cynic
- 08 Apr 2007 16:58
- 822 of 3050
very difficult to get work experience anywhere .... IG used to but I believe they have now stopped, but if ex army may prefer a more structured company ..... as usual, it's a cse of using contacts
ptholden
- 08 Apr 2007 17:14
- 823 of 3050
Interesting looking chart from a short perspective, broken strong support at 480, not much at 440, 400 is the level to keep an eye on, falls through there, may well go as low as 240. Quite a good case for a head and shoulders pattern, although slightly skewed. One to keep an eye on.
cynic
- 08 Apr 2007 17:15
- 824 of 3050
nice to see someone else agreeing with my summation of this stock .... gets a bit boring being the only one to be sniped at!
ptholden
- 08 Apr 2007 17:19
- 825 of 3050
I don't short very often Cynic, but from a TA perspective this stock might be a really good opportunity. Certainly think 400p is on the cards, so will cogitate whether to open a position. Can't believe anyone snipes at you anyway ;)
cynic
- 08 Apr 2007 17:23
- 826 of 3050
oh there are a couple who decry my views of common sense and/or possible sp moves .... i don't name names but no doubt said person will have his little prattle here in due course!
though i too think sp could well hit 400, am not strongly enough convinced to go short ... or at least not yet!
cynic
- 09 Apr 2007 07:56
- 827 of 3050
and for those who (totally wrongly) claim i deramp, especially SOLA, i just had a look back at page 1 of this thread which takes us back to August last year ..... "I am persuaded though not without a little trepidation .... done at 153" ...... since when i have traded this stock very profitably and never on a short a tack!
cynic
- 10 Apr 2007 09:32
- 828 of 3050
can't find my original charts, so here's a new one ..... sp has not only fallen sharply through 50 dma but, having tracked 25 dma for a little while, has now fallen sharply downwards from there too ..... even pushing through the bottom of the Bollinger Bands, though those are not something i usually follow .... at least rsi is now heading towards oversold
red = 25 dma
green = 50 dma
goldfinger
- 10 Apr 2007 11:04
- 829 of 3050
I wouldnt sell or buy this stock until results which lets not forget were put back from the 16th of April to the 23rd of April are released.
Cash flow was certainly looking to be a problem at the 3 1/4 tr stage with a net cash outflow on day to day operating activities.
Inventory was also piling up and it will be very interesting to see the number of debtor days.
I dont think its any coincidence that the company have had to return to the market for further funding plus making enquiries with banks over further borrowing.
hlyeo98
- 10 Apr 2007 20:17
- 830 of 3050
So u think SOLA is having funding problems?
cynic
- 10 Apr 2007 20:26
- 831 of 3050
if asking me, i have no idea ... just studying the entrails
goldfinger
- 10 Apr 2007 23:03
- 832 of 3050
H98,
we can only go on what we have to date and although the Bond issue seems to have been a success one wonders if the management are able to control the phenominal rate at which this company is growing?.
I ask you to take a look at the 3rd 1/4tr cash flow report.
I hope there is improvements on results day.
soul traders
- 11 Apr 2007 10:11
- 833 of 3050
GF, I found the points you raised interesting - so much so that I went and dug out my old accounting textbookx to make sure I understood the arguments correctly, whilst also looking at the quarterly results.
My contention is that you have to spend money in order to increase capacity and, while the co indeed saw an increase in stocks, for the first time the amount of cash tied up in stock was less than the quarterly turnover rather than greater.
If SOLA continues to sell everything it produces, and the market remains firm, then it ought still to be a good buy-and-hold.
Personally, I'm still waiting for the next set of results - and the SP's reaction - before committing myself to either a judgment or an investment, but I thought it might be interesting to cast a different light on the points you made.
WDIK, DYOR, etc.
goldfinger
- 11 Apr 2007 10:20
- 834 of 3050
Spot on ST and that what these boards are for two way subjective communication.
I expect the next set of results to determine which way this one goes in the intermediate future although it looks like one or two brave speculators are jumping the gun this morning.
cynic
- 11 Apr 2007 10:25
- 835 of 3050
an interesting sp move ...... keep an eye on the reaction when it hits 25 dma; currently @ about 490 but falling
ptholden
- 11 Apr 2007 10:32
- 836 of 3050
From a TA perspective the SP found support at 445/450, this bounce may well take it up to resistance at 475 where it will also encounter a falling 25MA, incidentally that 475 resistance may prove to be quite robust. I still think there is an arguement for a Head and Shoulders pattern, but it's balanced on a knife edge. If it reaches 475 and comes to a grinding halt, I would condsider a short position with a guaranteed stop.
pth
goldfinger
- 11 Apr 2007 10:32
- 837 of 3050
I think a lot of investors have forgotten about the effects of the impending dilution the Bond issue will create and the P/E ratio wont look too great when this gradually comes into being although if I remember rightly they cant convert until 5 plus per share.
One could argue that this kind of puts an artificial floor on the shares, but once the given price is reached.......
ptholden
- 11 Apr 2007 10:32
- 838 of 3050
Beat me to it Cynic old chap !!
cynic
- 11 Apr 2007 11:12
- 839 of 3050
only interested in beating you at golf ..... get your own priorites right! .... lol
ptholden
- 11 Apr 2007 11:14
- 840 of 3050
The way I played on Monday Cynic, shouldn't be too difficult. Having another outing this afternoon, beautiful day as well :)
cynic
- 11 Apr 2007 11:36
- 841 of 3050
snap! ...... tournament tees West with luck ..... such arrogance for someone off 13 but my friend/opponent is a strong 5 so that's what we always try to play