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RBS Buy at 54p - Target 100p (RBS)     

peeyam - 26 Aug 2009 13:00

ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND GROUP PLC is within a rising trend. Continued positive development within the trend channel is indicated. The stock has broken up through the resistance at pence 50.00. A further rise to 100p (1) is predicted in the medium term. The stock is assessed as technically positive for the medium long term.

Good luck -

skinny - 30 Jul 2015 07:08 - 785 of 847

Half Yearly Report: Part 1

Highlights

The Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) continues to deliver on its plan to build a stronger, simpler and fairer bank for both customers and shareholders.

A strong operating performance from Personal & Business Banking (PBB) and Commercial & Private Banking (CPB) contributed to an attributable profit of £293 million for Q2 2015 (loss of £153 million for H1 2015):

● Q2 operating profit(1) was £304 million, in line with Q1 2015. Litigation and conduct costs were lower at £459 million compared with £856 million in Q1 2015, while restructuring costs rose to £1,050 million from £453 million in Q1 2015 as the pace of restructuring accelerated.

● Adjusted operating profit(2) was £1,813 million, up 11% from Q1 2015 but down 7% from Q2 2014, principally driven by reduced income in Corporate & Institutional Banking (CIB) following the planned scaling back of the business. Q2 2015 income benefited from a £205 million credit for IFRS volatility(3), compared with a £123 million charge in Q1 2015. H1 2015 adjusted operating profit was £3,447 million, up 2% from H1 2014.

● Discontinued operations included a fair value gain of £517 million, of which £211 million was attributable to RBS, reflecting the rise in market value of Citizens shares and broadly reversing the loss recorded in Q1 2015.

● Tangible net asset value per ordinary and equivalent B share was 380p at 30 June 2015 compared with 384p at 31 March 2015.

RBS is making good progress against its 2015 targets, moving faster in delivering its plan:

● Positive lending momentum across UK Personal & Business Banking (UK PBB) and Commercial Banking.

● Statistically significant improvement in Net Promoter Scores (NPS) year-on-year in four of the seven businesses where it is measured.

● Adjusted return on equity(4) in the Go-forward Bank is estimated at 14% for H1 2015.

● Capital position strengthened further with Common Equity Tier 1 ratio up 80 basis points in Q2 2015 to 12.3%.

● Exit Bank ahead of plan with continuing progress on sales and run-off.

● On track to achieve £800 million cost reduction target(5).

skinny - 04 Aug 2015 06:20 - 786 of 847

Intention to dispose of approx 5.2% of RBS


UKFI announces that it intends to sell part of HM Treasury's shareholding in The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc (the "Company"). The disposal of these shares (the "Placing Shares") will be by way of a placing to institutional investors (the "Placing").

The price at which the Placing Shares are sold (the "Placing Price") will be determined by way of an accelerated bookbuilding process. The book will open with immediate effect following this announcement.

skinny - 04 Aug 2015 07:03 - 787 of 847

Disposal of approximately 5.4% of The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc

Further to its announcement on 3 August 2015, UKFI announces the successful completion of the disposal of part of HM Treasury's shareholding in The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc (the "Company"). The disposal was effected by way of a Placing (the "Placing") of ordinary shares (the "Placing Shares") by way of an accelerated bookbuilding process to institutional investors.

In summary, following settlement of the Placing which will take place on 6 August 2015:

● The shareholding of HM Treasury will be reduced from 3,964,483,519 ordinary shares, representing approximately 61.3% of the ordinary share capital of the Company, to 3,334,483,519 ordinary shares, representing approximately 51.5% of the ordinary share capital.

● Accordingly, the overall size of HM Treasury's economic interest in the capital of the Company (which includes its holding of ordinary shares and B shares in the Company) will be reduced from approximately 78.3% to approximately 72.9%.

● The Placing Price was 330 pence per Placing Share. As a result, the proceeds from the sale of the Placing Shares will be £2,079,000,000.

● Citigroup Global Markets Limited, Goldman Sachs International, Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc and UBS Limited acted as Bookrunners in connection with the Placing.

● UKFI and HM Treasury have undertaken to the Bookrunners not to sell further shares in the Company for a period of 90 calendar days following the completion of the Placing without the prior written consent of a majority (by participation) of the Bookrunners.

● N M Rothschild & Sons Limited acted as Capital Markets Adviser. Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer LLP acted as legal counsel to UKFI in respect of English and US law.

skinny - 04 Aug 2015 10:29 - 788 of 847

Just the 680 million traded so far!

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=RBS&Si

HARRYCAT - 04 Aug 2015 10:55 - 789 of 847

How many of those were government stock?

EDIT: 630m?

hangon - 04 Aug 2015 20:24 - 790 of 847

Well I suppose the Tory's know how many Beans make Five - or not?
So they sold ~10% of the holding that was forced upon English citizens - but at a loss - O, I wonder who thinks ( er, excluding anyone in the City ), that is a good deal - It makes no sense. Furthermore the money received by the Gov. is unlikely to be used wisely - it's just not enough to kick-start something.... better to move the Execs at RBS, to see if anyone there has some decent "Banking" ideas..... One suspects not.

2517GEORGE - 05 Aug 2015 11:56 - 791 of 847

I don't think Labour took over RBS & Lloyds primarily to make a profit, it was to save the whole banking system as we know it and to keep the ATM's providing peeps with their money.
2517

CC - 24 Aug 2015 13:57 - 792 of 847

Now if George could just buy back those half billion shares they sold a few weeks ago some 20p cheaper than would be really useful

HARRYCAT - 03 Dec 2015 13:57 - 793 of 847

Macquarie broker note:
" We upgrade the shares to Neutral. There are still considerable risks around RBS, particularly material outstanding litigation and conduct liabilities that are virtually unquantifiable.
 However, having underperformed the European bank sector and the UK market by over 20% year to date (UK banks -12%) the shares are trading at a c30% discount to European banks (PTBV15e 0.8x v EuroBank average 1.2x).
 For a bank which we believe is pursuing the correct strategy of focusing on its core valuable UK Retail and Commercial banking franchise (are you listening Barclays?) this leaves the risks far more balanced. We upgrade to Neutral and recommend closing the short.
 RBS published a poor set of Q3 results. IFRS PBT £2m was better than consensus expectations for a loss of £84m. However, this was driven by lower litigation and conduct charges.
 Core adjusted PBT (ex. US exit and Non-core) £854m was -15% (-£145m) below estimated consensus.
 Key drivers include weaker than expected revenue including -£126m for IFRS volatility (weak Commercial Banking and Centrals), and higher than expected costs (UK Personal & Business Banking and Centrals).
Action and recommendation
 RBS is a challenging bank for investors. Management are good and strategy correct. Long term there seems little reason why it should not trade at a similar PTBV15e to Lloyds (1.35x).
 However, before we reach the promised land we need to cross the litigation desert. RBS is exposed to just about every major sector litigation, plus a few extra. Trying to quantify these is still fraught with uncertainty.
 That said, we believe that we have provided at the conservative end of the spectrum (including $10bn for US RMBS action) and still have a 300p price target. With the risks more balanced we close the short and upgrade the shares to Neutral."

HARRYCAT - 27 Jan 2016 08:15 - 794 of 847

StockMarketWire.com
Royal Bank of Scotland has made provisions for about USD2.7bn covering Payment Protection Insurance and Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities as it moves to clean up its core business and put the past behind it.

It would provision an additional USD2.2bn in relation to various US RMBS litigation claims in Q4 2015 which will reduce attributable profits for Q4 2015 by GBP1.5bn, reduced TNAV per share at 31 December 2015 by 13p, and the CET 1 capital ratio by 0.6%.

It confirmed an additional provision of GBP500m in relation to PPI in the context of the recent FCA consultation paper CP15/39, which will reduce attributable profits for Q4 2015 by GBP500m, reduce TNAV per share at 31 December 2015 by 4p, and the CET 1 capital ratio by 0.2%.

Moreover, there was a Q4 2015 goodwill impairment charge of GBP498m in respect of its Private Banking business. This will reduce attributable profits in Q4 2015 by GBP498m, but as an intangible item will have no impact on TNAV per share or the CET1 ratio.

As at 31 December 2015, RBS expects to report a CET1 capital ratio of approximately 15% and TNAV per share of approximately 350p versus a CET1 capital ratio of 16.2% (pro-forma for the full disposal of Citizens) and TNAV per share of 384p as at 30 September 2015, pending the completion of normal year end processes. These figures are preliminary estimates and unaudited.

Subject to PRA approval, we expect the adverse core capital impact resulting from the proposed pension accounting change, including the �4.2 billion accelerated payment, to be partially offset by a reduction in RBS's core capital requirements.

The timing of any such potential core capital offsets are likely to occur at the earliest 1 January 2017, and will depend upon PRA's assessment of RBS's core capital position at that time.

CEO Ross McEwan said:
"I am determined to put the issues of the past behind us and make sure RBS is a stronger, safer bank. We will now continue to move further and faster in 2016 to clean-up the bank and improve our core businesses.

"We've always been open about the scale of past issues facing RBS and although there is clearly much more to do, this announcement is a further step towards addressing legacy issues and building a great bank for our customers and delivering long term value for our shareholders."

Claret Dragon - 27 Jan 2016 10:56 - 795 of 847

How much has been pumped ınto thıs bottomless pıt after all these years and ıts only

worth 25p

I am ıgnorıng the massagıng of the stock splıt.

cynic - 27 Jan 2016 11:20 - 796 of 847

a slightly clearer 6 month chart with 25,50 and 200 dma lines

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=RBS&Si

kimoldfield - 27 Jan 2016 13:41 - 797 of 847

That's a grim looking chart, even when you look at it upside down!

chocolat - 27 Jan 2016 21:43 - 798 of 847

Trust you to be standing on your head, Kimmie ;)

HARRYCAT - 28 Jan 2016 09:17 - 799 of 847

JP Morgan Cazenove today reaffirms its neutral investment rating on Royal Bank of Scotland Group (The) PLC (LON:RBS) and cut its price target to 335p (from 365p).

CC - 08 Feb 2016 19:06 - 800 of 847

OK - it's time for me to say it. Surely this is the opportunity not to be missed.

I know prices can always go lower but I cannot believe some of the prices available at the moment.

Bought (some more) at 230.0 today.

skinny - 26 Feb 2016 07:04 - 801 of 847

Final Results

HARRYCAT - 26 Feb 2016 07:54 - 802 of 847

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=RBS&Si

ahoj - 26 Feb 2016 10:02 - 803 of 847

Where is it going to stop?

Chris Carson - 18 Mar 2016 12:31 - 804 of 847

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=RBS&Si



So far had two attempts to close gap @ 245 and having done so fallen back. Trying now for third time lucky. May be worth a punt leading up to Q1 results on 29/04.

Limit Buy waiting on spreads @ 245.50 if filled initial target 260p
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