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Traders Thread - Wednesday 3rd September (ABP)     

Crocodile - 02 Sep 2003 22:18

draw?period=1D&action=draw&startDate=10% draw?period=1D&action=draw&startDate=10%

Gold

t24_au_en_usoz_6.gif

fpDJIA.gqplus?511 marketwatch-ss.img?symb=SP500 fpNASDAQ.gqplus?183

marketwatch-ss.img?symb=DAX

S&P &Futures (Click for latest)

globex.png

Pre Market Futures (7:30)
FTSE +20
TechMark +4
DAX +25

Hang Seng +106

Chart

Nikkei +17

Chart

DOW -10
S&P -0.8
Nasdaq -1

 

News Headlines:   US stocks powered ahead after bullish analyst calls in the technology sector pushed the major indexes to levels not seen in well over a year.

The FTSE 100 is expected to open up some 20 points higher after U.S. equity markets surged through 14-month high following more evidence of a recovery.Gallaher Group tobacco reported a seven percent rise in in half-year profits and said that group trading remains in line with expectations for the full year. They reported first half profits of 241 million pounds compared to forecasts of 227-237 million pounds.

Associated British Ports posted a one percent dip in first-half profit to 66.6 million pounds which was less severe than the market feared.

LogicaCMG computer services reported a first half pretax profit of 39.4 million pound 28 percent lower on the previous six months. Sales were three percent lower at 854 million sterling and Europe's No. 3 computer services company said order intake in the first half was strong, providing a solid start of the year.

Serco Group industrial and government services firm reported a 10.2 percent rise in first-half pre-tax profits on Wednesday and said it was confident of achieving sustainable profit growth. They reported profits of 31.3 million pounds with the market expecting 29.8 million pounds to 31.5 million pounds.

Cable & Wirelesss may hand its loss-making U.S. business to management in a deal that could avoid full closure costs of up to 850 million poundsVernalis biotechnology company is preparing to axe more than half its drug pipeline to leave it enough cash for three yearsBP, SHELL may be affected by the seven percent fall in oil prices overnight.

McCarthy & Stone the UK's biggest builder of retirement homes said it expected a "highly satisfactory" set of full year results and it had beaten its turnover targets for the year, with unit sales and average selling prices "well in advance" of last year.

Somerfield which rebuffed a takeover approach in June, said overall performance was in line with management expectations. Like-for-like sales at Somerfield stores were up two percent, but down 1.5 percent at the group's Kwik Save budget supermarkets.

SIG Europe's biggest distributor of insulation products posted a 10-percent rise in first-half profit on Wednesday and said it expected conditions in the second half to be similar to the first.

Calendar

All GMT

ukf.gifUnited Kingdom (F)inals (I)nterim usf.gifUnited States (Click Flag)

Wednesday

 

 

 

 

 

Associated British Ports (I) PBT 69m exp Gallaher Group (I)

Regent Inns (F), Savills (I), Serco Group (I), SIG (I), Signet Group (I), Cambridge Antibody (I), Charter, Clarkson (I), Costain Group (I),  Delta (I), Devro (I), , Heywood Williams (I), James Beattie (I), Isotron (F), LogicCMG (I), Lookers (I),  Melrose Resources (I),

Somerfield AGM & Q1 Trading Update, Quintain (AGM), British Airways Aug Traffic Figures

09.30 Aug Services PMI 56.0 exp. 11.00 July CBI Distributive Trades 20% exp.

15.00 July Construction Spending m/m 0.5% exp. 19.00 Fed Beige Book, ISM Services
euro.gifEurope & World

08.55 Aug German Services PMI 49.0 exp. 09.00 Aug Services PMI 51.0 exp.

10.00 June Retail Trade m/m 0.5% exp.

Ex Dividend: Beale (1.95), Brewin Dolphin (1), Cattles (3.95), EMI Group (6), First Technology (6.1), Glanbia (EUR 0.021), Greggs (25.5),  Hilton Group (3.4), International Greetings (4.45), Low & Bonar (1.5), Metal Bulletin (1.9), Mitie Group (1.1), Mouchel Group (1.45), Oxford Instruments (6),  Peel Holdings (10.2), Persimmon (7), ROK Property Solutions (1.75), Radstone Technology (2), Reckitt Benckiser (14), Royalblue Group (1.85),  Scottish & Southern Energy (24.5), Slough Estates (5.8), Stagecoach Group (1.8), Tops Estates (2.7), Reg Vardy (9.95), VP Plc (3), Wagon (5)

Good Trading!   David@FTSEDOW.com    www.FTSEDOW.com

Bloomberg TV          

Pivot Calculator

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little woman - 03 Sep 2003 01:09 - 8 of 51

I've not been paying too much attention and must admit I've not done much research lately. (I had to work over the weekend and the last 2 days - it really gets in the way!)

I'm going to try and find sometime over the next few days and check out what going on generally as I feel really out of date at the moment!

jules99 - 03 Sep 2003 01:17 - 9 of 51

Grt minds think alike...I hope to open an a/c or two similiary...put up Depst and try out the top big co's that I am comfortable with stick with for 5/10% gains...over a period of days/wks.....less volatility the better...howevr my question is 'Share CFD's' can you explain just so that I'm thinking the same...

E'g If I open a position and go short for example on BT at 1.82 is it like shares they Short for you at current BID price or better, hence if they fall to 1.72 is the term... Close/Buy position back from Broker...? Differecne is the Profit...

Question also if things go wrong...i.e if I buy shares on T5 and stock goes down, I usually put up money and perhaps sellout at a later date be it 1 month or two...with CFD's if things go wrong is it a case of you can only rollover or Close position only..or can you buy the shares i.e put up the cash...??


appreciated...
ta..
Jules99.

little woman - 03 Sep 2003 01:31 - 10 of 51

if you go to http://www.uk.cmcplc.com/cfd/index.asp - then dealing guide, and then compare your costs.

Use VOD as an example. On the main page CMC are quoting 116.5/117.5 and on money-am it closed 116/116.25. You can play with different options and see the results.

I'm not 100% sure about the answers, but to use the account there is a 2,000 deposit required. So thats the amount to play with to learn how it all works! Because the amounts at risk are a lot smaller, (its important to learn with small deals - which it's not possible to do with normal trading through a broker, where this amount wouldn't go far because of the dealing charges!)

I'm sure someone will be able to answer what actually happens in the situations you mention later.

jules99 - 03 Sep 2003 01:39 - 11 of 51

LW that fantastic...best to do tens of fantasy trades before you move to the real thing...

BTW When is the meeting with traders ur organising again??

Cheers...!

Jules99.

little woman - 03 Sep 2003 01:47 - 12 of 51

Next meeting for traders in the south will be early to mid october on a wednesday evening. Once I have a venue and finalised the date I'll put the info on the thread.

I don't know about you, but I need to get some sleep!

LW..........

jules99 - 03 Sep 2003 01:57 - 13 of 51

Thanks for info LW...and goodnite...!

zzz........................

ThePlayboy - 03 Sep 2003 07:17 - 14 of 51

Dow at our close 9444/S&P 1011

WED FTSE PP

R2 4230.6
R1 4217.5
PP 4205.4
S1 4192.3
S2 4180.2

Close was above Tue pp and the weekly pp after loosing 3.9pts in the auction, still closing below the 38.2% FIB at 4209!


Updated 9/2 for Wednesday's market.
Key DOW Levels for 9/3
UP Above 9,550
DN Below 9,425

Rally
Dow rallies, breaks through key 9,500 level.

From prior commentary, "...The index continues the formation of the potential higher low pattern, seen in the Daily Chart. The index must break through 9,500 if further upside movement is to be seen..."
The Dow traded sideways early in the session, forming a tight range at the highs of the 15 Minute Chart. The index finally broke out from the range late in the session, sparking a sharp 107 point rally to the Close.

The index has broken through the key 9,500 level and has officially formed a higher low in the Daily Chart. The fact that such a pattern has formed is indicative of further upside movement in the medium term - especially if the Dow can continue to hold above 9,500.

We want to see a consolidation form, or other signs of strength above 9,425. A break below this level will likely signal a pull-back.

Short Term Dow

Short term, the Dow has formed a tight range at the highs of the 1 Minute Chart from 9,510 to 9,535. Watch for a break from this range for direction tomorrow morning.

Medium Term Dow

In the medium term, we entered the market Long today at 9,463, but were stopped out on the pullback We later re-entered Long at 9,481, and are still in the trade. We will continue to hold stops at the entry for tomorrow's market. Stay Long above 9,550, and look for Shorts bleow 9,425.

NASDAQ & S&P

The NASDAQ and S&P each continued higher today, ending the day at the session highs. The S&P has broken through the large range, while the NASDAQ has formed a successful higher low, both of which, indicate further upside movement. *

Summary

The Dow started the day sideways, but eventually got going to the upside late in the session. The index gained 107 points on the day and currently sits above the 9,500 level, where we are Long. Watch for further upside movement in the medium term.

Crocodile - 03 Sep 2003 07:38 - 15 of 51

Morning all, Looks like the bull run goes on, not a good time to be short on the markets.

Druid2 - 03 Sep 2003 07:57 - 16 of 51

Morning Croc & TP - tks for the info above. We probably will not see little woman & jules99 until after lunch today as they will most likely have a lie in after their late night. Hope it will be pop and drop today as my PRU shorts are not looking healthy at all.

ThePlayboy - 03 Sep 2003 08:16 - 17 of 51

short first lot of avz at 544

Crocodile - 03 Sep 2003 09:11 - 18 of 51

Hi TP & Druid
Logica motoring again and long this morning. EMI managed to short at last nights closing price despite a 6p divi. Couldnt believe it! +5p

ThePlayboy - 03 Sep 2003 09:17 - 19 of 51

Have hit Avz again for my sins, trade against the trend, thats the kitty!

little woman - 03 Sep 2003 09:27 - 20 of 51

Morning all,

Just dropping in whilst I have a leisurely breakfast! Day for research....

jules99 - 03 Sep 2003 09:32 - 21 of 51

morning LW...


Tea sounds good, I'll have no sugar plse...lol..

Ta..Jules99

little woman - 03 Sep 2003 09:47 - 22 of 51

Just had a small punt on twt! Think I may be lucky and be able to off load before close at a small profit!

Not a share a would touch nowadays as its a matter of time before they go under, or merge with another struggling co to survive a bit longer!

The banks are finally picking up!

Crocodile - 03 Sep 2003 10:13 - 23 of 51

FTSE looks clear to 4300 now
Any coffee left?

jules99 - 03 Sep 2003 10:20 - 24 of 51

Crocodile...ur website is excellent and informative, moreoverthe multi screens look very interesting, sent you email late last nite, whilst chatting away with LWoman...Nearer the time Im I able to check these out personally at the traders day?

Let me know as I am interested..

Ta..

Jules99.

p.s there's tea in the kitchen...

Crocodile - 03 Sep 2003 10:39 - 25 of 51

Jules
No Email, could you resend it please?

little woman - 03 Sep 2003 11:13 - 26 of 51

I had ACM on limit sell at 380 but with thier Q2 results due out on the 23 Sept, I've upgraded my sell price! I think the results will be better than expected - and the shares will be a good long term buy. Trouble is they are supposed to be a short term, quick profit holding! Can I be tempted to hang on?

jules99 - 03 Sep 2003 11:33 - 27 of 51

Little woman-if ur interested check out announcment by Serco SRP - I thnk this one ill fly...
Order Book upto 10 Billion up 2.5 Billion, rerating on way...

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