Rather quiet on this BB. It does seem that our combined chart analysis was correct and that w/o sustained volume Tad will continue to languish in the 10/12p range - well done Indie.

yawn very dull on the tad front.
Going nowhere but down it seems.

I think the end of October before we here anything. goal.

And another week begins!
I am also fed up with this no news syndrome, but I am of the opinion
that it will be worth waiting for, when it finally arrives.
It has crossed my mind that the delay, if thats the right word, is because the details could not really be submitted to all the relevant bodyies untill the
Softbank deal had been announced and was in the public domain.
If this is the reason then I am afraid we have another couple of weeks of
waiting!!!!
I hope I am wrong on that score, but I know we will soon be joining the big league.

M

Cant see it moneylender - no news is bad news.

Morning all!

You should check out iii.

Someone called 'No stress' has posted at 09:25 :- "Im afraid I have just heard from a normally impeccable source that the deal may be jeopordized and unlikely to get ta an EGM.I have just sold c.360,000 of my holdings(nearly 80%).Not trying to spook anyone,make your own minds up.IMHO.DYOR"

Most of the other guys think he's a shorter with multiple alaises. Trouble is, whilst the company remains stum, who really knows.

Lets hope he's wrong.

Personally I am not truly bothered about whether the deal goes through or not - provided there is no suggestion that Tad is considered a "basket-case" by the other side. It is the uncertainty which is killing this share. As for selling 360k - he must have taken a long time to hide that considering the paltry volume over the past few days.

This following reply was posted by Carta in reply to the rumours, i think its very fair and honest.

M

In response to the rumours on iii this was posted byreading the article about shorting I was struck by the fact that hedging funds actually employ professionals to come on bb's to create rumours and panic to drive a share down.
Anyone can sign up free on this board so we all have to be careful in whom we place our trust, and that includes those saying 1 by Christmas as well as the merchants of doom.
Pretty obvious stuff I know but we seem to have had some funny people on here of late,some mischeavious others who obviously have zero interest in discussion never mind Tadpole.

The deal has been done with Streamtheory make no mistake about that, zero chance of it unraveling. We do have to however await the EGM and decision.
The timing is due imo to the complexity of the deal, remember we are still a small company without the resources of a mutlinational.
However be it tomorrow, next week or next month the documents will appear.
The new finincial year will see us immediatialy in profit with the $9 million from the Softbank deal and that will change the perception of this company for good. No more the thoughts of jam tommorow.
I see the initial deal with Softbank as only the stating point for that source of profit. Softbank are very aggressive in their marketing tactics and will want to exploit the Stream technology anywhere they can, perhaps including Korea and China. No small potential there!
We have learnt that Chello are really pushing Streamtheory with their Game Zone in Europe and hopefully when we have ST are on board we can exploit the existing relationships with MCI and Microsoft to bring gamesondemand to them also .

Which brings me to Endeavors, some have slated them for their lack of deals saying they we had to buy Stream to buy some profits. It is worth remembering that Endeavors had the MCI and Microsoft and Autodesk deals first.
I believe that the potential, (that is the key word), is huge. You don't buy into a share when it is already a proven success and a sky high price if you hope to make money.
We are all taking a risk and many have stayed with it for such a long time, but they have always kept that potential in mind.
Microsofts download centre has 30 million users a month Autodesk and MCi have millions more ,these are only some of our existing customers. we have read that we are charging from $1 to $3 dollars a download.
The deal with Microsoft was crucial in giving Appexpress the real credibility it deserves and whilst it was unfortunately thought of as a small $100k trial it is the acceptence and approval by Microsoft that counts.
We have yet to learn the extent of the technology payments from the MCI deal and how much we are accruing from their monthly revenue.
Plus we have good possibitities of Cartesia turning in a profit this year.so I would'nt be too upset that the money from Stream could not be included in this years up to September 30th) accounts.
Having started off warning you of the dangers of professional de-rampers I now end this rant with an appology if I have sounded like I have been ramping it up a bit!
c.

ML - a fair cut and paste but it does re-inforce my original point that if the deal unravels Tad is by no means a lost cause.

tho i have sold my main holding i am a believer in tad. still hold 25k ( was 330k ), and bought 10k at 16.07 today which hasnt shown as yet. what we need , apart from good news, is a decent PR guy. HP sod off.(AIMHO)
btw im trading blue chips for now, tight spread and less volatility

Today was a gift to conspiracy theorists, but it demonstrated conclusively that the ca. 11.5p S/R level has effectively been destroyed. That has the implication that-

Support is now just below 9p.
It won't take huge volume to get back above 11/12p.

The other implications concern the reasons for today's price action and the possibility that similar events could occur again.

support now resistance 14.5

15p has been resistance since early July. It was then I sold the day after the RNS. The 200day EMA is sitting at around 14p now and that will take some breaking. Mind you, I said that about 11.75p.

Application Conference.

This is happening today
http://www.sdexpo.com/2004/bp/mbip_techsessions.htm

We may get something from it, do I hear a Motor starting??

M

Follow link and see Stream Theory on Left hand list of sposors for this event.

http://www.softsummit.com/index.html

M

Tad:
Made less than 6 figures today. Moribund.

Tad looks to have fallen out of a (relatively) small triangle and is heading back to lower support. Nothing is settled until a close outside the triangle happens, but the volume thus far today suggests it is likely.

It shows up well using the 1 or 2 month HLC chart.

Circular being sent out today. See RNS 13.47p.m

I posted yesterday that the announcement probably compromises the triangle hypothesis. Unfortunately, it doesn't seem to have been received by Moneyam.

The trade which appeared to break the triangle by rising above the apex was a single 11.42p buy of 10,000 shares: well above the prevailing price. Apart from that, the scenario still looks intact. With a 'well-known trader' turning strongly bearish, Monday should be interesting.

Looks like moneylender has sold all his Tadpole shares.