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The Forex Thread (FX)     

hilary - 31 Dec 2003 13:00

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Forex rebates on every trade - win or lose!

hilary - 16 Apr 2004 09:04 - 946 of 11056

Welcome Cloggs. And Beebs says welcome too (he's the one who's got a Portaloo as an office seat).

:o)

Beeblebrox - 16 Apr 2004 09:07 - 947 of 11056

cable trading goes with catheter, with a portaloo
you've got to take aim !
and no, that's not taking the piss...

hilary - 16 Apr 2004 09:07 - 948 of 11056

cluck, cluck, cluck.

:o)

hilary - 16 Apr 2004 09:11 - 949 of 11056

Don't forget there's 9:30 UK employment data, boys.

Sue 42 - 16 Apr 2004 09:18 - 950 of 11056

I'm not a boy!

hodgins - 16 Apr 2004 09:31 - 951 of 11056

Back in long but should have taken my chill pill earlier.Doubled stake.
Gulp! May need another soon.

Tellon - 16 Apr 2004 09:58 - 952 of 11056

Looking to 18023 for a re-entry.

Tellon - 16 Apr 2004 11:52 - 953 of 11056

didnt get near it really. going short @ 69.5

Sue 42 - 16 Apr 2004 12:29 - 954 of 11056

??? 69.5?

hodgins - 16 Apr 2004 12:45 - 955 of 11056

Tellon did you mean 79.5, if so a wonderful call.
I am ducking and weaving.

Tellon - 16 Apr 2004 13:49 - 956 of 11056

It was 78.5 when i went short but i use ig index so pay a 9point spread. so I open at 69.5. Ive closed now at 71.5 for -2.

Im just not comfortable with the move, not enough legs on it.

So Out for -2

hilary - 16 Apr 2004 13:55 - 957 of 11056

Back from tennis to find that I'd been stopped from my longs while I was out at varying levels from -15 to +120. Have re-entered long with a stop on a move below the 1:30pm low and limit orders to add if/when it rises. Intend to let it run into next week.

It's Poets day, so I'm off now. Have a good holiday, Beebs.

Tellon - 16 Apr 2004 14:46 - 958 of 11056

I am in agreement now. going Long at 16.5 (25.5 Open) Lets hope this one works out a little better.

Cloggs - 16 Apr 2004 15:26 - 959 of 11056

Thanks for the welcome.Not a good start got stopped out-100 now its back to whare i started.

hodgins - 16 Apr 2004 15:50 - 960 of 11056

Blimey, just survived a probably too wide a stop and the trade that was down and had a hopeful????? limit 50 above has just got taken out for +50 when I was too slow getting back from lopping hedges.
Need another reentry now and the wife is demanding the rest of the hedges get done.

Beeblebrox - 16 Apr 2004 15:59 - 961 of 11056

do you want yer dinner tonight hodgins,
or will you go hungry ?

Tellon - 16 Apr 2004 16:03 - 962 of 11056

I just closed my postion, +110 (I think it will go higher but im going to the pub so will take my profits and run)

Have a good weekend all.

hodgins - 16 Apr 2004 16:12 - 963 of 11056

hedges and out for dinner in that order, and no reentry

hodgins - 16 Apr 2004 18:36 - 964 of 11056

Reentry achieved long.
I just had to follow the mistress of the board long into next week!

hilary - 19 Apr 2004 08:07 - 965 of 11056

GBPUSD
Price: 1.7960
Day View
Resistance: 1.7995 1.8015 1.8045 1.8060

Support: 1.7950 1.7920 1.7885 1.7840



Bias: Mixed - waiting for breaks

Bullish: Friday saw the overall pullback deepen towards 1.8046 from where the has been a sturdy reaction back lower. However, we see ambiguous signals and could quite well believe that support at 1.7920-50 could hold to cause a second test at the 1.8046 level and possibly even a move to 1.8095. Break of 1.7995-1.8015 would confirm the test higher. However, if seen we consider the 1.8095 area as a cap.



Bearish: Having reached key pivot resistance at 1.2046 we cannot rule out a direct resumption of the downtrend. This would require a break below 1.7920 and preferably 1.7880-90 in which case the emphasis would once again turn lower towards 1.7835-40 and then back to test the 1.7755-75 lows. Below would trigger aggressive losses to the next major target at 1.7650. Any earlier test of 1.8095 would present an excellent selling opportunity.


GBP%20Apr%2019.gif


Week View
Resistance: 1.8095 1.8195 1.8280 1.8420

Support: 1.7840 1.7755 1.7650 1.7515



The end of last week dented the directly bearish view but the pullback has failed to break above the 4-hour Pivot Cloud and also the 1.8050-95 resistance area. Schaff Trend Cycle reversed higher and is rising though at high levels while FXS-RSI rallied above oversold territory and is still rising. We continue to prefer to retain our bearish stance with the next stalling point at 1.7650.



Bullish: The pullback higher has been slightly stronger than expected but has held, thus far, below the 1.8050 resistance level. Friday may well have seen the high in this correction but we should allow a move up to 1.8095. Thus, we can only re-assess and look for stronger gains should the 1.8100 level break. If seen we would then look for gains to extend towards 1.8195 and possibly as high as 1.8280-00.



Bearish: Although the pullback has been deeper than expected it has held below the key 1.8050 level and while the 1.8050-95 resistance holds we remain bearish for a move down through 1.7755 and onto 1.7650 where a pullback is possible. Further support is seen at 1.7515.



Month View
(Updated 19th April)

Resistance: 1.8300 1.8605 1.8875 1.9025

Support: 1.7650 1.7165 1.6905 1.6565



The move lower has met with a choppy start but we feel that we should now see losses resume and expect to see progress to the next support at 1.7650 this week. From there we should see a correction develop but the coming 4-6 weeks looks bearish towards 1.7165.
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