goldfinger
- 27 Apr 2007 11:40
- 947 of 3050
Can anyone find any mention on margins which were dropping last quarter?.
How on earth this one as got away without it being called a profit warning is mind bogling.
No met up with any of the Brokers forecasts.
cynic
- 27 Apr 2007 11:45
- 948 of 3050
in that case, y is sp defying gravity?
Greyhound
- 27 Apr 2007 11:47
- 949 of 3050
It's like throwing a ball up cynic - that point where it seems to slow and stop at the top - we know what happens next!
cynic
- 27 Apr 2007 11:48
- 950 of 3050
hope so as have just shorted at 544
Greyhound
- 27 Apr 2007 12:03
- 951 of 3050
goldfinger, hope you don't mind, just posted your post elsewhere.
goldfinger
- 27 Apr 2007 12:06
- 952 of 3050
No probs GH.
Greyhound
- 27 Apr 2007 12:27
- 953 of 3050
brave man cynic, i do agree however.
cynic
- 27 Apr 2007 12:29
- 954 of 3050
hope it's no more brave than telling you all to buy DOM as few weeks back
ptholden
- 27 Apr 2007 12:36
- 955 of 3050
Pulled my order earlier, but having another go now.
goldfinger
- 27 Apr 2007 13:11
- 956 of 3050
Lifted from another board Evils as just given his opinion...
Of course the company is profitable and seems pretty confident but I would point out that, once again., a headline pre-tax profit of $22 million for 2006 did not mean that cash was generated. The cashburn was $14 million. Why is Renesola so unable to generate cash? Moreover is a 550 million market value really justified on the basis of 11 million pre-tax profit? I stay short.
cynic
- 27 Apr 2007 13:19
- 957 of 3050
as the then lovely Randy Mice-Davis said, "Well, he would say that, wouldn't he?" ...... but i too (now!) hope he is right
goldfinger
- 27 Apr 2007 14:58
- 958 of 3050
Cynic, latest details I have from Broker Ambrian seem to suggest he is right.
There target is 4.55p per share.
Greyhound
- 27 Apr 2007 15:21
- 959 of 3050
Ambrian have raised their target from hold to buy today.
goldfinger
- 27 Apr 2007 17:03
- 960 of 3050
Im very suprised GH given the confirmation of the cash outflow. What price target are they aiming for now please?.
Motech are now setting up their own wafer plant in China. There is no barriers to entry, and with Motech pumping in 200m$ into a new facility in China, the future of wafers is perhaps looking very diluted. Thats the trouble, the Broker forecasts are concentrating on SOLA capacity, not on forward capacity in the market.
ptholden
- 27 Apr 2007 22:43
- 961 of 3050
My order was filled and now officially short, will keep a close eye on proceedings and either close if it gets into trouble or add if it continues to drop.
Oh and in profit already :)
pth
cynic
- 28 Apr 2007 08:04
- 962 of 3050
at what level did you manage to short? ..... perhaps we can hold hands .... lol!
ptholden
- 28 Apr 2007 16:29
- 963 of 3050
544.5 Cynic, bettered you by half a tick. Best I don't hold hands with you though!! 560 with any volume and I'll be out. If (when?) it continues to come off I'll add a new position every 15 ticks. Well be interesting to see what happens on Monday and any upgrades/downgrades following the Results. I wouldn't take any notice of the house broker though, they are bound to be bullish.
pth
cynic
- 29 Apr 2007 09:07
- 964 of 3050
if Ambrian only reckon 455 as target/fair price, then it says plenty about the hype and overexcitement behind present levels - i hope!
ptholden
- 29 Apr 2007 14:23
- 965 of 3050
Think this snapshot is just about readable. It's only a historical view, but is an interesting demonstration of the 'fan principle'. The break through 500p would have initiated a short position and netted anything up to 50 ticks dependant on the exit strategy.
The third trendline (broken at 500p) should have acted as resistance for any subsequent rise, which it failed to do initially, but managed to do on Friday. Had the breakthrough of this trendline had any real momentum it would also have become support, again it failed to do so.
For the moment and until proven otherwise I am going to assume that this trendline is now resistance and set a stop at 560. Worthy of note is the gap down set early March; the bottom of this gap is also acting as resistance at 560p which may add some credibility to my analysis.
So, unless it breaks up with some momentum I am setting an initial short target of 450p.
pth
cynic
- 29 Apr 2007 14:36
- 966 of 3050
thanks PT ..... now that is indeed a useful chart, even if one does need good eyesight to read it! .... even if sp starts upwards again, i cannot see it rushing through 600, so upside = downside as a bear(!) has much better odds/potential than the reverse.