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RTD - Why? (RTD)     

Nitefly - 15 Sep 2003 10:55

Why are we again at 10.5p bid?

It doesn't add up...

Good Results + Strong buying pre results + Christmas online buying soon = Price drop

Then again some companies that have debt for equity hanging in the balance, poor results and bankruptcy around the corner and they go up!

Why sell now at a loss?

Wont that be a kick in the teeth when we see 13.5p 14p again!

Best of luck all.

Douggie - 26 Feb 2004 22:39 - 817 of 2406

I'm in sympathy most your points overgrowth was so temted to sell some at 28p..I am sposed to be trader (boost small pension)not investor need cash now but greed for that extra antisipated 2/3p up to news. Scared thet so oft seen rapid fall after very best results! for the mo. at least dont have to agonise over wether to sell some in antisipation of results fall which of course may or may not hapen. next few days will be interesting hopefully happy xfinger D.

overgrowth - 26 Feb 2004 23:38 - 818 of 2406

Douggie,

It all depends on what price you bought in at, if you're 100+% up you always have the option of selling half (to trade on something else) and watching the other half grow (with no outlay) - I may well be tempted to do just that in your situation.

I'm very bullish on RTD and even if there is a temporary drop after results to say 20p-21p I can see this bouncing back very soon to higher highs. I don't need the cash now so I'm prepared to wait for the next couple of years, because it looks as though big things are in store.

All the best in whatever you decide to do.

Here's to a blue day tomorrow.

OG

Douggie - 27 Feb 2004 00:32 - 819 of 2406

thanks og xfinger blue tomorrer

Douggie - 27 Feb 2004 09:18 - 820 of 2406

Looka like bears havit at mo overgrowth 1/2p off with only 30k dif. on 900k shares traded that point

Tokyo - 27 Feb 2004 17:22 - 821 of 2406

alot of late trades buying stock at the end of today, lets hope for a big rise next week, especially after the results

apple - 27 Feb 2004 20:28 - 822 of 2406

I bought again at the end of the day.

I shall be glued to the screen on Monday & Tuesday.

Good luck all!

overgrowth - 27 Feb 2004 22:09 - 823 of 2406

Douggie - pretty much even stevens at the end of the day and volume was up a bit also, nothing to be concerned about.

Tokyo - It looks like the rapid rise to fame is the only thing holding us back now. There could be a small dip after results as the final batch of profit takers step in - though I'd like to be proved wrong.

Apple - It could well be the last time we see the price at these levels, I would be glued to the screen also all day if I could. There are interesting predictions on open/close prices on Mon/Tues on ADVFN all very bullish.

Monday will be very interesting - it will either be pull-push all day and end up at approx. the same level maybe up very slightly, or as many punters are predicting because the weak sellers are just about all out now, the price will be able to climb rapidly upwards, culminating in a Tuesday opening of 28p.

That's what makes this game so interesting - nobody knows exactly what will happen, apart from the fact that long term this company is going places and that is why there is so much interest now.

I keep "seeing" 5.5m for the results - I don't know whether it's wishful thinking or second sight. They do say that the more you research a company, the subconscious mind is able to process these facts and come up with sensible estimates - who knows?. All I can say is that if we are looking at 5.5m then I have a feeling that the buying support could well be tremendous after the announcement (even if the profit takers bring it down short term it will be rapidly moving through the 30p-40p range).

All the best

OG



Tokyo - 28 Feb 2004 14:03 - 824 of 2406

Overgrowth - very interesting as always - thanks alot

I'm with you for the long run on 2/3 of my holdings, I have made enough profit else where to take a gamble on this one, and well I like the odds (in the long term that is)

overgrowth - 29 Feb 2004 02:12 - 825 of 2406

Positive article in the Sunday Telegraph today:

"Buy Retail Decisions

Analysts expect upbeat news from (24.25p), the credit-card fraud prevention company, when it announces full-year results this week.

With the introduction of "chip and pin" technology, criminals are expected to focus on internet and telephone transactions - where Retail Decisions has a strong market position. This should drive up sales of its software products. The company declared a maiden interim profit for the first six months of the year and analysts forecast strong growth. A historic stock overhang, created by a big bond issue which could be converted to shares, had been depressing the price, but has been cleared. Buy."


eacninewhy - 29 Feb 2004 12:13 - 826 of 2406


F.T.com/ consensus recommendation...RTD...BUY...updated 26th Feb 04.

overgrowth - 29 Feb 2004 12:30 - 827 of 2406

Also:

http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/news/business/articles/timid73538?source=

"TAKE takeover stories about Retail Decisions with a big pinch of salt. The international market leader in credit card fraud prevention wants to remain independent. It jumped 2 1/4p further to a high of 22 3/4p on turnover of 15m-plus following a strong buy recommendation from Daniel Stewart. Full-year results in March should show pre-tax profits soaring to 5.4m from 0.8m last time."

Looking very promising for Monday and Tuesday folks - hold on to your hats!

overgrowth - 29 Feb 2004 12:33 - 828 of 2406

Also:

Robbie Burns keeps the interest going in the Sunday Times with:

"My best performer is Retail Decisions, a fraud-prevention firm. Im now in profit by 6,700, having more than trebled my money since July. Its results are due out next week so Im keeping my fingers crossed."

eacninewhy - 29 Feb 2004 13:16 - 829 of 2406


What about the 7.5ml report on radio???? discussed on the other site.

overgrowth - 29 Feb 2004 22:00 - 830 of 2406

I can't seem to find anything in the papers about this - it could have been a mis-heard reference back to analysts expectations of about 3 years ago (the radio report was pretty early in the morning by all accounts).

However, if 7.5m is correct then based on fundamentalist's previous calculations, RTD should be at about 51p - plenty of upside to keep things interesting.

Fundamentalist - 01 Mar 2004 08:15 - 831 of 2406

Buyers are out in force this morning - over 4m buys vs 1.3m sells at 8.13 and looking at the last trades i have a completely blue screen - glad i topped up friday - next few days are going to volatile -good luck all RTD holders

Tokyo - 01 Mar 2004 09:03 - 832 of 2406

and we're off..........7m+ buys and it is only 9am

Fundamentalist - 01 Mar 2004 09:13 - 833 of 2406

Nice to see some MM buys this am - they appear to be trying to gather stock - despite the rush for it this morning. Personally I would expect to see some tree shaking later as they try to get enough stock for tomorrow (my cynicism assumes they know more than we do but on this basis we should be in for a good day tomorrow)

Just been looking back at the interims again and 2 things have come to mind that I think will play a large part in the sentiment tomorrow. Firstly, when looking at the profit figures, they have been writing off quite large chunks of ammortisation. They will do even more of this at year end imho and this may depress the headline profit figure (though obviously not the free cashflow). Secondly, I believe that a lot of this years performance is now priced in and any potential huge jump will come about on the back of CC forward looking statement. In the past some of his statements have been conservative to say the least, lets hope he puts a very positive spin on it tomorrow (preferably with some new contract announcements to back it up)

Still holding for the long term - good luck all

Tokyo - 01 Mar 2004 09:24 - 834 of 2406

if the profits happen to be lower than 5.5 million, what is this gonna do to the stock price? & if these rumours of 7 million profit are true, any speculation to the stock priice tomorrow and with the week to come?

look forward to reading the wealth of knowledge from among the RTD holders

Fundamentalist - 01 Mar 2004 09:41 - 835 of 2406

Tokyo,

a while ago i posted a variety of scenarios that will cover your above question. I am still expecting profits of c.5.5m and would be happily proved wrong (at 7m+). I believe in that post I expected 28p pre results and 35p post results and have seen/heard nothing to alter my view. The only certainty with RTD in the next few days is volatility.

apple - 01 Mar 2004 09:52 - 836 of 2406

Thanks Fundamentalist
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