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The Forex Thread (FX)     

hilary - 31 Dec 2003 13:00

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Forex rebates on every trade - win or lose!

Tellon - 07 Apr 2004 13:31 - 898 of 11056

No, My stops at 420 & 408

Tellon - 07 Apr 2004 15:44 - 899 of 11056

Stopped out, once again the market has shown me that I know nothing..

MightyMicro - 08 Apr 2004 09:57 - 900 of 11056

MPC today -- going up?

Beeblebrox - 08 Apr 2004 10:15 - 901 of 11056

morning mm;
concensus on blooomberg, on 45 analysts surveyed
18 say up .25
27 say no change.

no one, apart from me, considering .5,
but unlikely.

ftse thinking no change
cable pretty stable.

hilary - 08 Apr 2004 10:25 - 902 of 11056

Tough call. I think that most people are staying sidelined atm. Not just because they're not sure on the rate call itself, but also because it's immediately ahead of a long weekend and a lot of people are already on holiday. The chart isn't giving much away either, imo, except that there's a possibility of more upside but upwards momentum is exhausting. Fundamentally $1.84 is probably fair value, given the news currently in the round.

Tellon - 08 Apr 2004 11:56 - 903 of 11056

On bloomberg now there saying about increasing 50 bases points.. Looks like someone is on your side Beeble..

MightyMicro - 08 Apr 2004 11:57 - 904 of 11056

Tellon: I was trying to read the big bank sell off last night -- looked like a leak to me . . .

Beeblebrox - 08 Apr 2004 12:04 - 905 of 11056

cable now looking overpriced
no pos atm for me though

MightyMicro - 08 Apr 2004 12:16 - 906 of 11056

So it was leaked yesterday hence the bank sell-off.

Tellon - 08 Apr 2004 12:23 - 907 of 11056

IG Index just robbed me, I sold at 18375 with close to be a 18330. Would have made me a nice tidy profit. They opened my order at 18326. Obviuolsy got stopped out in about 2 seconds with a 27pip loss. If I wanted to get orders filled at market price id use futures contracts..

Just thought id share my expiriance

hilary - 08 Apr 2004 12:33 - 908 of 11056

Too many sharks for my liking. Staying out till after the holiday. Direction should be clearer then and you'll be able to get the decent moves on volume.

The shops are more inviting atm.

Boyse - 08 Apr 2004 12:36 - 909 of 11056

Hilary did you just call to wish me happy Easter ?

hilary - 08 Apr 2004 12:40 - 910 of 11056

No, I called to say that I'd given Manolo your address so he could send you the bill for my birthday pressie.

:o)

Boyse - 08 Apr 2004 12:54 - 911 of 11056

He's not called see you soon ;-) shoes only !

MightyMicro - 08 Apr 2004 14:35 - 912 of 11056

Hil: so when's the birthday?

hilary - 08 Apr 2004 14:54 - 913 of 11056

It's not until August, Derek, but I just wanted to ensure that Boyse was up-to-speed with my pressie.

:o)

Boyse - 08 Apr 2004 15:08 - 914 of 11056

Up-to speed ;-)

Tellon - 08 Apr 2004 17:59 - 915 of 11056

Where can I get accurate High/Low Close (22:00GMT) data for currency pairs?

Mainly,

GBP/USD
EUR/USD
USD/JPY

Tellon - 08 Apr 2004 21:16 - 916 of 11056

Found the data I need on www.dailyfx.com (Doh!)

Have a good weekend all...

hilary - 11 Apr 2004 09:41 - 917 of 11056

Date

Country/ Currency

Event

GMT

CONSENSUS

PREVIOUS

12-Apr

JPY

Bank lending (Mar) % y/y

23:50 (3/11)

-4.5%

-4.4%

Mon

JPY

Current account (Feb) JPY bn

23:50 (3/11)

2005

1054.0

 

JPY

Tokyo consumer confidence (Mar)

4:30

45

44.4

 

USD

Treas Sec Snow speech SBA conference (Kansas City, MO)

 

 

 

 

 

Holiday (Easter Monday) All G10 markets closed ex CAD, USD, JPY

 

 

 

 

VP Cheney visits Asia Meetings in Japan (12th), China (14th) and Korea (15th)

 

 

13-Apr

AUD

Housing finance (Feb) % m/m

1:30

-2.3

-8.1%

Tue

AUD

NAB business confidence (Mar)

1:30

 

 

 

GBP

ODPM house prices (Feb) % y/y

8:30

10.5

9.7

 

USD

Retail sales (Mar) % m/m

12:30

0.6

0.00

 

USD

Business inventories (Feb) % m/m

12:30

0.5

0.10%

 

CAD

Bank of Canada rate decision 25bp cut expected

13:00

2.00

2.25

 

GBP

BRC retail sales monitor (Mar)

17:00

 

 

 

NZD

Retail sales (Feb) % m/m

22:45

 

2.9

14-Apr

JPY

BoJ minutes (26 Feb, 15/16 Mar meeting)

5:00

 

 

Wed

DEM

CPI final (Mar) % y/y

5:00

 

0.9

 

FRF

CPI (Mar) % y/y

6:50

1.7

1.8

 

AUD

RBA Macfarlane speech (Sydney)

8:00

 

 

 

CAD

Trade (Feb) CAD bn

12:30

5.2

5.2

 

USD

CPI (Mar) % y/y

12:30

1.6

1.7

 

USD

Trade (Feb) USD bn

12:30

-42.5

-43.1

 

USD

FOMC Parry speech (Moraga, CA)

 

 

 

15-Apr

AUD

RBA bulletin (Apr)

5:00

 

 

Thu

CAD

Manufacturing shipments (Feb) % m/m

12:30

0.6

-0.2

 

USD

Initial claims (10 Apr week)

12:30

335k

328k

 

USD

Empire state manufacturing (Apr)

12:30

29

25.33

 

USD

Philadelphia Fed index (Apr)

16:00

26.1

24.2

 

CAD

Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Report

 

 

 

 

EUR

ECB Caruana speech (Madrid)

 

 

 

 

USD

FOMC Moskow speech (Chicago, IL)

 

 

 

 

USD

FOMC Bernanke speech (Chicago, IL)

 

 

 

 

USD

FOMC Guynn speech (Sea Island, GA)

 

 

 

 

USD

PPI (Mar) % m/m

 

 

0.6

 

USD

TIC portfolio flows data (Feb) USD bn

 

 

92

 

USD

Treasury Report on Exchange Rate Policies

 

 

 

16-Apr

JPY

JPY Industrial production (Feb) % m/m

4:30

 

3.3

Fri

GBP

Claimant unemployment (Mar) '000

8:30

-8

-6.6

 

GBP

Headline average earnings (Feb) % y/y

8:30

4.9

4.4

 

EUR

GDP 2nd release (Q4) % y/y

9:00

0.6

0.3

 

EUR

HICP final (Mar) % y/y

9:00

1.6

1.6

 

USD

USD Housing starts (Mar) '000

12:30

1900

1855

 

USD

USD Industrial production (Mar) % m/m

13:15

0.3

0.7

 

USD

USD U Michigan cons confidence (Apr)

13:50

97

95.8

 

EUR

EU Comm GDP indicator (Q1/Q2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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