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Dowgate Capital - Capitalising on the booming AIM market (DGT)     

overgrowth - 09 Feb 2005 20:52

Dowgate Capital (DGT) are sitting in the middle of a goldmine!

This company through their sole trading arm City Financial Associates are looking to take full advantage of the "booming" AIM market this year. Dowgate provide NOMAD (NOMinated ADvisor) services to AIM companies and also have full Corporate Broker status which means that they can fund placements on behalf of the companies they represent.

On first sight, the fact that Dowgate exist in the often veiled financial services sector makes you think twice about investing in company such as this because it would be impossible to understand what they were doing - however, think again!

DGT bring new companies to the AIM (Alternative Investment Market). For each new company "floated" on AIM, they take arrangement fees when acting as NOMAD. After the company is launched then for a nice steady earner DGT get another healthy chunk of cash every year for looking after them (note that all AIM companies must have a nominated adviser - thereby securing a ready source of recurring income).

Because DGT also act as a Corporate broker they can get a very healthy percentage for arranging placement of shares with insititutions before a new company floats. In addition, because placements come outside the sphere of yearly NOMAD work, they can also gain healthy percentages of placements which companies may need to make throughout the year when they need a quick injection of cash to speed growth.

Current NOMADships: 28 companies represented (gives recurring income of approx 480,000 per year)

Current on-going Brokerage agreements: 19 companies (income depends on placements)

For flotations, depending on the size of a company, fees charged will be anything from 50,000 to 100,000+ For placements (the real earner), DGT get anything from 3% to around 12% of the TOTAL AMOUNT RAISED - For example a new company raising 3M though a placement will earn DGT anything from 90,000 to 360,000 ! These figures are indicative as actual deals all differ due to circumstances and DGT sometimes take payment in shares - they still have a tasty chunk of Setstone shares and when this Russian exploration company comes back to AIM, predictions are that the share price will rocket. Note that the amount that this little company can earn in fees is huge and every new deal that comes through we know will contribute another healthy chunk into the bottom line. The good news with every new floatation means that it's another chunk of recurring revenue which could go on for years, with DGT having to do very little. New clients gained in 2005 are:

Mediazest (NOMAD & broker) Elite Strategies (NOMAD) Process Handling (NOMAD) Poland Investment Fund (NOMAD) Nanotech Energy (NOMAD & broker) Archimedia Ventures (NOMAD & broker) Red Leopard Holdings (NOMAD) Alba Mineral Resources (NOMAD & broker) Intandem Films (NOMAD & broker) Motive Television (NOMAD) IncaGold (NOMAD) Sportswinbet (NOMAD & Broker) Infoscreen Networks (NOMAD & Broker) Mark Kingsley (NOMAD & Broker) Croatia Ventures (NOMAD & Broker) Pantheon Leisure (NOMAD) Firenze Ventures (Ofex Advisor) FlightStore Group (NOMAD & Broker) Euro Capital Projects (NOMAD) Pearl Street Holdings (NOMAD) Worldwide Natural Resources (Ofex Advisor) Dovedale Ventures (Ofex Advisor) Other 2005 work completed:Neptune-Calculus VCT offer for subs of up to 12 million Advisory work for TGM on London Bus disposal for 20.4M Advisory work for Creightons on property disposal Advisory work for Hampton Trust on company restructuring Advisory work for Interbulk Investments on acquisition of Inbulk Advisory work for Fundamental-e Investments on two disposals Advisory work for Designer Vision re: Design Rights against Centurion Electronics

Click Here for fundamentals and profit projections.
Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=DGT&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=DGT&Si

trader4 - 20 Jun 2005 08:51 - 841 of 2787

PCF Last week issues an RNS stating that they had been approached in the early stages of a bid. The current valuation is way to low and is about to rocket with the full bid any day. The company is moving back into profit and several broker/tipster recommended it as a buy prior to the bid news

On top of this there is a rumour of a second bidder in the wings going about

This will reach new highs this week, now is the time to get in before it heads toward 100p, current sp is 32p

IMHO

overgrowth - 20 Jun 2005 08:54 - 842 of 2787

PCF is being ramped to high heaven all over the place - one to stay well clear of methinks.

No ramping needed for DGT though as we all know that some tasty profits are on the way...

ptholden - 20 Jun 2005 09:27 - 843 of 2787

Quite a few nibbling away again this morning.

pth

stockdog - 20 Jun 2005 09:48 - 844 of 2787

The SP going up to 65/72 has brought out a couple of sellers, but nothing serious. The only way is up to 1p - possibly by the time the results are announced, but I suspect we won't quite make it this time round.

sd

corehard - 20 Jun 2005 10:57 - 845 of 2787

52.2% raise in four trading days (0.450 - 0.685) = not too shabby !

ptholden - 20 Jun 2005 11:02 - 846 of 2787

sd

For once I disagree with you. Having watched this share over two years, the run up to the interims and publication will have a considerable effet on the SP. AIMHO of course, but it is certainly a fun time to own DGT shares.

There will be quite a few holders who bought between 0.30 and 0.50p who will be starting to take or thinking about taking profits now, so sellers always to be expected. it's what makes the market afterall.

pth

stockdog - 20 Jun 2005 12:38 - 847 of 2787

pth - once it has run up to 1p+, this year's results to December 2005 will be almost fully in the price and it will be time to start considering how substantially they can increase profits for 2006 to make it run much higher.

So, being a very foolish dog . . .

Retainers as per client list projected to end 2005 803,000
New client income same as 2005 1,875,500
Interest (assume no capital expenditure) 80,000
Total revenues 2,758,500

Operating costs, say, 1,500,000 (allows approx two additional members of staff)

Operating profit before tax 1,258,500 - 41% growth on 2005
Still no tax to pay on account of 2,555,000 losses b/f at 31/12/04

So PE 2006 = 3.30. If this should be nearer 12, gives 24 month projected SP of 2.44 mid price
PEG 2006 = 3.30/41 = 0.08
On this basis one might expext PE to deserve nearer 15, giving mid SP 3.05 in 24 months time.

So definitely a hold for a couple of years, subject to actual results every 6 months, of course.

IMHO DYOR

sd

ptholden - 20 Jun 2005 13:19 - 848 of 2787

sd

On pure fundamentals you have my full agreement, but DGT do become a popular share in the run up to results and if they are good (and we know they should be) there will be a further rise in line with the perception that this must be a good share to be in. Hence my rationale for believing that the 1.0p barrier will be breached. by how much, remains to be seen.

pth

stockdog - 20 Jun 2005 14:16 - 849 of 2787

pth - at least your disagreeing with me in a positive direction!

My analysis is always based upon conservative view of reality - not daring to quite believe the best bet view. I would not be surprised to see 1p breached sooner than I have predicted. Equally not sure that, if this happens, it means the 2 year prediction will be any higher.

Happy to compete (in friendly fashion, of course) with you on how high it will go

sd

ptholden - 20 Jun 2005 14:18 - 850 of 2787

sd

My 'fundamental' head says 1.0p. My 'let's get carried away ahead on past performance' head says between 1.35-1.50p.

pth

stockdog - 20 Jun 2005 14:28 - 851 of 2787

Ah - there's the difference between us - my let's get carried away head says "let's not get carried away"!

Confucius, he say, "Man whose head gets carried away, gets head carried away sooner than he expects."

sd

EWRobson - 20 Jun 2005 17:31 - 852 of 2787

Nice one, sd. What does Dogfucius say about dog's heads? The other aspect is what DGT will do with the generated cash. First, there is rpesumably plenty of expansion of the NOMAD role and I would expect a couple of analysts to be taken on board, perhaps with knowledge in specific sectors. This should then turn up the growth rate. Second, there will be the stated aim of diversification. How do you see this going? Can't recall whether there was any indication in the justification for name change.

Its good to be fellow investors in DGT, ain't it? ('fellow' includes gals!)

Eric

stockdog - 20 Jun 2005 17:47 - 853 of 2787

Dogfucius, he say, "Dog who hangs head has hangdog expression."

Liam Murray director of the trading subsid suggested at AGM in conversation that upping the broking side was on the cards - currently only one (very young!) 62 year old broker on the team - quite possibly by "acquiring" a ready built team. That's where I would put my money, having allowed in my 2006 estimates already for 2 extra NOMAD staff.

Agree with the sentiment, but isn't the feminine of fello "fella"?

Canis pedantis

overgrowth - 21 Jun 2005 09:42 - 854 of 2787

"Canis pedantis" ? This thread is starting to read like a script from Inspector Morse lol!

Some good buying support this morning, which appears to be leaving the MMs short of shares again according to the on line limits.

It looks as though we'll see another tick up soon.

Ted1 - 21 Jun 2005 10:52 - 855 of 2787

What's it going to take to get this moving this morning?
OG stay over here rather than the other thread especially with that idiot returning!
We should be due some more work surely.
Come on TR show us what your made of.

overgrowth - 21 Jun 2005 11:03 - 856 of 2787

Ted - it looks as though there might be a large delayed sell which is holding back any rise so far today, because buying support has been very strong this morning.

The other thread is always good for amusement value.

I was only thinking yesterday, that it must be about time for us to see some more work coming through based on TR's performance so far.

This week or next, I reckon we should see a new float (or two).

Ted1 - 21 Jun 2005 13:19 - 857 of 2787

No large sells. Buying pressure continues.
About time. If it carries on like this I might just be back in profit. Ha Ha!

southwold - 21 Jun 2005 13:25 - 858 of 2787


Excellent RNS just announced by DRT
Hold tight!!!

overgrowth - 21 Jun 2005 13:25 - 859 of 2787

Ted - TR has just released an upbeat trading statement:

Loads of buys coming in now...

"Company Dowgate Capital PLC
TIDM DGT
Headline Trading Statement
Released 13:17 21-Jun-05
Number 8459N

Dowgate Capital plc

Trading Statement

The Board of Dowgate Capital plc (Dowgate or the Company) notes the recent rise in the Companys share price.

In earlier statements, the Board noted its cautious optimism that good progress was being made in the current financial year by City Financial Associates Limited (CFA) the Companys wholly owned subsidiary. Since our preliminary statement issued on 19 April progress has continued as CFA has benefited from a buoyant AIM market. This, combined with a renewed focus and dedication to client service, has led to a better than anticipated flow of business and a higher than expected ratio of completed transactions, all of which are detailed on the Companys website, www.cityfin.co.uk. CFA has also managed to retain tight control on its fixed costs following their reduction referred to in our full year statement.

The team at CFA, led by Tony Rawlinson, is fully committed to reverse the previous losses of the Company. The Board is optimistic that a satisfactory outturn will be announced for the 6 months ending 30 June 2005 once the results for this period have been finalised, expected to be in the second half of August. "

Ted1 - 21 Jun 2005 13:32 - 860 of 2787

Oh boy, not showing up yet.
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