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Traders Thread - Tuesday 18th November (VOD)
Crocodile - 17 Nov 2003 22:47
| Premarket Futures | FTSE +25 | DAX +25 | DOW +16 | S&P +1.6 | Nasdaq +3.5 |
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U.S. stocks closed off their lows Monday but still in negative territory for the sixth out of seven sessions, as investors continued to take profits and in response to international terrorist attacks over the weekend. Vodafone reported a 19 percent increase in first-half underlying earnings and announced a 2.5 billion pounds share buyback programme. Earnings rose 19 percent to 6.62 billion pounds, compared with 10 analyst forecasts ranging from 6.15 billion to 6.78 billion. The interim dividend rose 20 percent to 0.9535 pence.Burberry posted higher than expected first-half earnings growth and appointed Stacey Cartwright as new chief financial officer to replace Mike Metcalf. The company notched up a 21 percent rise in earnings to 66.9 million pounds, up from 55.1 million last year.EasyJet reported a worse-than-expected 28 percent fall in annual pre-tax profit but said it was cautiously optimistic about its performance this fiscal year. They said its fall in pre-tax profit to 52 million pounds for the year to September 30 reflected the Iraq conflict in the first half, the costs of integrating the acquisition of rival budget carrier Go and other one-off items. Dixons said it had seen no pick up in the pace of sales growth though profit margins were still slightly ahead year-on-year. Some analysts had expected sales growth to have picked up since the September trading update. GWR radio said its first-half profit climbed on strong local advertising, with the improving trends expected to continue in November. The company, which owns Classic FM, said pre-tax profit for the six months to September 30 was 6.4 million pounds from 2.2 million pounds in the year-earlier period. "Group radio advertising revenues were up by 16 percent year on year in October and at this stage we expect that these revenues will be up by 9 percent year on year in November," the company said in a statement. |
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600 Group (I), Burberry (I), CML Microsystems (I) Detica Group (I), Glotel (I), GWR Group (I) Imagination Technologies (I), Intelek (ITK.L) James Cropper (I), TBI (I) Victoria (I), Vodofone Group (I), Whitehead Mann Group (I) Easyjet (F), Enodis (F), Viridian Group (F) Wigmore Property Investment Trust (F) Alea Group - IPO trading date. Profile Therapeutics (Update), HICP for October RICS Survey for October, Retail Price Index for October |
Home Depot Inc. 1:30 Core CPI Oct - 0.1% 1:30 CPI Oct - 0.2% |
Air France (Q2) after its merger with KLM Finnair (I) Wednesday Credit Agricole and Swiss insurance firm Zurich report quarterly numbers |
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little woman
- 18 Nov 2003 08:54
- 9 of 34
little woman
- 18 Nov 2003 09:04
- 10 of 34
LONDON (AFX) - Vodafone Group PLC reported a 26 pct rise in six month profits driven by strong customer growth and raised its cash return to shareholders with a sweetened dividend and share buyback programme.
Profit before tax, goodwill amortisation and exceptional items,
increased by 26 pct to 5.4 billion stg for the six months to Sept 30.
Turnover rose by 13 pct to 16.9 bln stg.
Free cash flow increased by 61 pct to 4.6 billion stg, after the company invested 2.2 billion stg in the period.
The six month dividend was lifted by 20 pct to 0.9535p per share and the company launched a 2.5 billion stg share repurchase programme.
First half proportionate EBITDA before exceptionals was 7.792 bln stg, up from 6.2 bln. The group's worldwide proportionate customer base rose to 125.3 mln at Sept 30.
According to an AFX News poll of four brokers, proportionate EBITDA of 7.4 bln stg was expected. Profit before tax and goodwill amortisation of 5 bln stg was seen.
The company's proportionate customer base was expected to rise to 124 mln at Sept 30, up from 122.7 mln on June 30 - the end of the group's first quarter.
The proportionate count means it includes its share of associates' operations.
Melnibone - 18 Nov 2003 09:06 - 11 of 34
Nice pullback in the US was followed through on the
Nikkei.
This has given a positive start on FTSE up to R1.
Not sure how much there is to go today. US will probably
start positive on a follow through but may start the
decline again. If it declines it may do so after the FTSE
closes which would leave the FTSE high and dry and opening
up lower tomorrow.
Bearing this possible scenario in mind, I will be wary of
buying any stocks this afternoon and may look to taking
my profits on BT.A today.
LLOY and MKS are struggling to get away from their support,
even though it is a higher open day.
Melnibone
Melnibone - 18 Nov 2003 09:22 - 12 of 34
If it closes above there and the US loses its negativity,
then there is a chance that it will lead the FTSE up to
a close above 4400 later this week.
Vod is a heavy influence on the FTSE, what we need is the
big oil and drug stocks to turn positive and help give the index
a push which will turn sentiment positive.
As usual, all depends on the US.
Melnibone
little woman
- 18 Nov 2003 09:23
- 13 of 34
- I just noticed that moneyam fundamentals on BT.A have 28 DEC (a sunday) as the ex div date - so I wasn't having a " " moment after all!
With the latest results out - I'm a lot more positive about the market in general than I have been.
I live in a village were there are a higher than ave. number of pensioners. They are a lot happier at the moment as they have just received their 200 winter fuel payment (earlier than expected) and are really looking forward to christmas this year as money really makes a big difference in topping up thier pensions, so they can pay their bills and provide a few little extras they normally think twice about!
Melnibone - 18 Nov 2003 09:45 - 14 of 34
I'm confused on BT.A. If I'm still in them on Ex Divi day
I'll find out. ;-)
Nice to see the pensioners are happy. In general, the mood
in the country isn't that bad. Problem is, the market wants
to take some profit and have a correction. It's trying to find
a reason. That's what is making everyone wary.
Trend is still up and you fight a trend at your peril, but at
resistance levels like these after such a good run-up, I still
feel caution is required.
I would dearly like to see a correction that holds at either
4200 or 4000. I feel that this would give us a good chance
for a Christmas rally and end the year positive.
We don't always get what we want.
Melnibone
Druid2
- 18 Nov 2003 10:05
- 15 of 34
Melnibone - 18 Nov 2003 10:09 - 16 of 34
I posted this chart last week which shows how MKS is a bit of
an oddball when it comes to FTSE stocks.
As you can see in this update, the divergence is still progressing.
If you are thinking of buying in, it is worth looking at this 5 year
chart rather than the usual yearly one.
In march FTSE was at 3300 and MKS was at it's year lows.
FTSE is now above 4300 and MKS is approaching its years lows
again.
If they break, you are looking at sub 250p. Be careful buying
because they look relatively cheap.
Melnibone
little woman
- 18 Nov 2003 10:28
- 17 of 34
Melnibone - 18 Nov 2003 10:33 - 18 of 34
Hi Druid2, sorry to hear about your EZJ's.
You asked for an opinion last week and I gave mine.
Doesn't mean that I was right but if this is a long term investment
then why not wait to see how deep the valley is going to be before topping up?
You can always buy again when it goes back up the other side.
If it goes up from here then you've already got some.
As you can see above, there is good support at 250p.
You never know, you might get lucky and buy there instead of
higher levels as you follow it down.
Melnibone
Melnibone - 18 Nov 2003 10:49 - 19 of 34
Feeling now is that this has ran out of steam.
Knitware is a problem as seen in recent articles.
Results in clothing were due to squeezing suppliers
margins and profits, not sales growth.
Food sales will always be fighting Tesco et al.
Furniture sales? I don't believe the hype.
This is not a bad company, but the market wants growth
or it will rate it as a yield type utility.
Just my own opinion, so doesn't mean that it is right.
The market will show us its view via the chart.
Melnibone
Melnibone - 18 Nov 2003 11:04 - 20 of 34
Wonder how far they'll take it down?
Time for a coffee and finish re-laying my living
room carpet.
See you all when the US opens.
Melnibone
ajren - 18 Nov 2003 11:50 - 21 of 34
Interim results -7 a.m.
Parts 1,2,3,4,5,6.
Nov 17 - Director Shareholding
little woman
- 18 Nov 2003 13:16
- 22 of 34
If I don't drop by late, back at Wed open.
Melnibone - 18 Nov 2003 15:44 - 23 of 34
It spiked below this for a couple of days last March,
but to all intents and purposes this is the March lows.
Now to see if it holds.
Melnibone
Melnibone - 18 Nov 2003 15:46 - 24 of 34
is still on the warpath.
Melnibone
Melnibone - 18 Nov 2003 15:48 - 25 of 34
out where the US really wants to go today.
Melnibone
zarif
- 18 Nov 2003 16:00
- 26 of 34
meanwhile letting the market guide my moves.
rgds
zarif
Melnibone - 18 Nov 2003 16:19 - 27 of 34
You should always let the market guide you.
The market is never wrong, it just is the market.
For the DOW and the FTSE to advance, the S@P
needs to get above 1050 again.
Until then, I'll just do the same as you and mainly
keep scalping intraday.
Holding the one tempory long, BT.A, but if that doesn't
move back into the trading range soon I'll take the profit on
it and forget it.
Melnibone
ajren - 18 Nov 2003 17:30 - 28 of 34
See tread i.e.Nov 17 they bought 1,000,000 of their own shares @ 280.6916
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