LEEWINK
- 28 Mar 2004 15:45
NML is due its interrim results now, last year it was the 28th of this month.
They are setting up a new site to explore/research/analyse and all the equipment to do this should be on site now, and drilling should start soon, all this extra news should be covered in the interims.
does anyone have any further positive views on this company ??
ASMITH2
- 16 Jun 2005 12:07
- 883 of 1909
I wonder where Anom and Briefs are today.?
mjr1234
- 16 Jun 2005 12:39
- 884 of 1909
Playing in their sandpits, dreaming up new and exciting ways to deramp NML?
takahe
- 16 Jun 2005 13:01
- 886 of 1909
They already found stones of 19carat and 11carat
stockdog
- 16 Jun 2005 15:05
- 888 of 1909
Dynamite - don't want any of Andy's small ones in the collar thanks. Let's say 20ct minimum - think that's fair, don't you?
sd
stockdog
- 16 Jun 2005 16:31
- 890 of 1909
Well it was worth a try, but your obviously to shrew-d a mouse to be fooled by me.
EWRobson
- 16 Jun 2005 22:17
- 891 of 1909
Nice to have fame at last - what, posted on ADTVN. The interesting thing is that I was merely drawing attention to the geologists report. If this has not been read or not been understood, it points to the interesting conclusion that NML has been underrated. The geologists are clearly respected and tehir report comes over as very professional. The fact is that NML are sitting on a veritable gold mine - oh, sorry, diamond deposits! If there had not been the negative history behind the company, the sp would be related to the npv of the weighted probability of these projections; a figure I suspect is about 50m (after other holdings).
Let me put this another way. A reaasonable assumption, made by anom. amongst others, is that a probability of 40% on $200m is less than 50% and therefore more likely to be zero than one. That is how I would treat a sales forecast, for instance. But, to repeat the key point that needs to be grasped by investors and potential investors, is that the 40% has already been applied to a forecast potential of $500m to arrive at the $200m. The 40% represents technical and commercial risk or, in other words, a 40% recovery and realisation rate. The upside potential of this share is thus far greater than generally recognised. I am with di, I normally am (or wish I was!), in being thoroughly relaxed about holding for the ride: the downside is pretty negligible; the upside is mega (I wonder how it compares with FDI, EPD for instance, which have caps of many multiples in relation to NML).
Eric
takahe
- 16 Jun 2005 23:12
- 892 of 1909
EWR- that's what the optimists among us think, too. The geo report is interesting reading.
For me, the initial downside was the fact that it is Angola...but things seem to be settling down there a bit, although still pretty awful for local people. WDurham posted a very interesting article on life in Angola which paints in the difficulties of being there , let alone living there and trying to get things done. Our red tape is nothing compared to theirs but at least the Government wants things to move on and to get the money from diamond mining..
takahe
- 16 Jun 2005 23:14
- 893 of 1909
stockdog
is this one too sedate for you?
EWRobson
- 16 Jun 2005 23:22
- 894 of 1909
takahe: The geologists are well aware of the political issues, no doubt, and is presumably why they have taken the probibility factor as low as 40% to include the commercial risk. I expect we all take this down-weighted figure and then apply another factor of our own: even if we do we still have a very sizeable figure.
Eric
stockdog
- 17 Jun 2005 00:35
- 895 of 1909
tkahe - that looks just the ticket. Now for one that fits round my neck as well - oh, you cheeky boy!
eric - geologists are respected if independent. Which mining company was it where the SP tanked shortly after the in-house geologist was pushed out of a helicopter - in mid flight!
I take it the balance of informed opinion is to hold NML until better times.
sd
Andy
- 17 Jun 2005 00:36
- 896 of 1909
stockdog,
The answer to your questions was - BRE X
stockdog
- 17 Jun 2005 00:46
- 897 of 1909
so it was, thanks, Andy
mjr1234
- 17 Jun 2005 12:32
- 898 of 1909
Nice 250k broker trade.
GayBriefs
- 17 Jun 2005 12:57
- 899 of 1909
Its down again though isnt it this has to be one of the biggest piles of pink pants ever to be listed on the lse.!Someone told me this floated at 30p...gosh what a pair!!!
mjr1234
- 17 Jun 2005 13:04
- 900 of 1909
LOL! They want you to sell. They haven't got that many shares otherwise, why did someone have to do a B trade to get 250k?
GayBriefs
- 17 Jun 2005 13:18
- 901 of 1909
LOL - Buying at under the mid price and they want you to sell????????
Sorry but dont get that one....