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Dowgate Capital - Capitalising on the booming AIM market (DGT)     

overgrowth - 09 Feb 2005 20:52

Dowgate Capital (DGT) are sitting in the middle of a goldmine!

This company through their sole trading arm City Financial Associates are looking to take full advantage of the "booming" AIM market this year. Dowgate provide NOMAD (NOMinated ADvisor) services to AIM companies and also have full Corporate Broker status which means that they can fund placements on behalf of the companies they represent.

On first sight, the fact that Dowgate exist in the often veiled financial services sector makes you think twice about investing in company such as this because it would be impossible to understand what they were doing - however, think again!

DGT bring new companies to the AIM (Alternative Investment Market). For each new company "floated" on AIM, they take arrangement fees when acting as NOMAD. After the company is launched then for a nice steady earner DGT get another healthy chunk of cash every year for looking after them (note that all AIM companies must have a nominated adviser - thereby securing a ready source of recurring income).

Because DGT also act as a Corporate broker they can get a very healthy percentage for arranging placement of shares with insititutions before a new company floats. In addition, because placements come outside the sphere of yearly NOMAD work, they can also gain healthy percentages of placements which companies may need to make throughout the year when they need a quick injection of cash to speed growth.

Current NOMADships: 28 companies represented (gives recurring income of approx 480,000 per year)

Current on-going Brokerage agreements: 19 companies (income depends on placements)

For flotations, depending on the size of a company, fees charged will be anything from 50,000 to 100,000+ For placements (the real earner), DGT get anything from 3% to around 12% of the TOTAL AMOUNT RAISED - For example a new company raising 3M though a placement will earn DGT anything from 90,000 to 360,000 ! These figures are indicative as actual deals all differ due to circumstances and DGT sometimes take payment in shares - they still have a tasty chunk of Setstone shares and when this Russian exploration company comes back to AIM, predictions are that the share price will rocket. Note that the amount that this little company can earn in fees is huge and every new deal that comes through we know will contribute another healthy chunk into the bottom line. The good news with every new floatation means that it's another chunk of recurring revenue which could go on for years, with DGT having to do very little. New clients gained in 2005 are:

Mediazest (NOMAD & broker) Elite Strategies (NOMAD) Process Handling (NOMAD) Poland Investment Fund (NOMAD) Nanotech Energy (NOMAD & broker) Archimedia Ventures (NOMAD & broker) Red Leopard Holdings (NOMAD) Alba Mineral Resources (NOMAD & broker) Intandem Films (NOMAD & broker) Motive Television (NOMAD) IncaGold (NOMAD) Sportswinbet (NOMAD & Broker) Infoscreen Networks (NOMAD & Broker) Mark Kingsley (NOMAD & Broker) Croatia Ventures (NOMAD & Broker) Pantheon Leisure (NOMAD) Firenze Ventures (Ofex Advisor) FlightStore Group (NOMAD & Broker) Euro Capital Projects (NOMAD) Pearl Street Holdings (NOMAD) Worldwide Natural Resources (Ofex Advisor) Dovedale Ventures (Ofex Advisor) Other 2005 work completed:Neptune-Calculus VCT offer for subs of up to 12 million Advisory work for TGM on London Bus disposal for 20.4M Advisory work for Creightons on property disposal Advisory work for Hampton Trust on company restructuring Advisory work for Interbulk Investments on acquisition of Inbulk Advisory work for Fundamental-e Investments on two disposals Advisory work for Designer Vision re: Design Rights against Centurion Electronics

Click Here for fundamentals and profit projections.
Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=DGT&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=DGT&Si

ptholden - 16 Jun 2005 18:19 - 803 of 2787

DGT hold (I believe 12M SETSTONE shares and questions have been asked as to when Setstone will eventually relist. Have copied this from the other side, credit to Dried66. Answer is: no time soon, but MAY eventually be worth a bob or two. Best forget about this aspect of the DGT business for a while.

pth

dried66 - 16 Jun'05 - 18:14 - 1051 of 1051


I spoke to Tony Hoskinson of Setstone a couple of days ago. I telephoned the number that Snoop kindly provided and was given a landline number, which failed, and so was then given a mobile number.

Tony Hoskinson was previously a director of Setstone and was re-appointed as a director in May of this year to drive this acquisition forward, taking this role over from Peter Burton, as I understand it, although Peter remains a director. Tony was very informative and told me that the deal is still alive and kicking. As previously posted by various authors on this board, there is a hell of a lot of red tape involved, in addition, they are dealing with members of a former Soviet state, who are naturally suspicious. Tony informed me that the deal will not be completed this side of October. He has ideas about employing an industry specialist from the UK to send over there once the deal has been done to get the mine working and to supervise operations for a while. In such a case, the company may not relist until next Spring but Tony feels that it may prove to be a worthwhile option.

I asked him whether he feels the deal will definitely happen. His answer was that Setstone do not want to be the ones to walk away from the negotiating table and that he will know within the next few weeks or so whether such a situation proves inevitable. Should this be the case, he advises that he is confident of finding another deal quite quickly. He is currently very frustrated but stated that the directors have made a commitment to bring the company back.

I understand from him that cash flow is not a problem and that the investors providing the funds during this period of non-activity are quite big-hitters.
From my own search of Companies House website, it appears that there have been quite a few issue of shares since suspension. Although this means dilution, hopefully completion of a deal and the added value will counter this effect.

As regards a relisting price, I asked a self-rhetorical question just for the record as it is impossible to comment. He agreed.

I do not feel that he was fobbing me off and he answered all of my questions during a 30 minute conversation. Tony's background is partly in the oil and mining sector but his main expertise is in buying shells, building them up and then selling them on at a profit.

I hope that the above reassures some of you with ever-dwindling hopes.

PS. Alwyn is still the company secretary but is currently acting purely as a consultant as he is tied up on other matters.

arawli - 16 Jun 2005 18:46 - 804 of 2787

Pth

Just got a copy of shares mag and John Marshall printed a reply to your letter after it I don't know if you are aware?

Andy

ptholden - 16 Jun 2005 19:10 - 805 of 2787

andy

I have seen the reply on-line, but because it is an Adobe document, not sure how I can copy the text?

I thought it was something of an apology wrapped up in self-justification with a hint of 'we know best!'

I wasn't really expecting it to be published and was more interested in pointing out that my impression of the article was one of 'let's fill a column', rather than any in depth research.

Anywhere, it certainly has brought the company to wider attention, which should be beneficial in the long term.

pth

stockdog - 16 Jun 2005 19:12 - 806 of 2787

When I spoke to a director Liam Murray of the trading sibsidiary, he said they ascribed nil value to any of their shareholdings and warrants/options in their clients, since they spent 9 months out of 12 in a close period and any trading in them would upset the SP - so they have a sort of library value for when each client goes to the next level of capitalisation via a trade sale or a takeover.

I see none of these in the SP and would not want them to be there.

sd

ptholden - 16 Jun 2005 19:35 - 807 of 2787

sd

D'accord. Must stop agreeing with you, it's becoming a habit.

However, it would be OK to sell Setstone, because DGT are no longer their broker or Advisor.

pth

stockdog - 16 Jun 2005 19:58 - 808 of 2787

Yeah, best to clear the decks and take whatever value they can get now. It's not DGT's business to run an investment company.

I don't mind you agreeing with me - makes a change from eric - lol!

sd

EWRobson - 16 Jun 2005 22:00 - 809 of 2787

pth: Well done for letter being posted. John Marshall's response somewhat as expected and rather defensive. Don't see the low cap as a real problem in trading but the spread is one - can mean a 15% rise before you are into a profit. Are you responding? If not, I am happy to, essentially to draw attention that the financial facts about the share are in the public domain - could help the sp along a bit more.

True to my word and took some profits today: 175K at .55p; mainly because they are in my wife's name and she wanted some spending money. No the 8 250K buys were not me though, before you challenge my virility, still have 2 million which is min holding, as agreed, to prove such!

Eric

ptholden - 16 Jun 2005 22:54 - 810 of 2787

Eric

Still thinking about a response, perhaps you would like to send me an email with your thoughts, I'll add mine to achieve a balance and whiz it straight back.

Can't blame you for taking a few profits, as I recall you were able to take advantage of the 'big dip' whilst I unfortunately was otherwise engaged!!

pth

EWRobson - 16 Jun 2005 23:08 - 811 of 2787

Oh exalted doG (God reversed!), of course I agree with whatever you say. When have you ever been wrong? When have you been anything less than fully right? Always dofferential (as in Snoopy's hat) or doggerential.

A serious question after all that paw-licking: would you be happy for the attention of Shares to be drawn to your financial model? Not that I am trying to induce a more general doG worship (or Dogocracy) but rather just induce a little sp ramping! lol!

cirE

snakey - 17 Jun 2005 00:08 - 812 of 2787

can`t Setstone get Abromovich to do some deal negotiation for them that snow blown country ??? He may even do it for nothing if we all buy season tickets at Stamford Bridge for next season !!

stockdog - 17 Jun 2005 00:26 - 813 of 2787

cirE
I have to say I think you're very perspicacious (and it's not even really hot yet!) in your judgement.

Not sure ramping is best for steady growth of sp - if successful it leads to volatility and then resentment from those who get burnt by buying the wrong side of the dips and troughs and resentment leads to irrational behaviour (including mad posters, I suspect! - ii, anormalmouse, dedfread) and increased volatility. Nice and steady 33.3% per week suits me.

I'm sure Shares analysts have their own model - all you do is read the library on DGT's website, write down the numbers near the end of each placing document and then fill in the gaps with educated guesses on the rest of the transactions for which no document is available. Not sure how DGT would feel about such public gaze.

I do find it strange to make so much money from a (less than fully virile) share in such a tiny, tiny business. But it is THE great example around that you should do your own research and really get to know the company - what better way than to keep a mirror image of their book-keeping on a simple spread sheet and meet the directors at the AGM - all filled in with background info from friendly posters on the propsects for the AIM market and drawing attention to new deals.

So far I've only done a full year model. I want to have a go at the 6 months figures, allowing for phased income of retainers etc. If I get that right then it will more thoroughly prove the model's accuracy for the full year, I think.

Of to sleep on it

goD

ptholden - 17 Jun 2005 08:05 - 814 of 2787

Will be out all day today, hitting the (or trying to) the small white spherical object.

Good start to the day, WINS straight off the offer after the 2 x 250k buys and upped the bid. Another interesting day ahead methinks.

pth

ptholden - 17 Jun 2005 08:08 - 815 of 2787

KBC sold up and on the Bid also, SCAP on the Offer all on their own. The MMs do not have any stock at all at the moment. A very interesting day.

pth

stockdog - 17 Jun 2005 08:29 - 816 of 2787

All three WINS, KBC, SCAP now on both sides at 55/65 after 740,000 buys in 4 trades - as yo say no stock floating free anywhere, they will need to put the price up to attract any more out if they want to do any more business today. HOLD TIGHT - IMHO DYOR

sd

stockdog - 17 Jun 2005 09:06 - 817 of 2787

Here they go up to .6/.7 at 8.40.

1p by Xmas looks a little modest - could get there before end of June,. This is buying interest pre-interims. My guess is there will be a little taking of profits on results being published, so may not hold.

Still looking for 1.53p (raised a tad since spread has closed to only 15%) as a 12 month target which today one could say would be sailed through, but slow and steady is fine for me.

sd

overgrowth - 17 Jun 2005 09:52 - 818 of 2787

Wow - that chart is starting to look very healthy!

sd - 1.53p is a reasonable target for 6 months down the road and more than easily achievable.

Ideally we need the price to stablise at a level below 1p at this stage to avoid any spiking effects, though the MMs seem to be struggling to get stock at the moment - that's why the price is zooming up.

sidtrix - 17 Jun 2005 10:33 - 819 of 2787

Zoom Zoom Zoom...... tell them to hike it to 1p then :) might consider selling my millions then!

sidtrix - 17 Jun 2005 10:34 - 820 of 2787

if they are to encourage selling, why cap the sells at 200k... just did a dummy run!
Sell: .61

overgrowth - 17 Jun 2005 10:49 - 821 of 2787

sidtrix - if you force a cap on sellers, then you get lots more commission as anyone who is really desperate to sell will split large chunks into lots of smaller ones.

sidtrix - 17 Jun 2005 10:55 - 822 of 2787

Cheers OG... neone got L2 know whats happening?
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