little woman
- 22 Mar 2004 09:45
- 9 of 57
wow - excellent comments
no1dad, you are busy - I've look a Bradford & Bingley last year, and could understand why the weren't doing anything. But since then lacked the time to take a look at them again. It'll be useful if you could post how they are doing from time to time.
Paulismyname & Fudamentalist - yes I know the news about SHEL has been dire, (although not as fundamentally bad as the press make out)and expected it to have been hammered far more than it has. I've been watching it since the first lot of news when it had it's first big drop and took the market with it. But since then, despite more & more bad news it hasn't really falling much. Shell should do well long term and I got in just in case I didn't get another chance. If it drops a lot further I will want to buy some more, but it will need to be a big drop. With our dependance on oil, in time they will recover. Unfortunetely I don't have the facility to short this share in the meantime.
Fundamentalist - yes I like HBOS, but last year LLOY gave me a much better return because it was more volotile! Timing is all with HBOS, and always seem to be at the top of its range when I look at it!
Ah Persimmon, my star! Last year I made so much money on this share as it went up and down and up and down! When it started dropping last October I thought yes, this is my chance. Finally in December (just before the results were due out) I though I better get some, or I'll miss the boat - and it has gone up leaps and bounds! It seems to go up 20+ for 2 or 3 days, down one day, up 2 or 3 days then down one day. But the ups are way above the downs! I got mine at about 4.80 and they are currently nearly 6.90! There seems to be no stopping them. McArthy and Stone, I need to know more.
Seymour Clearly - Scottish & Newcastle, I got some last sept @ 3.65 and sold them in Feb @ 4.05 when they hit the stop loss I set a week earlier! Trouble is they then carried back up! I must admit I would like to get back in but would like the price to drop back to 4.00 first (I know wishful thinking!)
Madison
- 22 Mar 2004 10:39
- 11 of 57
Good idea lw
I recently switched from Redrow (taking a 36% profit over 10 months) into Mccarthy & Stone. Support all Fundamentalist's points and add one further consideration. Since MCTY aims at retirement market, where presumably mortgages are not an issue and people are perhaps using cash from house sales or lifetime savings, shouldn't they be far less impacted by the eventual interest rate rises? Would be interested to know whether more experienced investors see a flaw in this idea.
As for Shell, I got out at 3.90 within 20 minutes or so of the resignation announcement and breathed a huge sigh of relief! Doubt I'll reenter. With Lloyds I'm happy enough with the dividend to hold through negative patches. One of my favourite "boring" shares is Tesco, who seem to pick their global strategy very carefully and balance it with UK operations successfully.
Good luck to all investors in these shares.
Madison
Fundamentalist
- 22 Mar 2004 10:54
- 12 of 57
With the FTSE 350 companies we tend to have a similar approach I think, looking for undervalued stocks with strong fundamentals!!! Likewise, we are both waiting for 1000p for GSK.
As for MCTY they build new homes solely in retirement blocks/villages etc.
quick overview on fundamentals:
Market Cap 638m at current share price of 607.5p
Last full yr results:
turnover 255m (+36%), pre tax profit 116m (+54%) (45% margin), eps 76.5p, pe ratio 8, divi 13.7p (2.3% yield)
they currently have a land bank worth approx 4 years and minimal competition. the founder tried to take the company private last year at about 450p per share and failed but there is a view he is still interested (the approach led to him resigning).
March trading update (half year announced 22nd April) - first half sales down on prior yr but a stronger second half exepcted. Sales prices up 15% (net cash of 20m+)
Happy1
- 22 Mar 2004 11:22
- 13 of 57
MDY after todays great news.A great investment for the future.
stockbunny
- 23 Mar 2004 11:51
- 16 of 57
One of the more consistant performer I have over the last 2 years,
including the 'dip' last year when everything fell is Rank Group (RNK)
Even at the worse times, yes it fell, but nowhere like the way some
others did.
It pays a good divi. for a leisure sector company and has a broad spread
of interest areas - casinos, cafes, bingo halls, film processing - these
I can think of off the top of my head. Hard rock cafes have been a headache
for the firm but there's good money going by way of the bingo halls/casinos!
With restrictions on gambling being relaxed it should continue to do well,
OK the last set of figs. showed although the divi. went up but the earnings
per share didn't, but that has not been the case over the rest of the time
I have held the shares, and I am hoping it is simply a temporary blip.
I like RNK & I'm staying in with this one for the forseeable!
Melnibone
- 23 Mar 2004 17:12
- 17 of 57
A similar share to RNK that I trade is WTB.
It seems to find strong support at 700p as you can see from above.
Spreads can be wide in the morning when low volume gives it some
volatility that is not for the faint hearted, but they settle down
to 0.5p quite often.
Please note that I said 'Trade', not invest. I think little woman
wants invest type shares on this thread. So if you FA experts would
like to run your investing metrics past WTB perhaps you would like
to post your conclusions as to it's promise as an investment.
If you like it, then it's resting on support ripe for the plucking.
If you don't like it, then maybe it's about to change to 700p
resistance and is ripe for shorting. :-))
Over to you.
Melnibone.
partridge
- 23 Mar 2004 18:09
- 18 of 57
Good thread. Shel may not yet have all bad news out of the way, but fabulous cash generation and healthy yield have encouraged me to lock some away at just over 350p. LLoy should be attractive now to possible overseas bidder and popularity of banks is so low that MMC likely to welcome it. I have bought at 408p.IMHO it has more cautious approach than HBOS or HSBC and therefore lower credit risk profile - should be able to maintain dividend. Downside is they may wish to buy something else and history is littered with banks overpaying for acquisitions(apart perhaps from RBS for Nat West). How about LMSO - had them for years and mix of property + techy investment portfolio always makes for an interesting read at results time. Property side underpins decent yield and they did at least bank some of their paper profits in the dot com boom. Another one for the kids/grandchildren but dyor!
optomistic
- 23 Mar 2004 20:00
- 19 of 57
Kelda must have an attraction if only for its yield. I am getting 7% plus at my purchase costs and even at todays price it must be yielding about 6%.
I know its regulated to hell but it is coping very well with that and as a bonus there is always the possibility of sector consolidation or outside interest, and of course at this time a captivated and growing customer base. Being a residant of Yorkshire in my view Kelda are producing the results.
thestatusquo
- 24 Mar 2004 16:02
- 21 of 57
Great thread little woman!
My 3 favourite FTSE 350 picks:
Legal & General (LGEN)- at these levels likely to deliver a solid double digit annual return (ex div on 31st Mar 3.3p). L & G got its rights issue away well ahead of other life companies, and subsequently its balance sheet is strong for recovering markets. Likely to benefit from new baby bond investment products and increased private pension savings. A solid ISA holding & dividend re-investment scheme available.
Galen Holdings (GAL) - fast growing pharmaceutical, 7 years of double digit earnings growth, access to huge American female pharma market, bordering on FTSE 100 membership. Given drug pipeline, expect several years of 20% earnings growth to come.
St. Modwen Properties (SMP) - the 10 year chart if there is one, tells it all. First class property company, growing net asset value, earnings and dividends year after year. Another 20%-er if you buy, hold, & re-invest the dividends.
I also like RBS. Quality. Sometimes a volatile one for trading, but ultimately another stock you can buy & not lose sleep over.
All IMHO great companies to own. I have owned them for in the region of 7 years and my confidence remains in them for the next 7 years! My returns have beaten the FTSE 350 year on year, owing to the exceptional earnings growth of the above companies.
TSQ
thestatusquo
- 24 Mar 2004 16:05
- 22 of 57
stockbunny
- 24 Mar 2004 16:08
- 23 of 57
I also like SMP but sadly do not hold any as the price climb
this & last year has frighten me off a bit - but you know what
jumpy creatures rabbits are! - and now I wish I had got in
when I first really noticed the company, would have been about
a year ago I suppose. Never mind..
thestatusquo
- 24 Mar 2004 16:11
- 24 of 57
Galen unfortunately suffered as a result of the techmark bubble around 98-99. This also coincided with its large merger with Warner Chilcott of the U.S.
It's now back on a steady uptrend, and should be trading above 10
thestatusquo
- 24 Mar 2004 16:16
- 25 of 57
Stockbunny
I understand your concern on SMP. It does trade well above its NAV, but it should continue to deliver double digit earnings and dividend growth for the foreseeable future.
It now has a sizeable and realisable stake which it can sell in Chepstow plc, formerly its Northern Racing subsidiary.
If you can't buy & hold then perhaps it's not for you, but if you can hold for say 1-2 years, I dont think it will disappoint.
Paulismyname
- 25 Mar 2004 15:15
- 28 of 57
Emg (The Man Group) has had a good day Little Woman on results...an old favourite of mine from around ?13.60 which I traded up in mostly successful longs. Out at present but may look to reenter at some point when the dust settles