from w-w-bb:

19.01.2007 - Total Rocketscience

The third and final company making up our Risk / Reward trilogy on shares for 2007 has so many investment negatives that most observers might not even give it more than a cursory glance. Although quoted on the London AIM market, it is based on the other side of the World, has reported revenues and cash flow of diddly squat and, more importantly, operates in an area of expertise so deep in boffinland that you need to be at least a 5 star techie to venture anywhere near it.

What originally persuaded us to give it a second look was the fact that legendary Stockmarket investor, Jim Slater, was pouring money into it via several successive rounds of financing. As we all know, Mr. Slater is a qualified accountant and hugely experienced corporate financier but clearly he is more at home in leafy Surrey than in the technologically rarified atmosphere of Southern California. However, he must have gleaned enough about what the company actually did to get extremely excited about it. In fact, by last Autumn, he had grown to like it so much that, to paraphrase the immortal Victor Kiam, he bought the remaining 51 % of the company that his vehicle, Original Investments, didn't already own.

The company in question was VIALOGY and, ever since it was fully reversed into Original just before Christmas, Slater's loyal band of followers have seen their highly speculative penny punt move on to the calculated risk category and been duly rewarded with a 50% shareprice improvement. We first latched on to this situation last April when we wrote a piece entitled The Cisco Kid ( see news archive ). To recap briefly, the company was set up by some brainboxes who had earlier worked together on supercomputing projects for NASA. Led by Dr. Sandip Gulati, the team appeared to have perfected software to detect and enhance extremely weak signals previously obscured by background noise. This may not seem particularly earthshattering to the layman but, apparently, the applications for this technology are not only revolutionary but almost limitless which suggests that an exponential rise in licensing income could well lie ahead.

Big news clearly travels fast on the Eastern seaboard because global behemoths Cisco and Boeing have already enlisted Vialogy to work on 2 major government inspired projects and these are just the ones that the company have been allowed to talk about publicly. As we reported in April, Cisco has contracted Vialogy to help with its IPICS programme which seeks to make sure that all emergency services and government agencies can communicate with each other quickly via computers and phones. The need to address this obvious requirement was highlighted by 9 / 11 when communications between different departments with different systems proved chaotic.

For its part, Boeing has recently confirmed that Vialogy has delivered a tenfold improvement in the accuracy and efficiency of the types of gyroscopes it uses in spacecraft and missile navigational systems. It is also known that both Cisco and Boeing see a major role for the technology in such areas as border controls and missile defence systems. Elsewhere a much smaller Texan company, Evolution Petroleum, is applying the technology to improving seismic evaluation of oil and gas deposits.

This initial clutch of applications is almost certainly just the tip of a very large iceberg that is going to float into view over the next few years and all that is required is a little patience. At todays price of 5.5p, Vialogy is valued at a mere 22m. To justify this valuation, the company would have to be earning say 2 million pretax. With cash reserves of 3 million and its heavyweight partners funding the projects it is involved in, Vialogy should be able to get through to breakeven without further recourse to shareholders. We would expect this stage to be reached sometime over the next 12 months. Thereafter, profits could / should escalate very dramatically as new applications and licensing income start to snowball.

On a two year view, shareholders could be rewarded extremely handsomely indeed. Vialogy is in so many ways akin to last weeks selection, CORAC. Both are now moving from the development stage to commercialization with the scales tipping away from blue sky risk towards the reality of cash flow. Both have mindblowing upside potential yet both have current shareprice action that makes drying paint look positively orgasmic. Although this presents an opportunity for latecomers, it is a frustrating byproduct of both companies involvement with highly sensitive technology and powerful, publicity shy partners. Moreover, the present lack of any meaningful numbers together with the sheer scale of future potential makes any serious stockbroker research well nigh impossible. All this will resolve itself in due course but, as they say in the Grolsch advert, all good things come to those who wait.

well if they've found more oil and do another revenue share it's good news coming---hopefully the oil companies will be queuing up for their technology!

well, I hear JR Ewing OIl are first in the queue

If QuantumRD can raise the chances of finding oil by a significant amount, then VIY has to be worth a fortune.

We will see.

And another successful outcome.
2517

VIALOGY ACHIEVES ANOTHER OIL WELL SUCCESS

London, April, 23, 2009. Vialogy (LSE: VIY) announces another successful well in the Galba Prospect in South Central Texas. This well success reinforces operational and commercial validation of the company's QuantumRD software-based seismic interpretation service for oil and gas reservoir discovery and characterization. ViaLogy accurately predicted the size, location and formation porosity for this prospect.

The new producing well, called Mary Ridgeway #1, is located on the Galba lease owned by ViaLogy's partner Atascosa Exploration LLC of San Antonio. The Mary Ridgeway#1 well is estimated to hold larger recoverable reserves compared to ViaLogy's previously announced Cindy Bartlett#2 well discovery announced in March 2009. As before, Vialogy predicted the subsurface hydrocarbon reservoir boundaries, the porosity of the oil-bearing Bartosh sands, formation depth, and positioned the well. Prospect estimates were confirmed by the well-logging and independent subsequent core laboratory analysis. The companies will be releasing actual figures over the next few days, including dollar estimates of recoverable reserves. As announced earlier, under its current contract with Atascosa, Vialogy will receive 5% Back-In-After-Payout working interest in the well."

You ain't seen nothing yet!
Just wait till the market hears about the deal with JR Ewing Oil, then we will really get take-off.

(first line, wasn't that a song by some old grunge band or something?)

Is Jim Slater still a big investor in VIY?

It is understood he's a back room boy and still believes this will be a huge company in a few years time. He's gone a bit quiet but is believed to have bought his warrants and still hold a stake but no one knows for sure---I added today on the 2nd piece of good news lets hope there are more deals due soon each success should increase the snowball effect. notlob are you joking about jr ewing oil?? I thought it was only altacosa oil they had agreements with I've only heard of the other on bbc 1!

moneyplus

certainly not joking, although don't have any real details to go on, other than they are based in Dallas.

required field has got the inside track on this one, but is being a bit cagey and talking in riddles, no doubt a bit worried that the fsa might be reading these boards and he has linked news of a big deal going down with JR Ewing Oil.

has VIY made the TV news from what you are saying re BBC1?
I missed that, is it available on i-player or something?
Now we must really are getting some coverage.

no sorry N--I was meaning that old programme Dallas on BBC 1 years ago. However if anyone is member of Michael Walters site there is a new update. He has been a fan for years---the last update said that Jim Slater is still very much on board but has reduced his stake to under 3% to avoid making disclosures etc. He acted as advisor on the warrant sale, probably bought his and says the co. obviously needed to raise money which would have been very difficult nigh on impossible in these times. Supportive warrant holders was a cheap and very clever way to do it and possibly masterminded by JS. This is my interpretation but I'm not a subscriber to the site and it would be good to hear from anyone who is.

Also read today on the other side that someone who rang the mysterious Altacosa found it was answered by someone with a Texan accent who said this is ....of altacosa and what sounded like ewing oil. I don't know if this was a joke mind!!

Lot more to come fron this one yet !, there will be ups and downs with the sp as with many a minnow but the overall trend will be that of a rising star ! ooops now I've said it !.

It starts the morning up well and gets you all excited, then back for a rest. Everything looks very positive.

these darn day traders you can almost set your watch by them!! I agree rq there's lots of promise now with this one---I lost 7k when I ditched them last year but now hope to get it back with only a fraction of the no of shares I held before.
Does anyone subscribe to Michael Walters to give us a hint of what is reported?

article talks about sizeable queue of customers for QuantumRD, poss. explosive growth and other goodies.
sensible long article, worth subscribing if you are interested in VIY.


http://www.michaelwalters.com/index.phtml

Oh, how refreshing it is to look on this thread and not be deluged by petty bickering and abuse that exists on another VIY thread elsewhere.

It is the last 2 lines of their last Rns that could turn this little company into quite something !, if Shell, BP, Chevron and sorts come along and do a deal : it could be worth more than the current sp...10, 20, 30 million dollars or so, perhaps more if each company in turn gets hold of Quantum, I just hope that this is not some sort of fraud, I must say that I don't think so !, they might go for a percentage of each successful well and that could amount to a fortune in time !.

Vialogy's credentials eg customers, and those of its directors and key personnel are impeccable.

eg, customers include Boeing, Cisco,tech verified by Homeland Securiy Office, SPM deployed by LA County, Axia Net media and others.

The two main guys running the show are Bob Dean and Sandeep Gulati

http://www.vialogy.com/company/board.html

The non-execs and chairman also have good cv's.

Dr. Robert W. Dean, President and CEO

Robert Dean was Senior Vice President, Corporate Market Development, with Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC), which is the largest employee-owned research and engineering company in the United States. Previously he has held senior executive positions in the aerospace industry at Boeing, Lockheed martin, and Ball Aerospace Corporation. Bob also served in senior executive positions in the US Government at the Central Intelligence Agency, the State Department, and at the White House as Special Assistant to the President during Ronald Reagan's presidency. He is a graduate of Brandeis University, Harvard University, and received his Ph.D. from the University of Denver.


Dr. Sandeep Gulati, Co-founder,Chief Technical Officer and VP, Product Development

Prior to joining ViaLogy Dr. Gulati headed the Ultracomputing Technologies (UCT) Group at NASAs Jet Propulsion Lab in Pasadena, CA. During his 12 year tenure at JPL, he led computational advances in spacecraft autonomy, autonomous diagnostics and prognostics of complex systems, sensor fusion, neural networks, signal processing, command decision modeling and intelligence analysis. At JPL he was a Principal Scientist on a number of programs of national relevance such as DOD's Joint Strike Fighter (JSF), NASA's Reusable Launch Vehicle (RLV), oil industry's DEEPLOOK Consortium, predictive intelligence capability for Armys All-Source Analysis System, and subsurface imaging for cleanup of formerly used contaminated defense sites. He collaborated on strategic programs with Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Northrop Grumman, McDonnell Douglas, Rockwell, Pratt & Whitney, and NASA Centers (MSFC, GSFC, LeRC, LaRC, ARC, KSFC).

At ViaLogy, he developed a novel signal amplification computational technology, Quantum Resonance Interferometry (QRI) to detect and quantitate weak signals and events in high clutter and background noise. Vialogy is currently deploying QRI for life sciences applications in analysis of microarrays, mass spectrometry, next generation surveillance platforms and missile seekers. Dr. Gulati has over 13 issued patents, over 30 patents pending and over 100 publications in archival journals and conferencing proceedings. He has consulted extensively with the financial services, entertainment, aerospace and networking companies. Dr. Gulati holds an MBA from Pepperdine University, a B. Tech in Computer Science from Indian Institute of Technology, New Delhi, and a PhD in Computer Science from Louisiana State University.



I think you are correct, required field, this technology, which is only one application of VIY's QRI, could be worth many many times the current market cap if they can substantially increase the drilling % success rate.

I think that this looks like an interesting company and this is the second time i have bought into it this month on good news. However I bought in at 5.2 a few days ago and tried to roll on profits only to take a kicking of 7% at close Friday.

Yes, figuratively speaking, I am an incipient dutante to this game, so i would appreciate some advice as to whether i should hold on to this or take the loss on the chin and learn from my mistake for not taking a loss early (or foremost my profits!). My strategy has been to be event driven, short term investor, which I am finding is not without its pitfalls...given i have a third of my allocatable capital tied up here, I am concerned about the time cost in the equation.

I do appreciate any sensible opinions proffered. Thanks,

Apologies, ignore my last comment. Looks like I am going to be a holder of stocks for a week or two, my whole portfolio needs time! (AFR, RWE, UVEL, VIY)

all rumour and gossip at the moment but I'm certainly not taking profits for a long time yet!



all rumour and gossip,

You never said a truer word.

Warning, this share could seriously damage your health and wealth!