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The Forex Thread (FX)     

hilary - 31 Dec 2003 13:00

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Forex rebates on every trade - win or lose!

foale - 02 May 2007 07:04 - 7852 of 11056

my net dania and fxcharts not updating both stuck on 1.9938 whilst the quote is
currently 1.9956-60. Anyone else got this problem?

ptholden - 02 May 2007 07:08 - 7853 of 11056

Nope, mine seems ok.

hilary - 02 May 2007 07:17 - 7854 of 11056

Mine are stuck, D. They have been playing up for a couple of days now.

foale - 02 May 2007 07:20 - 7855 of 11056

ok thanks Hils...saved me a reboot....
odd for netdania to get stuck....
it does happen on fxcharts more often...

hilary - 02 May 2007 11:12 - 7856 of 11056

I'm not going to paste another daily USDX chart today, but there are further signs that the Dollar might be turning. I guess we're seeing a fair bit of profit taking every time the Pound goes over $2. It knocked it back a fair bit yesterday afternoon.

I suspect it will take a few more days yet to get a clear picture of where we're headed.

goforit - 02 May 2007 11:56 - 7857 of 11056

USD/CAD looks iffy, still looking to trade short but using tighter stops. Watching AUD/USD, might be about to turn on the dailys

re charts, been using prorealtime charts the last couple weeks and I like them(use fibs quite alot for retracements). You can get a weeks free trial to try them out. Very similar charts to you know who! noticed little price divergences occasionally! Also had problems with fxcharts but i only use the freebie

Trying a dummy acc. with fxcm and have had problems with limit orders(not being executed correctly) yesterday, presume its me getting it wrong. Certainly prefer the dealing page etc. to unowho

goforit - 02 May 2007 12:05 - 7858 of 11056

in on the spike

hilary - 03 May 2007 08:45 - 7859 of 11056

Zooming in, there are some clearer signs imo this morning that we may be on the turn.

I did read an article the other day suggesting that the Fed would be forced into increasing rates against expectations. That could easily prove to be the "news catalyst" to drive the Dollar going into the summer quarter.



Btw, MM, my old email account was closed a few hours after I posted 7850 the other day. You can now contact me by using the same username@sky.com.

chocolat - 04 May 2007 12:38 - 7860 of 11056

Today's US jobs data released at 1:30 BST, is expected to reveal that 115,000 net new jobs have been added in April after adding 180,000 jobs in March. The unemployment rate is seen rising slightly to 4.5%, up a tick from 4.4%.

chocolat - 04 May 2007 13:09 - 7861 of 11056

chocolat - 04 May 2007 13:42 - 7862 of 11056

Well that was rubbish :)
Plan B then.

goforit - 04 May 2007 14:14 - 7863 of 11056

c - not as many lines as normal!

chocolat - 04 May 2007 15:22 - 7864 of 11056

Normal, gofe? ;)

cynic - 05 May 2007 09:27 - 7865 of 11056

for what it is worth (little to less than nothing) we shall be looking (hoping) for $ to strengthen to about 19700 before falling away again, ultimately to 207000, though this latter target could take 6 or evben 12 months to reach

MightyMicro - 05 May 2007 12:30 - 7866 of 11056

Thanks to the co-operative technological effort rendered possible by the interweb thingie, the Economic Data Release Calendar has been updated by Hil + self.

chocolat - 07 May 2007 16:43 - 7867 of 11056

Well thanks Hil Self.
After The Quantity Theory of Insanity, I've come to the conclusion that too much thinking clouds my thinking.
And I've only got one proposition - 81.92 ($ Index) and 1.3542 (Euro) for a turn.
Or is that two?

ptholden - 08 May 2007 18:06 - 7868 of 11056

LONDON (Thomson Financial) - The dollar managed to gain more ground this afternoon, particularly against the euro, during a quiet day of trading.

Overall, the dollar strength is seen to be driven by investors covering short positions in the dollar and long positions in the euro amassed in recent weeks and ahead of central bank meetings this week.

Although the Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged tomorrow, any change in the wording of its statement may move the dollar.

'The key for markets should be the tenor of the accompanying statement and whether the Fed keeps its tightening bias intact -- especially in the wake of the softer than expected April payrolls and March PCE core deflator,' said David Brown at Bear Stearns.

Because of this, analysts expect the dollar to come under renewed pressure, while the euro should remain buoyed by the fact that the European Central Bank is widely expected to signal this week that it will raise rates next month, and possibly again later this year.

Euro zone data has remained strong and suggests that the European economy has so far weathered the strong currency and managed to 'de-couple' somewhat from the weakening US economy.

This was evident again in German industrial output data this morning, which showed a smaller-than-expected decrease in March, whereas manufacturing output rose.

'Output is likely to have supported overall Q1 GDP,' said Stuart Bennett at Calyon. 'Further, with yesterday's release of March factory orders surprising to the upside, strong demand indicates that output remain firm in Q2.'

Elsewhere, the pound had a mixed day, with a lack of economic data leaving investors to consider tomorrow's retail sales and the rate decision on Thursday.

Retail sales as published by the British Retail Consortium tomorrow are expected to be robust, with total sales up 6.4 pct in April. The Bank of England, meanwhile, is widely expected to hike rates on Thursday, with the outside chance of a 50 basis point move expected to keep the pound supported.

chocolat - 09 May 2007 20:06 - 7869 of 11056

FOMC statement

chocolat - 09 May 2007 20:38 - 7870 of 11056

Consumer confidence ahead of MPC thingie

foale - 11 May 2007 08:25 - 7871 of 11056

Cable really hammering that support this am....1.9765-75 area...will it hold?
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