GBPUSD
Price: 1.7960
Day View
Resistance: 1.7995 1.8015 1.8045 1.8060
Support: 1.7950 1.7920 1.7885 1.7840
Bias: Mixed - waiting for breaks
Bullish: Friday saw the overall pullback deepen towards 1.8046 from where the has been a sturdy reaction back lower. However, we see ambiguous signals and could quite well believe that support at 1.7920-50 could hold to cause a second test at the 1.8046 level and possibly even a move to 1.8095. Break of 1.7995-1.8015 would confirm the test higher. However, if seen we consider the 1.8095 area as a cap.
Bearish: Having reached key pivot resistance at 1.2046 we cannot rule out a direct resumption of the downtrend. This would require a break below 1.7920 and preferably 1.7880-90 in which case the emphasis would once again turn lower towards 1.7835-40 and then back to test the 1.7755-75 lows. Below would trigger aggressive losses to the next major target at 1.7650. Any earlier test of 1.8095 would present an excellent selling opportunity.
Week View
Resistance: 1.8095 1.8195 1.8280 1.8420
Support: 1.7840 1.7755 1.7650 1.7515
The end of last week dented the directly bearish view but the pullback has failed to break above the 4-hour Pivot Cloud and also the 1.8050-95 resistance area. Schaff Trend Cycle reversed higher and is rising though at high levels while FXS-RSI rallied above oversold territory and is still rising. We continue to prefer to retain our bearish stance with the next stalling point at 1.7650.
Bullish: The pullback higher has been slightly stronger than expected but has held, thus far, below the 1.8050 resistance level. Friday may well have seen the high in this correction but we should allow a move up to 1.8095. Thus, we can only re-assess and look for stronger gains should the 1.8100 level break. If seen we would then look for gains to extend towards 1.8195 and possibly as high as 1.8280-00.
Bearish: Although the pullback has been deeper than expected it has held below the key 1.8050 level and while the 1.8050-95 resistance holds we remain bearish for a move down through 1.7755 and onto 1.7650 where a pullback is possible. Further support is seen at 1.7515.
Month View
(Updated 19th April)
Resistance: 1.8300 1.8605 1.8875 1.9025
Support: 1.7650 1.7165 1.6905 1.6565
The move lower has met with a choppy start but we feel that we should now see losses resume and expect to see progress to the next support at 1.7650 this week. From there we should see a correction develop but the coming 4-6 weeks looks bearish towards 1.7165.