FONTY
- 31 Aug 2005 23:17
I have started a new thread with a more formal thread title for ease so that everyone gets a chance to get in on this one.
I have copied the last few day's postings from the 'no hobby mags' thread.
If Kelvin MacKenzie is going to make a killing so am I! It's about time I did.
FONTY - 28 Aug 2005 22:33 - 22 of 35
We don't want McKenzie going in through the back door - we want him to make a take over please!
lizard - 29 Aug 2005 09:13 - 23 of 35
only a matter of time imo!- i am sure he has the necessary people around him to make this happen.
FONTY - 30 Aug 2005 08:27 - 24 of 35
I think this is going to be my 2005 Iomart and I am going to enjoy Christmas - fingers crossed anyway. I am surprised this thread is so quiet. But then Kelvin McK has been clever acquiring stock at the most quiet time of year - the week before August Bank Holiday when every man and their dog Spot and kids are in the South of France. Clever stuff.
I spent the weekend with a publisher friend and we went through the mags that HHO have - they have a few which can be really built up and sold for a fortune and the rest are dogs which need to be binned.
We can see what Kelvin is going to do and it is not difficult. HHO's websites are terrible and their subscriptions website is a disgrace - you have to work really hard to part with your money.
Look forward to this and wonder when others will join us Lizard and John50.
belisce6 - 30 Aug 2005 17:00 - 25 of 35
Fonty......i have been trying to work out their market cap, but can't find much on their website.......any idea what it is ?? (post restructure).
I assume that the final part of the current restructuring is the Board changes which are supposed to take effect at end of next month....
WOODIE - 30 Aug 2005 18:05 - 26 of 35
fonty what will you think he will do ,a full take over or a place on the board?
NielsJensen - 30 Aug 2005 18:11 - 27 of 35
Belisce6: I calculate they have around 317,330,979 shares so you can work it out from that.
FONTY - 31 Aug 2005 00:53 - 28 of 35
Woodie - I think he will really develop the lad mag Front and develop some of the prosperous titles - anything to do with boats etc and dump non lucrative titles like Old Steam Engines!
If I was him and I had the opportunity I would take the whole sad affair over completely and make a killing. Get a brilliant team together, marketing team, attractive leggy blonds with brains on board to develop the 'sexy and powerful' mags and hand it over to my friend. He would turn it around in a couple of years and make a few million.
Alternatively, he could try and get a place on the board but let's face it - a man like Kelvin McKenzie - would he really settle for that? If I was him I would want to get rid of the existing board and be the Chairman and create my own Board. I can't see him playing 2nd fiddle - he's not the sort.
FONTY - 31 Aug 2005 09:11 - 29 of 35
B6 - Market Cap is 9 mil - all the best
WOODIE - 31 Aug 2005 10:48 - 30 of 35
fonty what do you think the take out price would be as the last rns has not moved the s/price much.
FONTY - 31 Aug 2005 13:11 - 31 of 35
I wouldn't like to say but I bought in yesterday and I would like to see myself doubling my money at least but wouldn't we all.
FONTY - 31 Aug 2005 16:23 - 32 of 35
17% up from this morning - just made 1K so hope this is just the beginning.
Snip - 31 Aug 2005 16:28 - 33 of 35
I bought this morning on the basis of this chart. The p+f target is so high that it is off my screen
lizard - 31 Aug 2005 19:10 - 34 of 35
didn't they recently reject a 10pps offer?- the company is now better positioned with game win.
ateeq180 - 31 Aug 2005 20:48 - 35 of 35
If thats the case we might hit 5p tomorrow,or not.
Thread List Earlier Posts All Posts
sarkee
- 06 Sep 2005 13:24
- 79 of 185
And the big growth area will be electronic publishing when Kelvin & Chums take over.....
belisce6
- 06 Sep 2005 17:36
- 80 of 185
....if that 8.5million buy was KM, a few days ago, it is possible that it was done thru someone else isn't it ?? in which case no RNS would come up as that one buy alone makes up less than 3%........i doubt that KM would be lifting his stake by completing his own private trades.....he'd have someone sorting it out for him......
lizard
- 06 Sep 2005 18:01
- 81 of 185
perhaps he is building a consortium?.
FONTY
- 06 Sep 2005 19:02
- 82 of 185
Belisce6 and Lizard - Like the concept of a Consortium - that's more like it than Sewing Machine Monthly!
belisce6
- 07 Sep 2005 12:26
- 83 of 185
Highbury House Communications PLC
07 September 2005
Highbury House Communications PLC
('Highbury' or the 'Company')
Board Changes
The Board is pleased to announce that Kelvin MacKenzie has accepted its offer to
join the Board in the role of Executive Chairman. The appointment will commence
immediately.
Simon Neathercoat, the non-executive Chairman of the Company will step down from
the Board with immediate effect and the Board would like to thank him for his
efforts. Simon has been Chairman since August 2004 during which time the
Company has been significantly restructured and its debt burden reduced.
Mark Simpson, currently Chief Executive Officer, will also step down from the
Board in due course but will, in the meantime, assist Kelvin as appropriate in a
handover capacity.
The Board changes announced on 11 August 2005 will not be affected by the
changes announced today, save in respect of Mark Simpson.
Simon Neathercoat commented: 'Whilst I am, on the one hand, disappointed to be
departing before the job is completed, I am nonetheless delighted that Kelvin
has joined the Board to see this through. Kelvin has a terrific track record in
the media industry with broad experience and contacts. I am confident that under
his leadership, Highbury will re-establish a sensible capital structure and
thrive thereafter.'
Kelvin MacKenzie commented: 'The company remains in a fragile state but at its
heart are good titles and core profitability. I am hopeful we can build on this
foundation.'
7 September 2005
Enquiries:
College Hill:
Tom Baldock/Adrian Duffield 020 7457 2020
belisce6
- 07 Sep 2005 12:27
- 84 of 185
no consortium....but to get on as Executive Chairman means that he's in there to fix it and make a shit-load of cash !!!!!!!
WOODIE
- 07 Sep 2005 13:14
- 85 of 185
so its out in the open, no bid for the co lets hope not many got sucked in from the ramping on other boards 10p a share my own opion i can not see this going over 5p for a while.
john50
- 07 Sep 2005 13:22
- 86 of 185
Your right WOODIE but its now turned into a very good money making share over the next 6 months to a year
WOODIE
- 07 Sep 2005 13:30
- 87 of 185
john agree over the long term buying now will see good returns
FONTY
- 07 Sep 2005 20:55
- 88 of 185
Just back from the magazine rack of W H Smith at Victoria Train Station with my publisher friend looking at Front Magazine and comparing it to Maxim, and all the good male glossies - we can see where it's going to go - loads of advertising revenue to grab and improve quality. Front is crap at the moment but there is a fab market out there to grab.
KM will dumb the rubbish management and he has the people to bring in - Just watch this chap get this up and running - he has the time, enthusiasm and cash to do it.
My target is to really multi bag my money - now a long term 12 month investment for me and sit back and enjoy. Now I know he is Chairman I can relax.
All the best
ptholden
- 08 Sep 2005 19:28
- 89 of 185
Quiet on here today. It strikes me that the only reason that the SP rose was due to the possibility that KM would mount a takeover for the company. Now that would not appear to be the case, is there any reason why the SP will maintain its current level. My guess is no, particularly when bearing in mind that the Co is in crap order, they have substantial debts and even if KM can walk on water it will take some time for him to turn things around. I will be very surprised if investors see any return over the next year, never mind six months, particularly those who have bought recently at the higher levels. I don't generally short, but this would appear to be begging for it, unless of course anyone can persuade me otherwise.
In the meantime, good luck to the longer term guys (john, woodie, fonty et al) I think you are gonna need it.
pth
lizard
- 08 Sep 2005 19:43
- 90 of 185
i think the mkt could act positively to a statement confirming km intentions and future direction.
john50
- 08 Sep 2005 19:46
- 91 of 185
Thanks ptholden thing ill hold and see what develops.
ptholden
- 08 Sep 2005 20:24
- 92 of 185
Lizard
You may well be right. However, one thing that has stuck in my mind is exactly how HHO intend to repay their debt. I don't believe that the company is generating sufficient profit to keep the banks happy and apart from selling off more titles the only other option would be to call a rights issue. While this may suit the prospects of the company in the longer term it will destroy shareholder value in the short term, both by the negativity such a course of action creates and the obvious dilution. From a read of the Final Results I am not sure that their bank would be willing to extend additional loan facilities, especially as they have just recovered a chunk of debt following the Future deal.
As I say I am willing to listen to the other side of the arguement and of course KM has a real vested interest in turning the company around. Question is, can he do it and how long will it take?
pth
bristlelad
- 08 Sep 2005 20:43
- 93 of 185
hi ptholden SPOT ON /Iwould say/
mpw777
- 08 Sep 2005 23:43
- 94 of 185
ALL PURCHASERS OF THESE SHARES ARE PAYING AT LEAST 2 FOR A 1 NOTE
MY GUESS IS THAT OPTIONS WILL BE GRANTED WHICH WILL , IN DUE COURSE . SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE THE VALUE OF SHARE HOLDINGS
FONTY
- 09 Sep 2005 08:45
- 95 of 185
Let's mark our diaries guys for this time next year - all the day traders have been selling so sp plummets and will stablise and then over time KM will bring it around. Then let's see if he does it and who will be spitting nails out of us - hope it's not me. What more can we say until then. Happy Investing - I am looking forward to this one - my publisher friend sees no downside on it so topping up when it has steady growth.
belisce6
- 09 Sep 2005 12:06
- 96 of 185
i agree with you Fonty,
i spent about 4 hours last night trying to see what the financials would be with all of the disposals stuff taken out......i was coming up with an overall loss of anything up to about 7mill. (versus the end-2004 95mill)......and the debt should be down to about 23mill........with these sort of figures, the debt/equity ratio would also be in a 'normal' region, and it would simply be "game on" in regards to their Game magazine getting in margins that are better than 10%.....
but as a few others have mentioned, it all depends on whether issues are further diluted.....although i would have thought that with the disposals some of the proceeds have been marked for working capital, and they have reconstructed their loans.........so i am not expecting any further share issues for now.
I do remember seeing somewhere thru the multitude of 2005 RNSs a mention that Interim results would be out in September (some time soon ???).
So i am very interested to see what the financials come up looking like; this is what i had; with a 10% margin (although should be closer to 15%) on about 47mill turnover (ie; with the disposals taken out of the 2004 figures)...which gives about 4.7mill. But then there is the remaining intangible asset impairment and amortisation of about 4mill.......any further restructuring costs (1mill).
Then must take away tax ?? (1mill - nominal figure as couldn't really see the basis of the previous years one), Loss on diposals of at least 2.2mill which has already been stated as such, and then the finance charges/interest of anything up to about 3.5mill. So overall I get a figure of -7mill. but if the margin is actually 15%, then the overall loss would be -4.65mill............bearing in mind that the restructuring costs/tax and finance charges could be lower, but the loss on disposals could be higher.
all is pure speculation; but i am hopeful that they will be very close to breakeven for end 2005, and then back into profit by the end-June06 period. DYOR.
(and based on current issued shares - someone mentioned 333mil; for every 1mill of retained profit is 0.3p eps which at 10pe is sp of 3p......so for 2mill profit - sp of 6p and so on.....)
At the end of the day; it all comes down to whether they are able to extract about a 15% profit margin, and keep those finance charges/interest to a low amount.....then we will be seeing profit !!!!!
ptholden
- 09 Sep 2005 12:38
- 97 of 185
Fonty
My opinion is one of the short term view. I expect the spike caused by the takeover talk to be reversed as the current fundamentals do not support the current mkt cap, hence a downward turn in the SP. Personally, I would prefer to put my money into something that is showing an increasing value rather than waiting six months / 1 year / 2 years for a possible turnaround. I would imagine that there are a sugnificant number of punters caught by the recent activity who are now hanging on waiting for the best. If there is not a quick turnaround then eventually some will inevitably sell. I may be wrong, but what quick turnaround could there be?
pth
ptholden
- 09 Sep 2005 15:15
- 98 of 185
Looks like the selling has started in earnest today, although the MMs seem to have been trying to hold the price steady for some reason??
pth