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Dubious sell-off     

ellio - 15 May 2006 09:10

The market seems to be selling-off on the back of limited bad news imo, apart from the dollar that is.

If you can hold your nerve and apart from any short term requirements to offload poor performing stocks, I have a couple!!, my advice would be sit tight. This does not have the feel of the tech(mining!) bubble at all. Difference being there are a lot of good fundamentals, unlike in 2000 when there were a lot of over rated nothing companies.

cynic - 18 May 2006 08:40 - 79 of 1564

As I write, FTSE is now down only 50 points after 78 earlier ...... Higher US inflation certainly spooked the markets badly, but potentially much more worrying is the potential default on copper contracts ..... I keep thinking that I have taken plenty of evasive action, only to find that I haven't; I certainly won't be alone.

cynic - 18 May 2006 08:41 - 80 of 1564

Polite message for Frenchie ..... Please can you try to write more concise and digestible posts

Iain - 18 May 2006 08:42 - 81 of 1564

Its "Blackdays" Brother :-)

goldfinger - 18 May 2006 10:20 - 82 of 1564

If this does turn out to be a bear market rather than a severe correction I cant see it lasting a long time. Historically Bear markets last for between 9 and 10 months, but I cant see that amount of time in the doldrums this time.

One could say that the Top 100 and 250 were fully valued and being pushed by takeover and merger activity , but within the small caps other than the commodity and oils sectors (I see the bubble bursting here and have been well away from the sector for the last 12 months) P/Es have remained fairly low.

Some tech shares and retail shares trade on very cheap P/E multiples. Might have another 14 days of volatility but Im hoping we are going to recover going into late summer.

skyhigh - 18 May 2006 11:11 - 83 of 1564

What a crap week this is ! my portfolio of sm. caps & Aim stocks down this week by 15% and still falling,, this is with shares that were already undervalued and destined for great things.

Think is a classic sell in May and go away situation with the US interest rates and higher inflation a trigger for the sell off...
I think the market will drift down until later in the summer (late Sept.) when the bulls will return to pick up bargains..
In the meantime, until things settle down, I can see a further 10% fall in my portfolio and maybe in the FTS as well !

soul traders - 18 May 2006 12:03 - 84 of 1564

I'm thinking we might be in for a soggy summer too. Am toying with the idea of experimenting with a covered warrant to bet on the market sinking a bit further, before going bargain hunting after the kerfuffle dies down.

Strawbs - 18 May 2006 12:19 - 86 of 1564

Not sure which way it'll go. But any negative surprises won't be taken well, and positive RNS's seem to be ignored at the moment. I've been reducing most of my portfolio over the last 2 weeks. Fortunately I disposed of all my miners first (last week). I've reduced my portfolio further today, and I'm now 70/30, cash/equities. If I miss a big rally, so be it. Until I'm convinced there's some strength behind a move up, I'd rather take the safe option. I also think we'll drift over the summer, and less volatility should provide support for a move up again in the Autumn.

Strawbs.

jimmy b - 18 May 2006 12:23 - 87 of 1564

Funny you should post that GF , in this months Quantum Leap ,(and i quote)

Respected fund manager Anthony Bolton of Fidelity has been quoted recently as saying UK shares are too high and headed for a fall.This will have alarmed many investors .My advice is to pay no attention .He may be right ,more likely he is wrong. (unquote) .

Well he's half right ,lets see where we go from here ..

silvermede - 18 May 2006 13:47 - 88 of 1564

For what it's worth, when looking at FTSE 100, 350, Small Caps and AIM all shares Charts, all are still above the 200 Day Moving Average, though FTSE 100 is fairly close. Sep 05's market correction did not cross this line, but did so in 04. It remains to be seen whether this will be the support, we're not that far away from that testing moment.

goldfinger - 18 May 2006 14:10 - 89 of 1564

Jimmy, I think Bolton is and as been a very good fund manager one of the very best, but hes retiring and as hand picked his successor (2 of them) himself.

What better way to hand over the job but at the beginning of a new bull run say 12 months down the line and obviously he does nt want his reputation damaging at the very end of a distinguished career.

cheers Gf.

Chiva20 - 18 May 2006 14:38 - 90 of 1564

I reckon this is a pause for breath - an ugly heaving great big pause, but just a pause.

Chiva20 - 18 May 2006 14:40 - 91 of 1564

ST - BLVN showing good strength in light of the panic

soul traders - 18 May 2006 15:16 - 92 of 1564

Strangely enough, yes.

moneyplus - 18 May 2006 15:18 - 93 of 1564

EPY holding up well after it's RNS yesterday

goldfinger - 18 May 2006 23:22 - 94 of 1564

What about an Investors STRIKE??????????, show the MMs we mean business.

jimmy b - 18 May 2006 23:45 - 95 of 1564

Yup, no one buy anything for three months ,they'll be begging us to come back ,mind you is it their fault this time.??. I'm actually out of almost everything right now and playing Backgammon for Dollars on the net ,there is going to be some bargains about soon,but when ??..i'm waiting .

hlyeo98 - 19 May 2006 08:42 - 96 of 1564

I think buyers are back for bargain hunting today

jimmy b - 19 May 2006 09:02 - 97 of 1564

Not convinced this market has turned hlyeo .

Strawbs - 19 May 2006 09:11 - 98 of 1564

I'm not convinced either. I think pushing the price up on some of these shares will encourage people to get back in because they've had such a good run. If it's a false rally though then that could be an expensive mistake. Think I'll sit on my hands for a while yet.

Strawbs.
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