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AFREN (AFR) Is this the next TULLOW??? (AFR)     

niceonecyril - 04 Apr 2009 08:30

< "> Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=AFR&Siedit this post http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc-%28afr%29/rns/trading-statement-and-operations-update/201301210700069619
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/2012-full-year-results/201303250700107200A/

In an attempt to cut down the header page,i've transferred some of the older news to Page1 post No.3.

http://www.oil-price.net/index.php?lang=en
http://www.ft.com/home/uk

http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201111020700081674R
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201111150700250723S
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201112010705051251T
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201201170700146472V
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201201230701479690V
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=4323758
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201204170700164488B
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201205140700212304D
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201205210700407032D
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=4430164
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc-%28afr%29/rns/significant-new-seychelles-3d-seismic-programme/201212120700052973T/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/2013-half-yearly-results/201308230700063334M/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/ogo-drilling-and-resources-update/201311190700083404T/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/trading-statement-and-operations-update/201401280700096280Y/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/interim-management-statement/201405200700135209H/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/afren-plc--afr-/rns/interim-management-statement/201410300700116483V/
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=4942625
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=4943375

required field - 15 Apr 2009 12:57 - 89 of 3666

Sold one quarter of my holding earlier on to bank a profit, wish I hadn't now....could have waited for weeks for this excellent result !.

silvermede - 15 Apr 2009 13:01 - 90 of 3666

Will the fact that the placing was at 32p a share slightly suppress price in the run up to 5 May 09?? Anyone think we may see 32 to 35p again?

cynic - 15 Apr 2009 13:03 - 91 of 3666

placees will undoubtedly be locked in for a good period, but sp may go to sleep for a bit depending on general sentiment.
today, even the blue sky mini minnows are having a good day

niceonecyril - 15 Apr 2009 13:04 - 92 of 3666

Makes you wonder why they didn't release this along with the other news??
Looking for a new entry point? With 32p the placing price then it could retrace some once the initial re-action has settled down??
Not holding my breath though.

gnashlevel2 - 15 Apr 2009 13:05 - 93 of 3666

silver, more than likely when today's fizz subsides, inevitable even, but just a few pennies and the upside after then is huge imo.

gnashlevel2 - 15 Apr 2009 13:18 - 94 of 3666

What I meant was, I think the placee's will keep most of what they got, but an instant return from 32 is too much to ignore given there are a good few weeks inbetween.

cynic - 15 Apr 2009 14:06 - 95 of 3666

my guess is that will have had to undertake not to sell any of their holdings for 6/12 months

gnashlevel2 - 15 Apr 2009 14:08 - 96 of 3666

same as HAWK's had LoL

cynic - 15 Apr 2009 14:17 - 97 of 3666

no idea on that one .... do i take it that they took it and dumped?

gnashlevel2 - 15 Apr 2009 14:35 - 98 of 3666

Not all but some did. Placed well under current sp, kept the sp flat for a long time and made for some very unhappy traders. It may well happen here for a similar time, would you ignore 5p if you had a few tens of millions?

blanche - 15 Apr 2009 14:44 - 99 of 3666

Taken from another bb below is email by Afren to me this morning

Talha

Please find attached, released earlier. Note, we were 100% covered on the intended raise going into market opening, showing a tremendous support by existing shareholders. While I am sure you will get some pushback on dilution, its important to note the following:



* The Ebok Early Production System is fully funded now, unambiguously. Phase II will be funded out of internally generated cash flow. We are targeting full field production of between 35-50kbopd.



* 2011 exit rate takes Afren to the top end of UK quoted universe. A fully financed Ebok is a game changer for Afren, which significantly outweighs the equity dilution.



* Strong support by existing shareholders in the challenging environment is a very big vote of confidence.



With the financing overhang removed, the share has no upper ceiling again.



Very best
Galib

gnashlevel2 - 15 Apr 2009 14:54 - 100 of 3666

Yes blanche, the news is excellent.

What happens over the next few days and weeks, with promise of those millions of discounted shares burning a hole, is what has our attention right now. Don't be too upset if we are red for a few days. It happened to HAWK after a similarly discounted placing but it does pass.

kimoldfield - 15 Apr 2009 14:59 - 101 of 3666

On the other hand, don't be surprised if the sp rises; AFR's potential may well be enough for those discounted shares to remain in the hands of the purchasers!

robertalexander - 15 Apr 2009 15:03 - 102 of 3666

could do with a drop so i can get more shares for my money :)

gnashlevel2 - 15 Apr 2009 15:08 - 103 of 3666

kimoldfield - they still can make serious money and hold those shares if they work the market correctly.

blanche - 15 Apr 2009 15:15 - 104 of 3666

gnashl2, Short term things dont bother me. Iam here for the long term and 65000 boe in 2010. Loads of money!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 8-) Good luck to all

gnashlevel2 - 15 Apr 2009 15:19 - 105 of 3666

blanche, same here in at 35, not sweating, much...

With your healthy attitude, take a look at HAWK.

kimoldfield - 15 Apr 2009 15:20 - 106 of 3666

True gnash, but they could lose out trying to buy back in, if they wanted to: would they risk it? yes if they thought AFR had no potential, in which case why did they buy in the first place and risk a fall in sp below the placement price? I have a gut feeling that they bought with a long term view and not to make a 'small' initial profit. Could be wrong though!


halifax - 15 Apr 2009 15:21 - 107 of 3666

blanche hope you are right but don't forget what happened to Stering Energy with their massive investment in Chingueti discovery offshore Mauretania. Production is never guaranteed until the oil is pumped out of the sea bed.

blanche - 15 Apr 2009 15:25 - 108 of 3666

Halifax. True, Everythings a gamble even life. Good luck to you.
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