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Retail Decisions - The only decision you need to make is when to buy! (RTD)     

overgrowth - 13 May 2005 16:36

Retail Decisions are market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally, though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers both in the UK and US. They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this "forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout 2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of millions of shares in RTD !

Shares Magazine had a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution". It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.

Here's what Shares had to say: "Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions. Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime. Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already has fantastic experience and technology. The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer, T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner of Macy's and Bloomingdales. Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."

Retail Decisions have continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz. fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through. In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company is doing. The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=RTD&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=RTD&Si

Fundamentalist - 04 Jul 2006 11:20 - 848 of 1009

Nice to see everyone is finding out at the same time - SP up 15%+ over 2 days before the announcement - good to know insider trading is alive and well!!!

Fundamentalist - 04 Jul 2006 11:27 - 849 of 1009

The Company has also received a number of other unsolicited approaches from
third parties


Dont know how anyone else reads the statement but to me fleetcor have upped there bid but there are at least 2 other interested parties.

A very positive RNS - good luck to all holders (especially Douggie and Fred)

Douggie - 04 Jul 2006 12:42 - 850 of 1009

Bless you Fundy ...................:o)

Fred1new - 04 Jul 2006 13:06 - 851 of 1009

Douggie, Bring a smile to Fundy's face. Ask him at what price he got out last time.

And then put it into DANA

Fundamentalist - 04 Jul 2006 13:25 - 852 of 1009

I also picked a few of these up yesterday afternoon :-)

Fundamentalist - 04 Jul 2006 13:27 - 853 of 1009

small rumour DNX looking at VPC again so have picked up a few VPC just in case. Personally dont think it would be a great deal for DNX so hope it doesnt happen but covered just in case. Second half of the year has a lot of news flow due for DNX

sorry for OT guys but worth keeping an eye on imo

scotinvestor - 04 Jul 2006 14:42 - 854 of 1009

Fundy

I've found out why RTD has been stagnat so long.
I just been away for 1 weeks holiday and share gone from 140p to 174p now.
I aint been away for almost a year...........when RTD has not been doing much

should i have another hol?

Fundamentalist - 04 Jul 2006 15:15 - 855 of 1009

lol scot

long time no speak, hope youre well. and i thought it was douggie we had to send on hols lol

biffa18 - 05 Jul 2006 12:58 - 856 of 1009

down 7 a bit of profit taking i think close my spread bet first thing ,just gone in again , great trading share this at moment

boxerdog - 05 Jul 2006 13:16 - 857 of 1009

Don't understand the selling.Speculation about whether anyone is still interested appears no longer a issue.The only speculation is now how much the proposed second offer was.Whils't 1.73p was not confirmed by RTD.As an oppening offer it IMO.was at least close,so any subsequent offer must be in excess of.The 200p+ now seems realistic.I'm confident enough took a futher 15k CFD'S.Would be a futher 20% return.

biffa18 - 05 Jul 2006 13:23 - 858 of 1009

speculation is great but i think the short term market trend is down so locking in profits is crucial also 180/190 has been rumoured and as we all know theres no insider dealing (share price up 15/20% before latest news ) so any big drop could be a sign of news maybe coming ,but i might be wrong i took profit and back in now but vry tight stop loss .............also into wpp no ramping of course :-)

Fred1new - 05 Jul 2006 14:52 - 859 of 1009

Boxer, what margin are you on with the CFds? Interested, but not considering buying them at the moment.

pachandl - 05 Jul 2006 14:57 - 860 of 1009

General market looking a bit shaky today (perhaps affected by the N Korea missile testing). I can see the sp drifting a bit lower before consolidating. I would assume that 190p is now a minimum target price if any deal is eventually secured, and could easily reach 225p if it became a competitive auction.

boxerdog - 05 Jul 2006 15:04 - 861 of 1009

Fred hello,the margin is 20%.I deal with HL.

Fred1new - 05 Jul 2006 15:35 - 862 of 1009

Thanks. RTD is my second largest holding. I think it is a good bet for more but not sure how much. I will control my desires. Much easier when you old.

boxerdog - 05 Jul 2006 17:14 - 863 of 1009

Hope your not suggesting i'm old fred!.

Fred1new - 05 Jul 2006 18:48 - 864 of 1009

No the reverse.

Fred1new - 07 Jul 2006 08:27 - 865 of 1009

Douggie, Another smile. You maybe able to have 2 holidays this year. It looks like we may see 190p up yet. I would like to see a little surge in buying at to-days price.

Douggie - 07 Jul 2006 08:39 - 866 of 1009

. :o)))))))))))))))))) ......... back to where we left off 18 mths ago ......

new teritory..... may we realise .....£2.50 ......... ;o\

Fred1new - 07 Jul 2006 19:28 - 867 of 1009

*-), 8-)), {-) not a bad week.
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