zarif
- 09 Sep 2003 06:09
how do you see the dow index going today
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stv
- 05 Dec 2003 12:12
- 833 of 2279
Here's hoping to poor or less than expected jobs data and globally down day without exceeding the high in the Dow printed yesterday. Dax needs to fall <3850 and begin the long decline required to the 3800 level to assist, please!.
Harlosh
- 05 Dec 2003 12:41
- 834 of 2279
Hi Zarif,
Good to have you back.
zarif
- 05 Dec 2003 12:54
- 835 of 2279
Stv - I hope it goes down for u and in your favour is that even with good data/news coming out in the past there has been a sell off. I think it will have to retrace then consolidate and then go to higher pastures.The 9850 level is important if breached will go to 9800.Thats my logic anyways.
ps: watch the market when it opens if the shorts are threatened i would suggest a long on the DAX to minimise losses. imho ,nag,dyor.
rgds
zarif
zarif
- 05 Dec 2003 13:06
- 836 of 2279
KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:
8:30 AM ET. November non-farm payrolls (seen +150K; last +126K)
8:30 AM ET. November unemployment rate (seen 6%; last 6%)
9:40 AM ET. November ECRI inflation gauge (last 117.7)
10:00 AM ET. October factory orders (seen +2.2%; last +0.5%)
3:00 PM ET. October consumer credit (seen +$5 Bln; last +$15.1 Bln)
4:30 PM ET. Money Supply
Key Events and Commentary available earlier every morning, via MarketClub (http://www.marketclub.com/)
The STOCK INDEXES & MARKETS
The December NASDAQ 100 was lower in overnight trading due to
profit taking. If December resumes its rebound off November's low, a
test of the contract high crossing at 1458 is still possible later this
month. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to
higher prices are possible near-term. From a broader perspective,
December needs to close above 1458 or below 1357 to clear up near-
term direction in the index. The December NASDAQ 100 was down
9.50 pts. at 1423.50 as of 6:47 AM ET. Overnight action sets the stage
for a steady to lower opening by the NASDAQ composite index later
this morning.
The December S&P 500 index was lower overnight due to light profit
taking as it consolidates above the previous contract high crossing at
1064.40. This week's breakout above 1064.40 has opened the door for a
possible test of monthly resistance marked by the 38% retracement level
of the 2000-02 decline crossing at 1075.58 later this year. Stochastics
and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are
possible near-term. However, closes below the 10-day moving average
crossing at 1058.80 would greatly increase the odds that a short-term top
has been posted. The Sept. S&P 500 Index was down 2.20 pts. at
1067.20 as of 6:50 AM ET. Overnight action sets the stage for a steady
to lower opening when the day session begins later this morning.
zarif
- 05 Dec 2003 13:09
- 837 of 2279
Levels for today.
Hope it helps
zarif
zarif
- 05 Dec 2003 14:01
- 838 of 2279
Stv -The results are not goosd to say the least -C**p in fact and even before the open has plumetted so u could be in luck. Dont open a long on the dax now-just watch.
goodluck
harlosh -howdy my man.Are u going to Cheadle next week -perhaps will meet and i promise to be quiet and let u get a word in edgeways.Just watch the market at open dont make any hasty moves -let the market dictate your actions dont try to predict
Data below provided by courtesy of jeroo:
The Big Dog wimpers!
U.S. Nov. unemployment rate dips to 5.9%
U.S. NOV. MANUFACTURING JOB LOSSES 17,000
U.S. NOV. NONFARM PAYROLLS UP 57,000 V 137,000 EXPECTED
U.S. NOV. UNEMPLOYMENT RATE FALLS TO 5.9% V 6.0%
U.S. NOV. STRIKE-ADJUSTED PAYROLLS 83,000 TO 88,000
U.S. NOV. LONG-TERM UNEMPLOYMENT RISES TO 23.7%
U.S. NOV.AVERAGE WORKWEEK RISES TO 33.9 HOURS
snoball
- 05 Dec 2003 14:44
- 839 of 2279
How about that seminar, zarif?
zarif
- 05 Dec 2003 16:30
- 840 of 2279
Eur/USD Eur just hit a high at 1.2167. My long from yesterday is certainly very healthy. Have moved the stps tight as is still in an uptrend and left it rumnning.(greed really)
The dow is like a headless chicken (sorry about the analogy).I think some more results out at 3pm EST.
The dow is certainly getting its bells jingles -well its xmas time so Jingle balls jingle balls jingle all the way.
rgds
zarif
zarif
- 05 Dec 2003 18:10
- 841 of 2279
anybody for 10k today? Sorry guys just jesting as nothing to do-mind u many a truer word said in jest....
Useless or useful information any body heard of the Ichimoku charting method? guess not -well here goes its as old as the candle sticks if not older and the japs use it a lot and hardly much known inthe west as no books written/translated -but if used in conjunction with candles/western ta would be formidable sysytem -well lets start digging for the holy grail and see if we can adapt it.
Snoball there u go u dont need a seminar ( i am hardly capable nor qualified for the task)just lets see what we can come up with.
rgds
zarif
more results out at 3.00pm est? do you think it will rocket up then tank down.i am going to short if it does.
stv
- 05 Dec 2003 18:31
- 842 of 2279
Thanks Zarif, exactly what the Doctor ordered. I have foolishly not reversed a long for 1 week now and have sufferred from missed opportunities just surviving. Failed to exit before close thinking it might fall <1060. Shit :( Monday -ve?
zarif
- 05 Dec 2003 19:07
- 843 of 2279
stv - these are scars which we have to bear and the experience hopefully will not let us do it again (says who -we do it over and over again0take small profits and they will accumulate then u can speculate -better than wait for the big kill.
I have just opened a long at the suggestion of my daughter who is 12yrs old at 9871 -lets see what happens!!!! certainly not a way i recommend to trade -its only a small one at ?3/pt. The condition is if it is a losing trade then she has to leave me in peace and quiet and do all the teas for me. If it is a win then the money goes for her xmas present. fair deal?
rgds
zarif
snoball
- 05 Dec 2003 20:29
- 844 of 2279
zarif, I think you may have found the Holy Grail.
stv- been there, done that (though not for a week). Having a system is the easy part. Trading it is the hardest.
snoball
- 05 Dec 2003 21:02
- 845 of 2279
nite y'all.
noor4263
- 06 Dec 2003 22:40
- 846 of 2279
Any more DOW News ?
snoball
- 07 Dec 2003 00:16
- 847 of 2279
Not much at 10:40 on a Saturday night, noor4263.
There will probably be more on Monday morning.
zarif
- 08 Dec 2003 11:57
- 848 of 2279
Guys what has happened to our charts etc header -i cant get them at all!!!!help!!!!!
stv
- 08 Dec 2003 12:05
- 849 of 2279
It must be something with your connection as they are viewable. What's your predictions for ranges for this week and especially today? Will Monday be +ve (late morning onwards) or -ve close? Any other chartist views appreciated.
zarif
- 08 Dec 2003 12:09
- 850 of 2279
stv: I think it is going to take a trip south and would not surprise me at all if we touch 9750 areas possibly 9680.
But dont pre-empt your move let the market dictate your actions after open as it can very easily go pear shape and boost upwards.
rgds
zarif
stv
- 08 Dec 2003 12:10
- 851 of 2279
Unfortunately I already exited my position at a price much worse than the low to bank something, which is something I have been failing to do, but very much so regretting now. UK is holding up well for some unknown reason as are /.
zarif
- 08 Dec 2003 16:45
- 852 of 2279
Market Technicals
DAX - The DAX did retest the 3780 support, and if that gives way, then the low at 3692 is at risk. That may be the least potential to the downside, as the real target could be to as low as 3570.
FTSE-100 - also put sthe support at 4330 at risk later today, and before long, a downmvoe to 4270 might be initiated. But the bigger risk is further downmove to 4080 - 4050.
Nasdaq-100 - also projects a rough +ascending wedge+ outline, which is terminated a a break of the 1380 level -- which we may see again later in the week. A close below 1380 confirms the termnination, and should yield further down moves to at least 1300. We may even see the 1210 area again.
SPX - The SPX has been unable to penetrate the 1070 resistance, then fell lower on Friday -- which forms a very distinctive Head and Shoulders pattern in the intra-day charts. The support at 1065 will therefore likely fail and a fall to the 1050 - 1048 area follows. The +ascending wedge+ that has been in effect on the price chart in the past four months may have come to a head on Friday. A close below 1045 any day this week suggests that the wedge pattern is over, and the next main direction will be a return towards the base of the wedge which is at 960.
Dow - The blue chips average has been unable to break through 10,000 all of last week , and we may therefore see further declines to 9700 as a concsequence. The rough +ascending wedge+ pattern in the price chart is also terminated by any close below 9700 any day this week. That suggests further declones to 9450 at least, perhaps even make a return to the origin of the wedge which is at 8900.