diamonds
- 19 Jan 2007 16:58
from w-w-bb:
19.01.2007 - Total Rocketscience
The third and final company making up our Risk / Reward trilogy on shares for 2007 has so many investment negatives that most observers might not even give it more than a cursory glance. Although quoted on the London AIM market, it is based on the other side of the World, has reported revenues and cash flow of diddly squat and, more importantly, operates in an area of expertise so deep in boffinland that you need to be at least a 5 star techie to venture anywhere near it.
What originally persuaded us to give it a second look was the fact that legendary Stockmarket investor, Jim Slater, was pouring money into it via several successive rounds of financing. As we all know, Mr. Slater is a qualified accountant and hugely experienced corporate financier but clearly he is more at home in leafy Surrey than in the technologically rarified atmosphere of Southern California. However, he must have gleaned enough about what the company actually did to get extremely excited about it. In fact, by last Autumn, he had grown to like it so much that, to paraphrase the immortal Victor Kiam, he bought the remaining 51 % of the company that his vehicle, Original Investments, didn't already own.
The company in question was VIALOGY and, ever since it was fully reversed into Original just before Christmas, Slater's loyal band of followers have seen their highly speculative penny punt move on to the calculated risk category and been duly rewarded with a 50% shareprice improvement. We first latched on to this situation last April when we wrote a piece entitled The Cisco Kid ( see news archive ). To recap briefly, the company was set up by some brainboxes who had earlier worked together on supercomputing projects for NASA. Led by Dr. Sandip Gulati, the team appeared to have perfected software to detect and enhance extremely weak signals previously obscured by background noise. This may not seem particularly earthshattering to the layman but, apparently, the applications for this technology are not only revolutionary but almost limitless which suggests that an exponential rise in licensing income could well lie ahead.
Big news clearly travels fast on the Eastern seaboard because global behemoths Cisco and Boeing have already enlisted Vialogy to work on 2 major government inspired projects and these are just the ones that the company have been allowed to talk about publicly. As we reported in April, Cisco has contracted Vialogy to help with its IPICS programme which seeks to make sure that all emergency services and government agencies can communicate with each other quickly via computers and phones. The need to address this obvious requirement was highlighted by 9 / 11 when communications between different departments with different systems proved chaotic.
For its part, Boeing has recently confirmed that Vialogy has delivered a tenfold improvement in the accuracy and efficiency of the types of gyroscopes it uses in spacecraft and missile navigational systems. It is also known that both Cisco and Boeing see a major role for the technology in such areas as border controls and missile defence systems. Elsewhere a much smaller Texan company, Evolution Petroleum, is applying the technology to improving seismic evaluation of oil and gas deposits.
This initial clutch of applications is almost certainly just the tip of a very large iceberg that is going to float into view over the next few years and all that is required is a little patience. At todays price of 5.5p, Vialogy is valued at a mere 22m. To justify this valuation, the company would have to be earning say 2 million pretax. With cash reserves of 3 million and its heavyweight partners funding the projects it is involved in, Vialogy should be able to get through to breakeven without further recourse to shareholders. We would expect this stage to be reached sometime over the next 12 months. Thereafter, profits could / should escalate very dramatically as new applications and licensing income start to snowball.
On a two year view, shareholders could be rewarded extremely handsomely indeed. Vialogy is in so many ways akin to last weeks selection, CORAC. Both are now moving from the development stage to commercialization with the scales tipping away from blue sky risk towards the reality of cash flow. Both have mindblowing upside potential yet both have current shareprice action that makes drying paint look positively orgasmic. Although this presents an opportunity for latecomers, it is a frustrating byproduct of both companies involvement with highly sensitive technology and powerful, publicity shy partners. Moreover, the present lack of any meaningful numbers together with the sheer scale of future potential makes any serious stockbroker research well nigh impossible. All this will resolve itself in due course but, as they say in the Grolsch advert, all good things come to those who wait.
required field
- 01 May 2009 17:05
- 902 of 1209
"Tech invest" the tip sheet have bought into this....they would not be happy if this went pear shaped.....you must always take notice of EK though !, but this time I'm not so sure : to me this looks very promising and I'm staying in !.
pumben
- 01 May 2009 17:16
- 903 of 1209
Who would you think that it is a wrongly reported trade ? I wass surprised at the price of the sale but for a trade of that size is probably right. Is someone in the know ?
Oh well been in it for such a long time why worry !!
Again I hope you're right notlob !
notlob
- 01 May 2009 17:35
- 904 of 1209
pumben, I am right.
Share price up strongly towards the close is yet another indicator.
Next week will be another excellent week for all VIY holders.
Strong sp appreciation and scorched shorts is on the cards!
required field
- 01 May 2009 17:46
- 905 of 1209
Of all the shorts to take out : this would not be one !, I would have thought, anyway we shall see !.
notlob
- 03 May 2009 19:26
- 906 of 1209
seems like we could be in for some fireworks next week.
rf, I concur, it seems to be a very foolish short indeed.
notlob
- 04 May 2009 11:32
- 907 of 1209
would soom a certain amount of desperation has set in across the road in the zoo.
smells of shorters panicking, this could well help fuel the rise next week and give vertical take-off.
porky
- 04 May 2009 13:25
- 908 of 1209
Agree with you notlob you can smell the fear in the zoo.
Never read so much crap in all my life.
Toya
- 05 May 2009 07:40
- 909 of 1209
notlob
- 05 May 2009 08:06
- 910 of 1209
good news and shorters are being fried this morning!
required field
- 05 May 2009 08:50
- 911 of 1209
I'll shall have to check out EK's next update....he might go long....that's his strong point : the ability to change his outlook on a stock in an instant !.
notlob
- 05 May 2009 09:04
- 912 of 1209
would make more sense
could just have been a ruse on EK's part to try to pick up some cheap stock, that didn't work either!
fliper
- 05 May 2009 17:46
- 913 of 1209
VIALOGY PLC ('VIALOGY' OR 'THE COMPANY')
Accuracy of latest oil well predictions independently confirmed
London, May 5, 2009. Vialogy (LSE:VIY) Following the announcement on 23 April 2009 that a further oil discovery had been made on the Galba Field, Texas ('Mary Ridgeway #1'), ViaLogy is pleased to announce that it has now received detailed analysis confirming the predictions made using its QuantumRD technology on the oil find. The successful well was drilled by the leaseholders, Atascosa Exploration LLC of San Antonio.
Using industry standard core analysis practices, Atascosa has received independent confirmation that the well will produce 170,000 barrels of crude oil (i.e. 35% primary recovery based on an overall actual volume of 486,000 barrels). Atascosa plans extractions of 50% of the recoverable reserves in first three years. ViaLogy's QuantumRD predictions of hydrocarbon pay zones at depth of 3050 feet with average porosity of 30%, and the oil reservoir's boundaries all proved correct. With a 10% direct working Interest, ViaLogy expects to receive revenues of approximately $650,000, assuming 35% recovery, over the life of the well (assuming an average per barrel price of $50) to be paid monthly and to begin in Q2 2009.
Atascosa's Senior Geologist, Wilford Stapp commented, 'I am very impressed by ViaLogy's ability to combine geological assessment with subsurface seismic interpretation to locate hydrocarbon high saturation zones in consolidated sands. We have concluded that Mary Ridgeway #1 is a new isolated reservoir in the Bartosh formation with multiple pay zones. ViaLogy's optimized drill location has ensured that this new well will not compete with other producing wells, enhancing our total recovery from the field.' Mr. Stapp has Emeritus standing with both the American Association of Petroleum Geologists and Society of Petroleum Engineers; he founded the Publication of the South Texas Geological Society, and was a Fellow of Geological Society of London. He has been an expert practicing geologist for over 50 years working with majors and independents. Besides Texas, Mr Stapp has worked in Asia, Australia, Dominican Republic, England, France, Morocco, Namibia, and the Persian Gulf.
ViaLogy has also agreed terms with Atascosa for the drilling of a third well on the Galba Field and discussions are under way for the application of QuantumRD at a number of other Atascosa lease sites. In addition, Vialogy expects to be working with other customers on additional oil discovery projects in the coming weeks.
Vialogy CEO, Robert Dean, commented, 'The accuracy of ViaLogy's QuantumRD analysis and predictions on these first successful wells is impressive. The technology is widely applicable, and the Company intends to demonstrate its capabilities with an increasing variety of hydrocarbon geological formations and an expanded customer set.'
notlob
- 05 May 2009 18:42
- 914 of 1209
like the sound of this!
'In addition, Vialogy expects to be working with other customers on additional oil discovery projects in the coming weeks.'
could be in for a couple of good weeks here!
pumben
- 05 May 2009 21:46
- 915 of 1209
V. disappointing finish after a postive rns, looks like this will drift until they release the next rns hopefully providing details on a new large company. however, good to see that Barclays have been increasng their stake !!!!!
jkd
- 05 May 2009 22:16
- 916 of 1209
Gr0
your post ref concern about holding. you have now been given the opportunity to get out. you might like to think about just disposing of say x% say 100? just my opinion.
will you sleep better? there are better opportunities elsewhere. just my opinion.
dont think about how much you might make, consider how much you might lose. its up to you. just my opinion dyor
regards and good luck.
jkd
greck0
- 05 May 2009 23:28
- 917 of 1209
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/mediatechnologyandtelecoms/technology/5279585/Vialogys-mapping-project-in-limbo-after-collapse-of-US-partnership.html
Vialogy's mapping project in limbo after collapse of US partnership
London-listed technology company Vialogy has failed to reveal to investors that a key partnership is in tatters, leaving a major project in limbo.
By Peter Taylor
Last Updated: 7:21PM BST 05 May 2009
Terry Bond, Vialogy chairman, confirmed to the Daily Telegraph that Advanced Spatial Technologies Field Services (ASTFS), a US-based partner, had gone "the way of all flesh" and ceased operating.
The two companies were jointly developing a system to map old underground pipelines in the US from the air, using technology developed by Vialogy.
Under an agreement sealed last July, ASTFS was to pay Vialogy $26.5m (17.5m) over five years if a pilot project to map pipelines proved successful. Mr Bond said ASTFS was wound up as long ago as October, but he understood that Vialogy was under no obligation to notify investors despite Vialogy publicising details of the July deal in several regulatory announcements up until last September.
Robert Dean, president and chief executive officer of Vialogy, said in a statement last August that the project was likely to provide the companies with "near-term access to a large addressable market valued at $2bn to $3bn".
Vialogy, which was spun out of a laboratory operation run for NASA by the California Institute of Technology in 1999, was floated on London's Aim market in 2006.
Mr Bond said Vialogy was "still in active talks to progress our pipeline project" with other potential partners.
The company was disappointed that ASTFS had ceased operating after putting "time and energy" into the pipeline project, he said.
"But that's all we put in. We didn't put any cash in," he said, adding that the collapse of the partnership had not been "financially crippling to us or anything like that".
Vialogy's principal focus was on projects involving oil and gas exploration rather than pipeline mapping, Mr Bond said.
notlob
- 05 May 2009 23:45
- 918 of 1209
old news, telegraph 6 months too late as ever
we all knew about this yonks ago! a non-event.
Having said that, good to hear the project is still alive, like the active talks bit, could be more good news on the way then!
greck0
- 06 May 2009 16:16
- 919 of 1209
And the price tanks 20%! Now down 15%
VIALOGY PLC ("VIALOGY" OR "THE COMPANY")
VIALOGY SEEKS NEW PARTNER TO COMMERCIALIZE BURIED PIPELINE IMAGING
London, May 6, 2009. ViaLogy (LSE:VIY) ViaLogy PLC today confirmed that it is actively seeking a new partner for the final proof-of-concept stage of QSUB, the technology application it is developing for detecting underground oil and gas pipelines, utilities and other significant buried objects. Using patented Quantum Resonance Interferometry (QRI) software, QSUB interprets multiple synthetic aperture radar (SAR) sets obtained by aerial survey.
In proof-of-concept tests carried out in Oregon, United States of America, ViaLogy was able to exploit ground disturbances to infer a buried pipeline. Subsequent digging revealed a six inch asbestos pipe buried 6 to 12 feet below the ground. Based on archival search reports, the pipe was buried over four decades ago. This test also provided ViaLogy with new opportunities for imaging and geolocation of buried utilities and pipelines via detection of ground disturbance, that are typically outside the scope of conventional SAR processing. In addition, confirmatory tests showed that ViaLogy detected over 150 'hidden' metal objects and wires at various depths.
"The need for a new strategic partner has occurred because our initial associate, Advanced Spatial Technologies Field Services (ASTFS), has ceased operating," said Terry Bond, chairman of ViaLogy. "This is unfortunate because the complete success of our initial tests is most encouraging and the addressable market for such a product remains significant."
"Now we need to conduct additional flights over varying terrain using the very latest aerial radar to collect sophisticated data. We will then be able to refine QSUB to provide a much-needed operational service to the oil and gas industry. This final step requires adequate development funding, hence the need for a new partner. This process is underway."
Commenting on ViaLogy's other involvement in the energy sector, QuantumRD which interprets seismic data for the location and analysis of oil well sites, Mr Bond said: "I have just returned from Texas where our technology has enabled our partners there, Atascosa Exploration LLC, to drill two successful wells on the Galba Fuqua Prospect, near San Antonio."
"We have now contracted to analyse seismic data for a third, larger well for Atascosa and had detailed discussions about further projects. We have also received several enquiries from other exploration companies in the US and Europe."
jkd
- 06 May 2009 16:54
- 920 of 1209
Gr0
are you a shorter? did you really want advice? or just playing dumb? if so go play elsewhere.
regards
jkd
halifax
- 06 May 2009 17:05
- 921 of 1209
jkd it is pretty obvious what greckO is up to regurgitating old news, the losers will be those selling VIY influenced by serial shorters. We await further up to date news which no doubt will drive the sp upwards.