse , doing what they tell him
spitfire43
- 29 Jan 2008 16:12
- 786 of 21973
Bernanke is between a rock and a hard place, I would think he will cut, and if does and we have any sort of rally afterwards. Be ready to take advantage of short opportunities, I have a feeling FTSE could go back down to 5500 level and lower very quickly.
cynic
- 29 Jan 2008 16:14
- 787 of 21973
note Dow's reluctance to break (minor) resistance at 12460 .... will be interesting to see what happens after Fed statement and first 10 minutes of euphoria ..... unfortunately have been seduced away from my screen for the evening
explosive
- 29 Jan 2008 19:14
- 788 of 21973
Currently debating opening a position again on wall st..... Am thinking 12400 or lower for a buy, nothing in the range today though.. Its the greed speaking I know it but all the same very tempting....
steveo
- 29 Jan 2008 20:52
- 789 of 21973
I did mean precious metals,it is a bit like standing in front of an express train, did well from it last time, predicted would drop from 914 to around 860. May prove to be luck but I Currently believe that fed rate cut of 50 points is in the price and there could be some pull back on profit taking especially when traders cover positions in the likely sell off as the european banks reveal their probably bigger than expected write downs.
I do have a tight stop, and it is for a small stake, it is highly risky as there is repeated buying on all sell offs at the moment and the power cuts in SA are not helping my cause. But it's fun to see if I'm right.
However I am also long term long and have been for a while, but nothing goes up in a straight line and gold is currently out of the recent bull channel by a long way. So I expect a pull back, there certainly seems to be more resistance at 930 level currently 921 as I write