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Chaco Resources(CHP)- new oil play (CHP)     

grevis2 - 21 Oct 2004 12:55


LONDON (AFX) - Chaco Resources PLC said it is proposing the reverse takeover
of two Paraguayan companies -- Amerisur SA and Bohemia SA -- from Candey SA and
Daniel Sztern in exchange for 27,322,404 new ordinary shares in the company.
It also plans to raise up to 750,000 stg before expenses in a placing of
36,585,365 new ordinary shares.
The company's shares were suspended on Sept 3 and it said it expects this to
be lifted today. It has called an EGM for Nov 15 to approve the acquisition and
placing plans.
Amerisur holds two oil and gas prospecting permits in Paraguay and is the
registered applicant for exploration and exploitation concession contracts over
the same permit areas. Bohemia holds registered applications for an oil and gas
prospecting permit in Paraguay and for an exploration and exploitation
concession contract over the same area.
The exploration areas covered by these three applications comprise a total of
approximately 48,000 square kilometres of the Curypayty and Parana Basins.
Chaco said these basins extend respectively into Bolivia and Brazil, where
commercial oil and gas production has been established for many years from
similar geological sections.


bodeng - 07 Nov 2005 11:05 - 846 of 2227

Fairly quiet at the moment ahead of news!

bhunt1910 - 07 Nov 2005 12:17 - 847 of 2227

oo - a bit of upward movement

Sharesure - 07 Nov 2005 12:28 - 848 of 2227

But not enough. This stock should be in double figures (12-14p) even on what has been confirmed so far.

stockdog - 07 Nov 2005 12:28 - 849 of 2227

schiff
Wrong way round, I think. 3500 Chaco (280), 494 Medoro (18) - just from reading Master RSI. Worth re-reading slowly. Chaco should do your grand-daughter OK, if my hopes are realised.
G'luck
sd

aldwickk - 07 Nov 2005 14:59 - 850 of 2227

Have a look at EEL.

M_P_H - 07 Nov 2005 15:30 - 851 of 2227

Agreed Sharesure, we should be at that level even without a speculative premium on the other deals.

WINS, WDBM, KBC, SCAP high bid.

MLSB and EVO sellers @ 8

stewart3250 - 07 Nov 2005 15:35 - 852 of 2227

Any thoughts on what is holding it back, agreed M P H should be in double figures, my calculations on ALEA alone put it @ 12p, Paraguay as before 4p and that's without any speculation on the outcome of the two applications.

Very frustrating and no logic at times in the market

lynnzal - 07 Nov 2005 16:00 - 853 of 2227

CHP looks like it may have finished the correction of last Tuesday's 8.8p high. I managed to get in at 7.6p this morning and will stay long while above 6.9p.

stewart3250 - 07 Nov 2005 16:07 - 854 of 2227

lynnzal

Be interested to hear your logic on why 8.8p was overpriced, everyone is entitled to their opinion but have you read the recent RNS's and postings. The company is very undervalued, it actually has proven oil reserves and in addition applications due in Colombia and Paraguay.

stockdog - 07 Nov 2005 22:15 - 855 of 2227

I assume lynnzal used the word "correction" in a technical sense - a retracement, not a putting right of something that was wrong.

What's the hurry - since you all profess to be long-term holders. What else were you going to do with your money even if the price was 12p - sell? That's short-term in my book - which is what I'm in for.

lynnzal - 08 Nov 2005 08:08 - 856 of 2227

Hi Stewart, I have not stated that 8.8p was overpriced, the market did that when it sold off down to 7.55p last Friday. However, I would suggest that the 32% gains over 3 days may have prompted a few of the short term players to take profit. I'd be interested to see the maths behind the 'undervalued' in terms of recoverable oil etc.

Stockdog, a correction/retracement can be "putting right of something that was wrong". Perhaps the market rallied too high too quickly? 30% over three days or 43% higher over 8 days....Rarely do these markets run in a straight line.
However you may want to look at it, the inference is that it is a 'blip' in the underlying trend (higher).

At the moment I am a short-term holder of this stock and wish I had bought in at lower levels, as I too may have taken profits (and maybe bought back in again).

Regards, Lynnzal

pisces - 08 Nov 2005 08:41 - 857 of 2227

stewart3250,i hold lots of chaco shares too, but until the oil is out of the ground and in the barrels and being transported out of a particular location i don`t think the price will rocket. Like stanelco a lot of patience will be required,but once the oil starts flowing then so will the shareprice.

Sharesure - 08 Nov 2005 08:53 - 858 of 2227

Pisces, Stewart is right in his calculation of the value of the oil in the ground; when it is at the wellhead it becomes worth much more ($35/barrel cf $5/barrel) I think that the lag in the price at the moment has more to do with the need for the mgt to re-establish a reputation for delivering the goods after the GMS history (not actually their fault, more the fault of Italian bureaucracy and the rest!).
I would bet on an announcement this week on the other two Colombian wells and possibly the 3rd Paraguyan prospect provided the Colombian Authorities don't hold up the decision process.

bhunt1910 - 08 Nov 2005 08:54 - 859 of 2227

Could be a while then Pisces - is that what you are saying ??

Not sure I have that patience
Baza

stewart3250 - 08 Nov 2005 08:57 - 860 of 2227

Hi Lynnzal,

If you look back on this board you will see the maths regarding a fair valuation regarding the ALEA field, look at posts 615 and onward, you will see quite a few estimates, really depends on the $ valuation in the ground that has been used.

Lets assume $10 x 38.1M Barrels = 381M *25% Chaco share = 95M / 474M shares / 1.75 /$ = 11.4p

ddoc2 - 08 Nov 2005 08:59 - 861 of 2227

pisces, shareshure
with all due respect, how then do you explain EEN' s sp, which hasn't rocketed and they're now producing 4000+ bpd, from the same country.though 1 do not know what the reserves total

Greyhound - 08 Nov 2005 09:06 - 862 of 2227

As a holder of both stocks, I'm expecting a rerating for both EEN and CHP and would not be surprised to see EEN at 6 in a couple of years.

bodeng - 08 Nov 2005 09:11 - 863 of 2227

Stewart
Are you adding in anything for Paraguay?

stewart3250 - 08 Nov 2005 09:25 - 864 of 2227

bodeng, I just simply valued ALEA, nothing for Paraguay, would estimate currently 4p , nothing either in respect of the two applications in Colombia.

I have said many times why does the share price not relect the valuation, I can only assume it takes time for the market to fully include the valuation, rather puizzling though. If Chaco were actually selling and producing oil it may be different, but I take
ddoc2 point on board regarding EEN, interested in others views.

Sharesure - 08 Nov 2005 09:26 - 865 of 2227

ddoc2, I haven't followed EEN so cannot really comment. Oil in the ground has a value; I used $5/barrel to apply a heavy discount; others would probably be correct in thinking that it should be double that figure. At the wellhead (another 4-5 months?) it will be worth at least $35/barrel, or more at current oil prices. The enormous potential of Paraguay as an oil producing country is in my calculations at next to nothing which is arguably too pessimistic.
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