Hi all
Welcome home berlingo !
Well after todays trading I'm supprised the close wasn't lower. Some big sells went through. I think this was just jitters about the invetory data. Looks like oil prices are likley to stay high.
Oil futures higher after US inventory data
AFX
LONDON (AFX) - Oil prices briefly hit four-month highs following the release of US government inventory data which revealed that already low distillate stockpiles had taken a battering, dealers said.
At 4.58 pm, Brent crude futures for April delivery were up 24 cents at 50.35 usd/barrel, off a high of 50.80 last reached in November.
Meanwhile, the US benchmark April-dated contracts were up 27 cents at 51.95 usd/barrel, off a high of 52.40 last reached in November.
The Department of Energy reported US distillate inventories for the week ending 25 Feb were down 1.8 mln barrels. Heating oil stocks, which are included in the total distillate figure were down 900,000 barrels to 40.2 mln barrels.
However, crude stockpiles rose 2.4 mln barrels. Gasoline stocks were also higher by 1 mln barrels.
Industry data provided by the American Petroleum Institute was delayed slightly, but dealers said they were not perturbed as most refer to the government data.
The API reported distillate supplies had fallen by 1.4 mln barrels, a similar fall to the DoE.
The API also reported crude supplies had risen, but measured a higher level at 3.3 mln barrels.
However they disagreed with the DoE and reported a fall in gasoline stockpiles of 3.9 mln barrels.
'The fall in distillate supplies were no surprise, as it is still very cold in the US,' said Investec analyst Bruce Evers.
The US National Weather Service said it expects domestic heating oil requirements to be 14 pct higher than the norm this week, with the hike in demand is due to severe winter weather.
Overall the market is still very nervous and volatile, and is coming to terms with prices in a new higher trading range, he said referring to comments by Saudi Arabia's oil minister Ali al-Naimi last week.
'Naimi saying that (US) oil prices in the 40-50 dollars a barrel range is realistic.
'OPEC will struggle to cope with demand in the fourth quarter this year, and the Chinese stockpiling will begin in August, so its hard to see prices coming back down below 40 usd a barrel,' Evers said.
OPEC ministers are due to meet in Iran on 16 March to discuss forward policy.
OPEC, which supplies 40 pct of global crude needs, has also said it is keeping a very close eye on inventory levels.
'If OECD stockpiles go over 52 days of forward supply, and certainly if they reach 56 days then OPEC may go back to examining cutting its output,' all of which adds to a highly volatile market which is still in its bull run, Evers said.
raki.kotak@afxnews.com
rak/jfr
The chart for today, shows todays close just on top of last Thursdays blue candle. There was a gap up in this area between Thursday and Fridays candles. Althogh this was not a big gap it should still count as support (0.5075p). The candle we have shows indecision in the market, as I said before this was probably jitters ahead of the US inventory data. Also I think Greenwich Resources selling its holdings may have spooked the market. Going back to the 21/01/05 Greenwhich Resources announced losses of 224,000 stg agianst 171,000 a year earlier. They may be having cash problems. As I have said the support should be about 0.50p, the main trend is up. Des is still looking good !
Talisman Energy FY production grows strongly, balance sheet strong
AFX
LONDON (AFX) - Talisman Energy Inc said its results for 2004 show continuing strong growth in proved reserves and production, a sixth consecutive year of record cash flow and cash flow per share and a very strong balance sheet.
Cash flow increased 7 pct to 2.9 bln usd.
Net income was down in 2004, reflecting the sale of Talisman's Sudan assets and a number of tax changes in 2003. Total net income in 2004 was 663 mln usd compared with 1.01 bln usd a year earlier.
Production averaged 438,000 boe/d, an increase of 10 pct over 2003, setting a new record for production per share. Talisman grew its natural gas production by 16 pct to 1,259 mmcf/d. Oil and liquids production increased by 5 pct to 228,434 bbls/d.
2005 promises to be better still, said Dr Jim Buckee, president and chief executive officer.
He said world oil demand continues to press upwards against a limited amount of surplus capacity and prices may have to go higher yet to restrain consumption.
newsdesk@afxnews.com
slm/
Good Luck All
Eddie