overgrowth
- 09 Feb 2005 20:52
Dowgate Capital (DGT) are sitting
in the middle of a goldmine!
This company through
their sole trading arm City Financial Associates are looking to take full
advantage of the "booming" AIM market this year.
Dowgate provide NOMAD (NOMinated ADvisor) services to AIM companies
and also have full Corporate Broker status which means that they can fund
placements on behalf of the companies they represent.
|
|
On first sight, the
fact that Dowgate exist in the often veiled financial services sector
makes you think twice about investing in company such as this because
it would be impossible to understand what they were doing - however, think
again!
DGT bring new companies
to the AIM (Alternative Investment Market). For each new company "floated"
on AIM, they take arrangement fees when acting as NOMAD. After the company
is launched then for a nice steady earner DGT get another healthy chunk
of cash every year for looking after them (note that all AIM companies
must have a nominated adviser - thereby securing a ready source of recurring
income).
Because DGT also act
as a Corporate broker they can get a very healthy percentage for arranging
placement of shares with insititutions before a new company floats. In
addition, because placements come outside the sphere of yearly NOMAD work,
they can also gain healthy percentages of placements which companies may
need to make throughout the year when they need a quick injection of cash
to speed growth.
Current NOMADships:
28 companies represented (gives recurring income of approx 480,000
per year)
Current on-going Brokerage
agreements: 19 companies (income depends on placements)
For flotations, depending
on the size of a company, fees charged will be anything from 50,000
to 100,000+
For placements (the real earner), DGT get anything from 3% to around 12%
of the TOTAL AMOUNT RAISED - For example a new company raising 3M
though a placement will earn DGT anything from 90,000 to 360,000
!
These figures are indicative as actual deals all differ due to circumstances
and DGT sometimes take payment in shares - they still have a tasty chunk
of Setstone shares and when this Russian exploration company comes back
to AIM, predictions are that the share price will rocket.
Note that the amount that this little company can earn in fees is huge
and every new deal that comes through we know will contribute another
healthy chunk into the bottom line. The good news with every new floatation
means that it's another chunk of recurring revenue which could go on for
years, with DGT having to do very little.
New clients gained in 2005 are:
Mediazest
(NOMAD & broker) Elite Strategies (NOMAD) Process Handling (NOMAD) Poland Investment Fund (NOMAD) Nanotech Energy (NOMAD & broker) Archimedia Ventures (NOMAD & broker) Red Leopard Holdings (NOMAD) Alba Mineral Resources (NOMAD & broker) Intandem Films (NOMAD & broker) Motive Television (NOMAD) IncaGold (NOMAD) Sportswinbet (NOMAD & Broker) Infoscreen Networks (NOMAD & Broker) Mark Kingsley (NOMAD & Broker) Croatia Ventures (NOMAD & Broker) Pantheon Leisure (NOMAD) Firenze Ventures (Ofex Advisor) FlightStore Group (NOMAD & Broker) Euro Capital Projects (NOMAD) Pearl Street Holdings (NOMAD) Worldwide Natural Resources (Ofex Advisor) Dovedale Ventures (Ofex Advisor) Other 2005 work completed:Neptune-Calculus VCT offer for subs of up to 12 million
Advisory work for TGM on London Bus disposal for 20.4M
Advisory work for Creightons on property disposal
Advisory work for Hampton Trust on company restructuring
Advisory work for Interbulk Investments on acquisition of
Inbulk Advisory work for Fundamental-e
Investments on two disposals Advisory work for Designer
Vision re: Design Rights against Centurion Electronics
Click Here for fundamentals and profit projections.
|

ptholden
- 20 Jun 2005 09:27
- 843 of 2787
Quite a few nibbling away again this morning.
pth
stockdog
- 20 Jun 2005 09:48
- 844 of 2787
The SP going up to 65/72 has brought out a couple of sellers, but nothing serious. The only way is up to 1p - possibly by the time the results are announced, but I suspect we won't quite make it this time round.
sd
corehard
- 20 Jun 2005 10:57
- 845 of 2787
52.2% raise in four trading days (0.450 - 0.685) = not too shabby !
ptholden
- 20 Jun 2005 11:02
- 846 of 2787
sd
For once I disagree with you. Having watched this share over two years, the run up to the interims and publication will have a considerable effet on the SP. AIMHO of course, but it is certainly a fun time to own DGT shares.
There will be quite a few holders who bought between 0.30 and 0.50p who will be starting to take or thinking about taking profits now, so sellers always to be expected. it's what makes the market afterall.
pth
stockdog
- 20 Jun 2005 12:38
- 847 of 2787
pth - once it has run up to 1p+, this year's results to December 2005 will be almost fully in the price and it will be time to start considering how substantially they can increase profits for 2006 to make it run much higher.
So, being a very foolish dog . . .
Retainers as per client list projected to end 2005 803,000
New client income same as 2005 1,875,500
Interest (assume no capital expenditure) 80,000
Total revenues 2,758,500
Operating costs, say, 1,500,000 (allows approx two additional members of staff)
Operating profit before tax 1,258,500 - 41% growth on 2005
Still no tax to pay on account of 2,555,000 losses b/f at 31/12/04
So PE 2006 = 3.30. If this should be nearer 12, gives 24 month projected SP of 2.44 mid price
PEG 2006 = 3.30/41 = 0.08
On this basis one might expext PE to deserve nearer 15, giving mid SP 3.05 in 24 months time.
So definitely a hold for a couple of years, subject to actual results every 6 months, of course.
IMHO DYOR
sd
ptholden
- 20 Jun 2005 13:19
- 848 of 2787
sd
On pure fundamentals you have my full agreement, but DGT do become a popular share in the run up to results and if they are good (and we know they should be) there will be a further rise in line with the perception that this must be a good share to be in. Hence my rationale for believing that the 1.0p barrier will be breached. by how much, remains to be seen.
pth
stockdog
- 20 Jun 2005 14:16
- 849 of 2787
pth - at least your disagreeing with me in a positive direction!
My analysis is always based upon conservative view of reality - not daring to quite believe the best bet view. I would not be surprised to see 1p breached sooner than I have predicted. Equally not sure that, if this happens, it means the 2 year prediction will be any higher.
Happy to compete (in friendly fashion, of course) with you on how high it will go
sd
ptholden
- 20 Jun 2005 14:18
- 850 of 2787
sd
My 'fundamental' head says 1.0p. My 'let's get carried away ahead on past performance' head says between 1.35-1.50p.
pth
stockdog
- 20 Jun 2005 14:28
- 851 of 2787
Ah - there's the difference between us - my let's get carried away head says "let's not get carried away"!
Confucius, he say, "Man whose head gets carried away, gets head carried away sooner than he expects."
sd
EWRobson
- 20 Jun 2005 17:31
- 852 of 2787
Nice one, sd. What does Dogfucius say about dog's heads? The other aspect is what DGT will do with the generated cash. First, there is rpesumably plenty of expansion of the NOMAD role and I would expect a couple of analysts to be taken on board, perhaps with knowledge in specific sectors. This should then turn up the growth rate. Second, there will be the stated aim of diversification. How do you see this going? Can't recall whether there was any indication in the justification for name change.
Its good to be fellow investors in DGT, ain't it? ('fellow' includes gals!)
Eric
stockdog
- 20 Jun 2005 17:47
- 853 of 2787
Dogfucius, he say, "Dog who hangs head has hangdog expression."
Liam Murray director of the trading subsid suggested at AGM in conversation that upping the broking side was on the cards - currently only one (very young!) 62 year old broker on the team - quite possibly by "acquiring" a ready built team. That's where I would put my money, having allowed in my 2006 estimates already for 2 extra NOMAD staff.
Agree with the sentiment, but isn't the feminine of fello "fella"?
Canis pedantis
Ted1
- 21 Jun 2005 10:52
- 855 of 2787
What's it going to take to get this moving this morning?
OG stay over here rather than the other thread especially with that idiot returning!
We should be due some more work surely.
Come on TR show us what your made of.
Ted1
- 21 Jun 2005 13:19
- 857 of 2787
No large sells. Buying pressure continues.
About time. If it carries on like this I might just be back in profit. Ha Ha!
southwold
- 21 Jun 2005 13:25
- 858 of 2787
Excellent RNS just announced by DRT
Hold tight!!!
Ted1
- 21 Jun 2005 13:32
- 860 of 2787
Oh boy, not showing up yet.
sidtrix
- 21 Jun 2005 13:42
- 861 of 2787
sell .68 buy .71
Would have expected a bigger jump than that... well am sure we will be in late 70's or early 80's within an hour or two