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FTSE + FTSE 250 - consider trading (FTSE)     

cynic - 20 Oct 2007 12:12

rather than pick out individual stocks to trade, it can often be worthwhile to trade the indices themselves, especially in times of high volatility.

for those so inclined, i attach below charts for FTSE and FTSE 250, though one might equally be tempted to trade Dow or S&P, which is significantly broader in its coverage, or even NASDAQ

for ease of reading, i have attached 1 year and 3 month charts in each instance

Shortie - 01 Nov 2012 16:21 - 9370 of 21973

Was broken back in May though, some support but wouldn't say it was strong... All this QE and the debt poition will weaken the USD and provide the resistance against a long term rally. The DOW may test 13500 again but I doubt will break it, before falling back to test the lower end of its range around 12500. I would say 12940 was more upper range support / lower range resistance or the pivotal point in the current range of trading.

cynic - 01 Nov 2012 17:05 - 9371 of 21973

have you re-opened a short then?

skinny - 02 Nov 2012 05:55 - 9372 of 21973

Standard Chartered close to U.S. settlement on Iran transactions

WASHINGTON | Thu Nov 1, 2012 11:55pm GMT

(Reuters) - Standard Chartered is close to wrapping up discussions to resolve U.S. investigations into its Iran-linked transactions and nearing agreement on a fine in the $300-million (185-million pounds) range, mirroring a much-publicized state settlement over similar allegations, according to four people familiar with the matter.

The London-based bank agreed in August to pay New York's banking regulator $340 million after that authority filed a surprise order accusing the bank of hiding some $250 billion worth of transactions with Iran.

UK economy may grow 1.1 percent in 2013 - NIESR

LONDON | Fri Nov 2, 2012 12:29am GMT

(Reuters) - Britain's economy will return to modest growth in 2013 after flatlining this year, with developments in the euro zone posing the biggest risk, a leading think-tank said on Friday.

The National Institute for Economic and Social Research (NIESR) forecast that GDP would dip this year by 0.1 percent, up from its August forecast of a 0.5 percent contraction, after surprisingly strong expansion in the third quarter.

Asia's green shoots allay global slump fears

Green shoots are sprouting across much of the Far East as stimulus begins to feed through, greatly reducing the risk of a deep global slump next year.

A slew of economic data from China and the Pacific Rim show that orders are picking up and trade is rebounding after the industrial recession of the past few months.
The Baltic Dry Index, measuring shipping rates for commodities – watched as a proxy for Chinese demand – has come back from the dead, rising 50pc since July.

Toya - 02 Nov 2012 08:16 - 9373 of 21973

I read that article too, Skinny. The headline is very optimistic but there's a caveat further down:

'Critics say the most recent phase of China’s boom was driven by loan growth, nearly 100pc of GDP over five years.

'Professor Michael Pettis, from Beijing University, said that China has surpassed the excesses of Japan’s Nikkei bubble in the 1980s. “The major difference is that Japan never took debt, investment and consumption imbalances to anywhere near the levels that China has taken them,” he said.

'Credit leaked into property spirals in east coast cities. Much went into industrial plant, pushing investment to a world record 49pc of GDP. This has left a legacy of overcapacity. Most of the country’s shipyards and solar companies are insolvent.
Mr Pettis expects China’s growth rate to halve to 4pc over the next decade as the hangover lingers. This would be a major shock to expectations.'

skinny - 02 Nov 2012 08:18 - 9374 of 21973

Toya - I was tempted to headline the 3 articles as "If, but & maybe".

Toya - 02 Nov 2012 08:22 - 9375 of 21973

Yes - that would be more appropriate I reckon Skinny :)

One IF for today though: I reckon we could see a positive movement if the US Non-Farm Payroll figures are in line with yesterday's ADP figures - and they probably will be

Must remember to sit by my computer at 12:30!

cynic - 02 Nov 2012 08:26 - 9376 of 21973

i would be surprised if the payroll numbers were not good
heaven forbid they should have been at all influenced by the imminent elections!

skinny - 02 Nov 2012 08:28 - 9377 of 21973

There have been various 'noises' circulating this morning saying as much!

Toya - 02 Nov 2012 08:31 - 9378 of 21973

Now now Cynic, mustn't be so cynical ;)

cynic - 02 Nov 2012 08:55 - 9379 of 21973

i only look at you through rose-tinted specs - and then i realise the view is reality (oh yuk!)

Toya - 02 Nov 2012 09:00 - 9380 of 21973

Should have gone to SpecSavers my Dear!

cynic - 02 Nov 2012 09:03 - 9381 of 21973

not unless you are taking on GR's role!

Seymour Clearly - 02 Nov 2012 09:04 - 9382 of 21973

Other Opticians are also available.

skinny - 02 Nov 2012 09:06 - 9383 of 21973

rron747l.jpg

Shortie - 02 Nov 2012 09:36 - 9384 of 21973

Cynic, not opened a short yet as may test higher first, will wait for a short signal before opening a position.

skinny - 02 Nov 2012 10:02 - 9385 of 21973

In case you missed it:-

GBP Construction PMI 50.9 consensus 49.1 previous 49.5

Toya - 02 Nov 2012 12:28 - 9386 of 21973

Thanks Skinny - just seen your lovely cartoon lol :)

Shortie - 02 Nov 2012 15:27 - 9387 of 21973

Should have put the short on the DOW rather than waiting... Goes to show though consideing the jobs numbers that the sp is based more on optimism than any real sustainable recovery.

Toya - 02 Nov 2012 16:43 - 9388 of 21973

I suppose with all the uncertainty about the Election next week, the DOW could travel back to rest around 13030 again, Shortie.

Shortie - 02 Nov 2012 16:52 - 9389 of 21973

Wouldn't surprise me Toya, might give the indicies a miss next week and just play stocks and currencies. The Yen looks set to test 129.5 so maybe a longer term position will emerge.
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