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Retail Decisions - The only decision you need to make is when to buy! (RTD)     

overgrowth - 13 May 2005 16:36

Retail Decisions are market leaders in an industry which continues to grow exponentially. They produce payment fraud systems solutions for major blue chip clients globally, though the bulk of the business is currently coming from the major reatilers both in the UK and US. They are a Techmark 100 company which means that there will always be a level of institutional interest in the company. However, on top of this "forced" interest from the tracker funds there has throughout 2005 been sustained large buying from no other than Goldman Sachs and Barclays. These institutions together now have an investment of tens of millions of shares in RTD !

Shares Magazine had a cover feature back in early April entitled "ATOMIC! - Small is about to get VERY, VERY BIG - 7 stocks for the new technology revolution". It was no surprise to see Retail Decisions as part of the selection.

Here's what Shares had to say: "Retail Decisions is a specialist software developer aimed at preventing credit card fraud. It owns a database of several million dodgy credit and debit card numbers against which it crosschecks transactions, but also has developed clever software which can spot strange patterns in your spending. This system is perfect for stopping phony credit card transactions. Investors could not ask for a better pure play on rising credit card crime. Perhaps the company's biggest challenge is scale but chief exec Carl Clump is attempting to address this with aquisitions, even if opportunities seem to be few and far between. In the meantime, Retail Decisions remains concentrated on developing in the card-not-present arena, where it already has fantastic experience and technology. The drive to win new customers should also be helped by the fact that it already serves so many blue-chip customers including Marks & Spencer, T-Mobile and, most recently, Federated Department Stores, the US owner of Macy's and Bloomingdales. Let's not forget, too, the company's highly profitable fuel-card business in Australia which grew 30% last year, making this year's forecast low single-digit earnings growth look on the conservative side."

Retail Decisions have continued throughout 2005 to rake in very healthy profits from the Oz. fuel card business thanks to the "bonus" of high oil prices and favourable exchange rates. In addition, the extra revenue streams from new major US corporate clients will be starting to filter through. In the US, Retail Decisions appear to be chosen on many occasions over their main rival Cybersource which indicates just how well this company is doing. The demand for card-not-present (i.e. internet/phone shopping) fraud software is going to continue to grow and grow so RTD presents guaranteed success in this arena - backed up with the cash cow fuel card business which is being extended into locations other than Australia and we have a real gem of a company. Longer term target 1+.

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=RTD&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=RTD&Si

boxerdog - 27 Jul 2006 15:54 - 882 of 1009

No problem.Obviously todays announcement was expected and being negociated upon for some time,Now won and in the bag do you think we may now get a update on the fleetcor offer?.210p would do for me although with todays news 225p would do better.

storergroup - 02 Aug 2006 16:32 - 883 of 1009

any ideas for the blue today??

Fundamentalist - 02 Aug 2006 16:51 - 884 of 1009

rumours that takeover is about to be announced (nothing new i know but rumoured to be much closer to a deal now)

storergroup - 02 Aug 2006 17:07 - 885 of 1009

many thanks fundy!!

knute - 02 Aug 2006 17:18 - 886 of 1009

With three (at least) in the running, any early offer announcement will just be an opening gambit imho.
I'm inclined to the view (as pachandl, wasn't it?) that nothing will be finalised until September at the earliest. Plenty of time for it to inch up towards the 250p mark in a competitive situation.

Re. the rise today.
It looks as if the 100k WT order took any slack out of the market around the 180p level and left it looking for stock.

Fred1new - 02 Aug 2006 17:28 - 887 of 1009

I would be annoyed at less than 190p. I expect more than 225p. If it is less I think the bid should be rejected.

It has good fundamentals moving into good returns, Turnover improving, EPS going up, for this company lowish PE therefore reasonable PEG. ROCE good, Cash flow VG.

The figures I looked at were before the Cooks deal and there have been a few deals over the recent year which should improve the figures.

Douggie - 02 Aug 2006 23:27 - 888 of 1009

... :o))

we are getting there ... £2:50 the target .. ;o\

Douggie - 03 Aug 2006 16:55 - 889 of 1009

........ ;o( .... ;o/

storergroup - 04 Aug 2006 14:33 - 890 of 1009

why oh why????? :((((

Douggie - 04 Aug 2006 17:17 - 891 of 1009

Cos this is RTD that's why ........... ;-/

storergroup - 04 Aug 2006 17:25 - 892 of 1009

it still hurts everytime :((

cynic - 04 Aug 2006 17:47 - 893 of 1009

storegroup ... am puzzled by your grizzles ...... takeover approach is clearly serious though of course nothing is a done deal until the papers are signed

storergroup - 07 Aug 2006 09:16 - 894 of 1009

very true indeed, just me getting greedy i guess!! ;)

storergroup - 07 Aug 2006 10:39 - 895 of 1009

Retail Decisions PLC
07 August 2006


7 August 2006

Retail Decisions plc (the 'Company')

Holding in Company


The Company has today been informed that, as at the close of business on 4
August 2006, Man Financial Limited no longer has a notifiable interest in the
Company's Ordinary Shares of 5p each.


Enquiries

Richard Amos - Group Finance Director

Telephone - 01483 728700


This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange

Fred1new - 07 Aug 2006 11:58 - 896 of 1009

I think probably the holding Man had was to cover derivatives which have now been closed out. May be wrong.

Douggie - 08 Aug 2006 19:40 - 897 of 1009

.... ;-\ RTD doing the usual missery trip ...;o/

WHEN IS IT GOING UP ?????????? .... ;-\

Fred1new - 08 Aug 2006 21:01 - 898 of 1009

The misery is spreading, I am getting a little fed up with holding, but the market itself is depressed. Probably go up tomorrow. But I still think RTD a strong hold.

storergroup - 09 Aug 2006 16:58 - 899 of 1009

any thoughts??

Fred1new - 09 Aug 2006 18:21 - 900 of 1009

It would be nice to have an update on the takeover activity. I can understand that there are complexities but think some info would be useful.

Douggie - 09 Aug 2006 19:12 - 901 of 1009

... :o(( ....... ;o/
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