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MOS International: (a new thread) Oil Engineers on the turnaround (MOI)     

chad - 12 Apr 2005 16:42

Now that we all know what the prospects for MOS are i.e. damn good, thought I'd get a new thread going and just highlight MOS' attractions for any new investors.

Key highlights:

* Significant progress made, rationalisation programme almost complete

* Acquisitions integrated well

* International marketing network established

* Record order books, enquiry levels high, several new customers won

* Recent Director buys

From the Chairman's statement:

Outlook

Over the past year the management team has extended the product range, put in
place in-house manufacturing, rationalised the existing business and greatly
expanded the marketing effort, opening up significant new markets to MOS
products. Once the acquisitions have been fully integrated MOS will offer a
wider product range to a broader market and have a much reduced cost base. We
have record order books, we have attracted major new customers and we are
targeting new markets, worldwide. Overall, we have made good progress and the
outlook remains extremely positive.

Trading Update

MOS International PLC ('MOS'), the oilfield services company, announces that
trading is in line with market expectations. TURNOVER FOR THE YEAR TO 31st MARCH 2005 IS EXPECTED TO BE CIRCA 10M COMPARED WITH 1.05M IN THE YEAR TO 31st MARCH 2004.

MOS currently has an order book in excess of 7m for delivery prior to the year
end.

The recent acquisitions have integrated well, the rationalisation programme at
MOS is almost complete and that at Ansell Jones will be completed in this
financial year.

Tender and enquiry levels remain high and the Board is positive regarding the
future. Significant progress has been made and the business is well on the road
to recovery, with turnover forecast to show a further considerable increase, in
the next financial year.

On a turnover of 10million with a profit of say 1million, this company is on a P/E ratio of just 8 (market cap being around 8million at present). This company has been overlooked by the institutions and investors alike and is due a big re-rating soon IMHO. DYOR as usual.

Chad.

gromore - 24 Apr 2005 01:11 - 91 of 890

Chrissie, I sincerely hope so, but I'll settle for 5. To get to a ten bagger in the next 12 months they would need to be forecasting 4.5million profit for the current year(not impossible but a lot of it will be ploughed back into continuing expansion). But if the growth continues at the present rate i.e. 10mill for last year 15-20mill this year and say a forecast for 40 million next year, who knows!!! We could be looking at more bags than Judy(as in Richard and...) carries round with her.

Sorry for that. It could never be that many.

chrissie - 24 Apr 2005 08:22 - 92 of 890

And I'll settle for 10 bagger in 2 years, definitely not impossible if growth continues at, or exceeds, present rate. A lot of money will go towards continuing expansion, the potential for Mos Int is enormous!

andysmith - 24 Apr 2005 10:15 - 93 of 890

The new shares can be traded from 28th. Is anyone expecting a drop either in the run up to this or at the time? If not having only bought a small amount so far as a look-see I'm tempted to add this week. There seems to be a bundle of enthusiasm and buys around this small-cap share.

canary9 - 24 Apr 2005 14:25 - 94 of 890

Gromore, could these be T+10 trades with shares that have been pledged on the 28th? It seems very odd that there was a net17M+ buys in the last 2 days without the shares moving up!

gromore - 24 Apr 2005 21:38 - 95 of 890

Canary9, It does seem strange that there has not been a tick up. But the prices that have been going through on the buys do seem to indicate that one or more of the mms have had a stock overhang which they have been clearing at .79p. That would appear to have now been cleared judging by the lack of .79p buys on Friday. The unusual volume seems to point to a recommendation to 'buy' from a broker to clients. I don't think it is just MOI's irresistability that is pulling in the buyers. This is all speculation on my part, but I'm just trying to fathom what is going on. That announcement of the placing would appear to have had an overall positive effect especially because the trading update that was made at the same time.

andysmith, It is difficult for anyone to stick out their neck on this one for fear of feeling responsible for any loss you might incurr. However, my thinking would be that MOI does appear to have a much larger upside than downside risk at the moment. Whether you pay .84p or .75p will not make much odds in the longer term, but if it starts to move up rapidly you will struggle to get any appreciable number of shares at a good price. Personally, I don't think it will fall and could well go up, but as always it's your call so please don't blame me.

andysmith - 24 Apr 2005 22:17 - 96 of 890

Gromore. would never blame anyone but myself, pressing the BUY button is my responsibility but I value others thoughts and was just wondering what the general view was. When I've seen other placings, even my favourite SEO in Feb, the sp has suffered short-term before recovering but MOI doesn't seem to be affected (yet!) and I wondered why. Plenty of buying at 30% above the placement price adds good confidence and its picking the moment to add but like you say, in the long-run once MOI is noticed buys at 0.75p or 0.84p won't make that much difference. I said the same thing about SEO last year when 4-6p and I have a similar positive outlook on MOI right now, I like Chrissie's enthusiasm for this and the projected potential profit numbers. MOI appears too cheap right now based upon future projected profits and growth.

gromore - 24 Apr 2005 22:39 - 97 of 890

andy, Good luck. I hope it works out for you.

andysmith - 24 Apr 2005 22:50 - 98 of 890

Thanks, I hope it works out for all of us, picking the gems can really make the difference to a portfolio, you can bury the crap decisions then and move on.
I'm hoping MOI is the next gem out there waiting to be discovered by the market, after I've topped up of course!

chrissie - 25 Apr 2005 10:42 - 99 of 890

gromore

Don't worry about andysmith he is our resident "Golden B"ll"x"! He's had 3 multibaggers recently so will bring us lots of luck.

gromore - 25 Apr 2005 10:55 - 100 of 890

chrissie, he obviously has the Midas touch, but he should stop scratching himself otherwise we'll have to christen him coq d'or.

andysmith - 25 Apr 2005 12:37 - 101 of 890

Oh dear, Midas, Golden wotsits, I've been called worse and before this years swing in fortunes on just 3 stocks the missus would have kicked me in the wotsits for being useless and 10% down. Just shows how dramatically things can change when you get a good one, not to mention 3, I am so lucky even though I'd like to think there was an element of good stock-picking. Have only 4 stocks at moment, OK with 3 of them, a little concerned with MDW at moment though!!
I am hoping MOI is the next good one and that my luck hasn't run out.

andysmith - 25 Apr 2005 13:11 - 102 of 890

I'm also known as Mr Indecisive, still havn't decided whether to add now or on 28th, still waiting!! Having had the bad times last year I am still not too confident in myself and I am usually content to pay a few percent more and be satisfied with my decision.

chrissie - 25 Apr 2005 13:32 - 103 of 890

andysmith

Let us know what you decide but as gromore said whether you pay 75 or 85 won't make much difference in the longer term depends how low you think it will go and hw closely you watch. Very few trades going through at .79p now, still who knows what will happen on 28th. I'm in now and so all I really care about is the results and the chairman's statement that goes with them.....I hope and believe it will be extremely positive and once everyone else sees the potential of this company then the train will have well and truly left the station!

andysmith - 25 Apr 2005 13:38 - 104 of 890

Agree Chrissie, will try and get 0.79 if I can then I'll be happy. Wonder why so many sells today though?

chrissie - 25 Apr 2005 14:47 - 105 of 890

All sorts of reasons why people sell, T10/20, impatience and sometimes they just need the money. If you take out the 2.5mil T trade and assume 200k @79 is a buy then buys still easily exceed sells.

chad - 25 Apr 2005 15:15 - 106 of 890

Im in a bit of a quandery whether to top up now or later too. Im pretty confident that there wont be a drop on the 28th but you never know. Even so, as has been said, anywhere around these prices is a bargain, but it would be irritating to top up now and then see it go cheaper after the 28th. But I suppose thats just being greedy. Decisions, decisions!

plm2349 - 25 Apr 2005 16:00 - 107 of 890

keep buying!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

andysmith - 25 Apr 2005 16:09 - 108 of 890

Take it you believe strongly in Moi as well plm2349?

chrissie - 25 Apr 2005 18:13 - 109 of 890

It would be nice to know roughly when last years results (Mch04-Mch05) are due to be published. June or Sept ? Has anyone contacted the company recently?

gromore

Do you have any idea ? As you know last year it was September but, interims were published in December, so with a bit of luck we will have the year end results by end of June. What do you think?

gromore - 25 Apr 2005 20:38 - 110 of 890

Chrissie,
I have not had any confirmation from MOI on this but TDW company research forecasts the annual report for 28/09/05 and Preliminary Announcement for 30/09/05. I think they only replicate last year's date as I have never seen any of their forecasts differ from the previous year's dates. In theory it could be from June onwards. Sorry I could not be of more assistance.
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