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CMS Webview What is the potential for this share ? (CWV)     

GEOFFREY.R - 01 Nov 2003 16:46

I bought shares in this company at 4.5p in September 2003. I see they are rising. Can anyone tell me please the growth potential for this company as they have just been awarded several new contracts ?

happy to watch - 02 Dec 2003 11:34 - 794 of 1924

game_boy - We would all be delighted to hear your views/analysis on the material impact each ProphetX contract won has on the profitability of this company? Is it really that difficult to work out that we have to return back to school for a math lesson? Here are my workings:

EBIT = ( #seats * 200 GBP * 12 months * margin ) - COS
COS = one off sales effort + costs to support service + training

Have ignored any asset depreciation and other balancesheet stuff to keep it all simple although it is a re-sell of someone elses service so shouldn't affect the numbers.

Now, with the above in mind if you wish to critique please do so.

xmortal - 02 Dec 2003 12:49 - 795 of 1924

All trades show delays. 13-14 so lots of sells. Still, will be a rebound soon. For those who bought at higher prices there's not point of selling. Wait and see. Good things comes to those who wait. Thanks

ntk98 - 02 Dec 2003 12:52 - 796 of 1924

happy to watch,

Is it a flaw in your calculation? Or maybe I understand your intention wrongly, then appology

IMO like in every other SW package, support service + training belong not to "cost", in fact they are source of revenue.

In the comp. where I work for example there is equipment with the initial cost of less then 125K, over 10 years the total cost is actually near the 2mil, due to 12% support service each year, additional SW\feature upgrade (sure you can refuse and stay with the very standard, time consuming features), and training hundert of engineer have been through (sure you can do the training yourself, and stop recruiting, but who want to work there!), you can of course refuse to upgrade in house and use external service, problem is it cost around 350/h, and at the end of the day 8*350 you often still can not solve the the problem 100%, money gone and SW+system still not belong to you. as with technology you have to go ahead with upgrading, adding new features and I don't think any one can refuse if the upgradding and extra cost bring 10x more profit at the end.

Same we can see with sage product. How much does it cost initially for sage standard, 2k, or 5K, no 200 and less, you can have for free; and what costs the sage2000? not more then 5K. BUT, again the maintance, service, working on extra features (script\problem solving) and training bring the extra revenue, Same as SAP initially element cost less then 500K, but where do these "ridicoulous cheap" products bring SAGE and SAP, SDL, MiCROSOF to, and please remember comp. which use those product still save hundert of thousands in accounting, logistic, and make millions so the extra cost doesn't hurt at all.

Please correct me if I am wrong

ntk98 - 02 Dec 2003 12:56 - 797 of 1924

stand of order at 12:54

buy 801k/sell 276k

ajren - 02 Dec 2003 14:49 - 798 of 1924

13.50 Now
A couple of weeks ago I suggested holders should sell at 11p.
I WAS WRONG and said so on this thread.
..........................
I request SueHelen apologize for her prediction of 30p.
I also suggest she explains her rationale for 50p price
..........................
HYPE : I agree we make our own decisions but
newcomers to the stockmarket can be influenced by these predictions.
rgds aj

dipys100 - 02 Dec 2003 15:21 - 799 of 1924

I bought in at the top end as a new user to shares after reading the postings on here. I DON'T blame Sue as I think she had been generally right. I also think it's hard to predict when the company's going to make any announcements on the launch of not ProphetX but TDI for which the fundraisng is taking place

momentum - 02 Dec 2003 15:27 - 800 of 1924

Have my buy orders set for a reversal. As imo the next low set, will be the bottom and the uptrend to continue. However my target for year end is a more conservative 20p provided we receive some news on funding / contacts.One extra contract i beleive is already discounted.

stephen

dipys100 - 02 Dec 2003 15:29 - 801 of 1924

can anyone tell me what imo imho mean please?

ckmtang - 02 Dec 2003 15:34 - 802 of 1924

I think share can rise or drop. If share rise, every ppl will happy. But share drop everyone blame.

I won`t blame sue, conversly support sue. she did lots of works in CMS. when it rise everyone say thank you to her, but if it drop eveyone blame her. Do you think it is fair? I really don`t think so. Share has it only risk. If you can`t take the risk or loss, I will say you better put you money in your pocket. I hope sue will continue give us information abbout the share. and thanks sue

Fundamentalist - 02 Dec 2003 15:42 - 803 of 1924

dipys100

imo - in my opinion
imho - in my humble opinion

azhar - 02 Dec 2003 15:43 - 804 of 1924

dipys100,
imo - In My Opinion
imho - In My Honest Opinion
I Think!

azhar - 02 Dec 2003 15:44 - 805 of 1924

This story looks very similar to ZOO and IDD

dipys100 - 02 Dec 2003 15:46 - 806 of 1924

Thanks Fundamentalist

GEOFFREY.R - 02 Dec 2003 15:53 - 807 of 1924

According to the Investtech website DEC 1st close. (Based on technical analysis)

CWV is still a strong candidate. Shows a strong development within a rising tend channel. A further positive development is indicated, and there is support against the floor of the trend channel. However is overbought, which indicates a potential short term reaction down.

Positive volume balance, i.e. high vol. on days of rising prices & low vol. on days of falling prices strengthens the stock in the short term.

Hope this info is useful

SueHelen - 02 Dec 2003 15:57 - 808 of 1924

Topped up at 13.5 pence, back later.

Best Wishes,

Sue.

ajren - 02 Dec 2003 16:14 - 809 of 1924

Nice to read so many opinions.rgds aj

ajren - 02 Dec 2003 16:39 - 810 of 1924

Please read my new thread : HYPE Shares/Prices
rgds aj

cobras - 02 Dec 2003 16:53 - 811 of 1924

hello sue
so you still thinking at 50p by christmas??

SueHelen - 02 Dec 2003 18:22 - 812 of 1924

Hi all, been at university again hence the absence during the day ( studies are getting a bit hectic now ),

Yes I am Cobra. With regard to the question put my ajren, the price has dropped again today as the fundraising is being carried out at these prices. This is just my view. Once this is completed all the other announcements I am expecting should start to follow. It is very easy to criticise someone when the price is not rising but if you look at the friday's RNS it does state that the fundraising could be below friday's close of 15.25 pence. I have no calms about the fall today as I was expecting the fundraising announcement and expect the fundraising to be carried out at these prices as mentioned yesterday. At this moment if the fundraising is being carried out then it is not likely to jump to 20 pence is it. However, it will surpass that price once the fundraising is completed. Remember they are only raising the money for marketing purposes (see my previous posts, yesterday etc). What I am more interested is in all the good news that will follow suit which I have researched about. I have tried not to hype this share but share my information with fellow investors and I very much hope if you hold on during this volatility you will be well rewarded.

Best Wishes,

Sue.

SueHelen - 02 Dec 2003 18:22 - 813 of 1924

Thanks for the Investtech update Geoffrey.

Sue.
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